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أوروبا اليوم: تفكك الناتو ومستقبل أمن أوروبا والعلاقات عبر الأطلسي
تابعوا البرنامج الصباحي الرئيسي "يوروب توداي" على "يورونيوز" عند الساعة الثامنة صباحا بتوقيت بروكسل؛ وخلال 20 دقيقة فقط نطلعكم على أهم أخبار اليوم.
لمزيد من القراءة : http://arabic.euronews.com/2026/05/05/europe-today-with-nato-in-disarray-whats-next-for-european-security-and-transatlantic-ties
سجل: يورونيوز متوفرة باثنا عشرة لغة
تابعوا البرنامج الصباحي الرئيسي "يوروب توداي" على "يورونيوز" عند الساعة الثامنة صباحا بتوقيت بروكسل؛ وخلال 20 دقيقة فقط نطلعكم على أهم أخبار اليوم.
لمزيد من القراءة : http://arabic.euronews.com/2026/05/05/europe-today-with-nato-in-disarray-whats-next-for-european-security-and-transatlantic-ties
سجل: يورونيوز متوفرة باثنا عشرة لغة
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02:15ترجمة نانسي قنقر
02:18ترسل الفوكرا لكي نحن حريقيا
02:19سيد فstoحو الشتفان
02:22سيد الجنوب
02:22هذه الثانيات في التواصل
02:25فقط اهتنا مرئية
02:25ويليسه شكرا
02:26نعم هي يتكلم
02:29وشيد ج Toni Webb
02:31وقد تحت منها
02:33وشكرا
02:33ولكن هنا هكذا
02:36و 여기서 ما فعله
02:37وذلك برد policيو لتبعي
02:39باسدون على المحجلة
02:40من البحرية
02:41وطولة الكثير من الملتاج
02:44لذلكنا مضانا
02:46تقنابيal
02:58So what does that mean?
03:00Well, it will fuel optimism that the diplomatic effort led by Pakistan to end the conflict is still alive.
03:07Of course, we don't know whether or not there has been any progress lately and whether Iran is willing to
03:13go along.
03:14But when exchanges of fire between the Iranian and U.S. forces in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday did
03:21not reignite the war,
03:23it signaled that both sides are willing full-scale fighting to end.
03:30And that is the situation in the Strait Marit.
03:33And Stefan, briefly, what has been the Iranian response to this announcement from Trump overnight?
03:39Well, following Trump's announcement, Iran touted the U.S. failure to achieve its objectives in the so-called Project Freedom
03:48in a statement on INSA, that's a state-run media outlet.
03:52The statement further said Trump called off the operation because of warnings and firm positions from Iran.
03:59Now, as it stands, Iran's hardline leader are in firm control of the situation
04:05and they want to make people believe that they are the masters of the situation in the Gulf right now.
04:12And what happens next may depend on whether Trump and Iran are prepared to offer each other a face-saving
04:19exit, Marit.
04:20Okay, Stefan, thank you so much.
04:22And of course, we'll be keeping an eye out for developments on that story throughout the day here on Iran
04:26News.
04:26But now, moving on, the International Monetary Foundation has said that Europe needs to harden its economy
04:33to a more adverse global environment.
04:36In a report released yesterday, the institution also warned that the war in Iran poses a serious headwind to economic
04:44growth.
04:45It said that in the most severe downside scenario, the eurozone could edge closer to a recession.
04:52Now, joining me in the studio this morning to discuss more is the author of that report, Helge Berger,
04:59who is the deputy director of IMF Europe.
05:02Good morning, sir.
05:03Really good to have you.
05:04Good morning, Marit.
05:05We know that there's still major uncertainty over the situation in the Middle East and in Iran.
05:10But as you see things this morning, what is the economic outlook now for Europe?
05:16Well, when we started thinking about the outlook first, early in the year, we thought we would be upgrading growth
05:22in Europe,
05:23especially for the eurozone.
05:24That's not what happened.
05:25With the outbreak of the war and the higher energy prices, things have taken a turn to the worse.
