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Europe Today : le prorusse Radev gagne en Bulgarie, Orbán prêt à lever le veto sur le prêt à Kyiv

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00:05Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
00:41Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
01:11Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
01:14And Tehran has, quote,
01:16No plans for now to participate in a second round of peace talks with the U.S. expected today in
01:23Pakistan, according to Iranian state media.
01:26It comes amid a deepening standoff over the Strait of Hormuz and amid reports that the U.S. earlier seized
01:33an Iranian-flagged ship near the straits.
01:36We'll have more details.
01:38But first, we're taking you to Bulgaria, where the former president, Rumen Radev, an EU critic who has been described
01:46as sympathetic to Russia, has won a convincing victory in Sunday's parliamentary elections.
01:52His centre-left coalition has vowed to stamp out a, quote, oligarchic governance model after years of political gridlock in
02:00the country.
02:01We can now bring in Euronews' Marina Stojimenova, who has been following events for us there overnight in Sofia.
02:08Great to have you with us, Marina.
02:10Good morning.
02:10I know there are votes still being counted as we speak, but talk us through where we are as things
02:17stand right now.
02:20Good morning from Sofia Amaret.
02:22Indeed, the results are already shaping up to be extremely interesting here.
02:27Although the counting is still underway, one thing is clear.
02:30Rumen Radev, the former president who stepped down in January, is winning the elections and more.
02:36For the first time in nearly 30 years, Bulgaria will have a government with a full parliamentary majority,
02:44which means that this might put an end to a very long, long political crisis here in the country.
02:49Rumen Radev is leading with almost 45% far ahead of his competitors.
02:56Former prime minister Boiko Boriso, very well known in Europe, this is a very interesting fact, may even fall to
03:03third place.
03:04And another key factor is the vote from abroad, which has yet to be fully counted.
03:08It is expected to favor Rumen Radev's progressive Bulgaria.
03:12If that holds, he could edge closer to 50%.
03:17And Marina, we know Brussels will be watching this result very closely, of course.
03:22What could this mean for Europe?
03:27Well, he certainly perceived as more friendly toward Moscow, largely because of his statements during his president.
03:35