05:30So currently, we think that growth will be around 1.1 percent this year and 1.2 percent next year,
05:36significantly lower than what we initially expected.
05:39This is because consumers feeling the pinch in their budgets, they're spending less.
05:44Investors have a higher cost of doing business, so they're more careful.
05:47And in the worst case scenario, because you talk about the most severe downside scenario in your report,
05:54you said that the eurozone could also edge closer to a recession.
05:58Is that an increasing possibility now?
06:01We're certainly accumulating downside risk, but how far this will go depends on the war, and that's anybody's guess.
06:07The upside for Europe is that it has become much more resilient in terms of renewable production
06:13and the part of renewables in the energy mix.
06:16So any increase in energy prices, while still bad for the economy, isn't as bad as it used to be.
06:21I'll come to that point of resilience in just a bit, but I want to ask you about the response
06:25of European governments
06:26and the policies they've introduced.
06:28Have they properly weighed the costs of these interventions?
06:32It's difficult, right?
06:33So on the one hand, you want to help households.
06:34On the other hand, if you do it the wrong way, you dampen the price signal that comes from higher
06:39oil prices
06:40and energy prices, and people will stop saving energy.
06:43So you want to target the support.
06:45You want to go to the vulnerable households and help them directly where it hurts,
06:49but you don't want to sort of do more damage than good with these kind of measures.
06:53And have those measures been targeted enough, would you say, in general?
06:56Well, governments are trying.
06:59It's usually a mix of good and bad policies,
07:02but most governments have in some way or the other tempered with the energy prices,
07:07which is not the way it should be going.
07:09So as time passes, if the situation continues, we need to be more targeted.
07:13Okay, and you also mentioned in that report that Europe needs to harden its economy
07:18in a world of a series of shocks, in a more volatile world.
07:22How feasible is that, do you feel, when so many governments are seeing a big fiscal squeeze?
07:29Well, you know, the countries in Europe will need to reform under pressure.
07:32That's just how it works, and Europe is usually quite good at this.
07:36So we need to make progress.
07:38We need to deal with a single market, which is still much more fragmented than we would like it to
07:42be.
07:42Lots of trade, lots of activity stops at the national border.
07:46That's not what we want.
07:47Think about electricity.
07:48A unified electricity market would do wonders for the European economy.
07:52Prices would be lower.
07:54They would be less volatile.
07:55That is the way to go.
07:56It makes the European economy more resilient and growing faster in an adverse world.
08:01And very briefly, to close, we know there's also a big issue of Europe's competitiveness in the world right now.
08:07You did flag in that report yesterday some small concerns over some measures,
08:11including the Industrial Accelerator Act, this new measure to shield homegrown industries.
08:16Industrial policy has a role to play, but it's very limited, where markets fail and governments need to step in.
08:22But it's not a cure-all.
08:23If you want to lift productivity, if you want higher growth, more resiliency,
08:27you have to go and do the hard reforms that help the labour market, help the product markets.
08:32And as I said, the single market, especially for electricity, energy, would do wonders for the European economy.
08:37OK. Helga Berges, thank you so much for joining us in the studio this morning and for all your insights.
08:44My pleasure.
08:45Now, we're moving on now because Romania's pro-European coalition government has been toppled
08:51after Prime Minister Ilia Bolozhan lost a no-confidence vote yesterday,
08:57plunging the country into renewed uncertainty and raising fears of a fiscal crisis.
09:03For more, we can cross over now to Bucharest and to Euronews' Andra Diakonescu,
09:08who's standing by for us this morning.
09:10Andra, good to see you.
09:12So the government has been toppled.
09:13What's next now for Romania?
09:18Good morning from Bucharest.
09:19Now the president, Niku Shordan, has the floor because he needs to host all the talks with the political parties.
09:26He has urged all the political parties to do a coalition pro-European one.
09:32And this is now the impossible situation because Ilia Bolozhan party has just decided yesterday evening that they will go
09:41to opposition.
09:42So now four of the pro-European parties in Romania need to do this coalition, as the president has urged.
09:52But two of them, one, Ilia Bolozhan's party, are deciding that they are not going to do that.
10:00So it's a long period of instability here in Romania.
10:03Of course, with a society facing economic crisis, very, very low, low, besides Euro, and of course, political instability.
10:15And Andra, very briefly, the AUR party, the far-right party, also filed this motion of censure in collaboration with
10:23the left-wing socialists.
10:24What are their next moves from the far-right?
10:29Well, they had a lot of gaining before doing this motion against the government.
10:39And of course, they gained a lot of likes, as they were saying on Facebook yesterday.
10:44So now they are playing everyone.
10:46We are really looking into how they are going to do their cards in the next days because they are
10:55saying that they can go with the prime minister
10:58and they can propose, of course, to do the government at the Kotrochen Palace.
11:04But again, Nikos Ordan has said that he doesn't want a government against EU.
11:10He wants a pro-European one.
11:12OK, Andra, in Bucharest, for us this morning, thank you so much.
11:17Now, another EU country fighting a political deadlock is Slovenia.
11:22A knife-edge election in March delivered an inconclusive result, despite the ruling liberals initially claiming victory.
11:30Now, former Prime Minister Janis Jansa is hinting that he could form a coalition government.
11:35For more, we're joined by Alija Pengov-Bitenk, a Slovenian political analyst and journalist.
11:42Really good to have you with us this morning.
11:44Tell us first, how likely is it in your view that Janis Jansa could return to power?
11:50Good morning and thank you for having me.
11:53To answer a question, it is highly likely.
11:55He seems to be the only one able to command something akin to a majority in the parliament,
12:02as shaky as that majority will probably turn out to be.
12:06And so what would that mean then for Slovenia, as you mentioned, a shaky majority,
12:11and for the European Union as well?
12:14Well, in terms of European Union, I suspect not much.
12:18Janis Jansa was something of a player in his last stint as Prime Minister,
12:23not in the least on account of Viktor Orban being in power in Hungary.
12:28And now that that has changed recently, he has lost one big potential ally.
12:33As far as Slovenia is concerned, there are, of course, challenges.
12:38The draft coalition agreement that was sort of endorsed yesterday points those out.
12:44However, the narrative that is spreading within the Janis Jansa,
12:49rather right-wing circles in Slovenia, is something quite different.
12:54And it seems to be a rather suspect return to bashing NGOs and public media,
13:00probably even academia this time around.
13:01So we might get a little bit of reform-oriented official policies
13:06and a lot of right-wing populism unofficially and narrative-wise.
13:11And very briefly to close, it was a very tight, knife-edge election.
13:16What has Slovenia, do you think, learned from that experience?
13:20Well, first of all, the fact that active citizenship can go both ways.
13:25The turnout was, this was the second election in the row with a huge turnout.
13:30So that is encouraging.
13:31But also that, you know, choices need to be made responsibly,
13:36whichever way the government goes in the end.
13:39Okay, Alia Pengov-Bitenk there for us.
13:41Thank you so much for that analysis.
13:44Thank you.
13:44Now we're moving on because of Marco Rubio,
13:47the U.S. Secretary of State, is heading to Rome and the Vatican
13:50to mend strained ties, as Jacobianus explains.
13:57U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has a new mission.
14:00He visits the Holy See in Rome tomorrow.
14:02And as a Catholic, Rubio is the mediator after the fallout between Donald Trump
14:07and the first American-born pontiff, Pope Leo XIV.
14:11But what does it mean for Europe?
14:14Relations are strained after Trump publicly labeled the Pope as weak
14:18due to the Holy See's vocal opposition to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
14:22In a bid to calm tensions, Rubio is meeting Cardinal Pietro Parolin,
14:28the Vatican's top diplomat.
14:30And Parolin has been a key figure in the Vatican's calls for peace in the Iran war.
14:35And as he visits Rome, U.S. Secretary of State will also meet with Italian Foreign Minister
14:40Antonio Tajani and Defense Minister Guido Crosetto to discuss security topics.
14:45But there is also a bigger picture.
14:47After Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni defended the Pope,
14:51Trump questioned her courage and threatened to withdraw U.S. troops from Italy.
14:55And it is no small footprint, as there are currently around 13,000 U.S. military personnel
15:01based across seven naval bases in Italy.
15:04And with U.S. midterm elections approaching,
15:07the administration is wary of alienating Catholic voters,
15:10especially as the Pope continues to say that
15:12God doesn't listen to the prayers of those who wage war.
15:16And looking back at the rich and complicated history of European Catholicism,
15:21one could even say that coming back to the Vatican after a spot
15:24is the most European thing the Trump administration has done so far.
15:33Jakob Janis there.
15:35Now, Baroness Catherine Ashton was the EU's foreign policy chief between 2009 and 2014.
15:42Just before that, she briefly served as the EU's trade commissioner
15:46and brokered a deal with the U.S. following a long-standing dispute over beef exports.
15:52Our correspondent, Angela Skugins, caught up with Baroness Ashton yesterday
15:57and started by asking her what advice she'd have for the current EU trade chief,
16:02Maros Shevkovic, as he seeks to salvage the EU's fraught trade deal with the U.S.
16:09What I would say is that it's really in the interests of business right across Europe,
16:15especially, to have some consistency and certainty about the markets they're dealing with.
16:20And we do have a president that sees the willingness of others to kind of talk to him about trade
16:28as both an important part of the conversation,
16:31but in a sense almost to weaponise it,
16:34to make clear that if we don't do things that he thinks are really important,
16:39then we can't expect the benefits.
16:41And it's very transactional.
16:43And he's always been very clear as a president
16:45that he takes that view that being a transactional president
16:49is the way that he wants to go forward.
16:51And I think that's really how Europe has to respond,
16:55or any country has to respond,
16:56is to try and work through that.
16:58It is very difficult because of the changing landscape.
17:03But in the end, this all comes down to the fact that with all that's happening,
17:08especially in the Middle East right now,
17:11we are moving to a time when there are additional issues globally
17:15that we're all going to have to grapple with.
17:17And so the more that we can work together on trade, the better.
17:21During your post as the EU's top diplomat,
17:23you negotiated with Iran to temporarily curb some of that country's nuclear activities
17:29for sanction relief.
17:31You clearly know how to speak to the Middle Eastern country diplomatically.
17:35How would you currently assess the way that Trump is speaking with Tehran
17:40and the tenor from the EU as well in particular?
17:43I think there's a different approach that's being taken.
17:46It's much more to raise the temperature rather than to lower it.
17:50And it's a bit of ensuring that there's a complete clarity about what could happen.
17:56So the critical thing seems to be to address the Straits of Hormuz
17:59and to find ways that you can get these open
18:02because of the impact that it's all having globally
18:06and actually then start to build up a negotiation
18:10that can resolve the conflict altogether.
18:12The UK could pay £1 billion to have greater access to the single market.
18:17We know that the British Prime Minister, Keir Starmer,
18:19wants to reset relations between the EU and the UK.
18:23But some critics have criticised this news,
18:27stating that it's merely pay to play.
18:29What do you make of this?
18:32There's no question that Keir Starmer, the Prime Minister,
18:35and many of his colleagues have absolutely recognised
18:39that there is a need to get closer to the European Union
18:42and to Europe generally.
18:43That's partly because of the security and defence issues
18:47that we're confronted with, not least the war in Ukraine,
18:51but also the economic realities of the world in which we live.
18:55And I think all of this talk now about what money is,
18:59what should be done, how it would work,
19:01is really all about laying the groundwork for the summit,
19:04which is coming, I hope, in the next few months,
19:07where they can actually start to bed this down
19:09and make sense of it.
19:14Our correspondent Angela Scugin speaking
19:16to Baroness Catherine Ashton there.
19:18But that's it from us today.
19:19Thank you for choosing to start your day
19:21with Europe Today this morning.
19:23Remember, we want to hear from you.
19:25Send us your feedback by emailing us
19:27at europetoday at euronews.com.
19:29And we'll see you again tomorrow.
19:30on Euronews.com
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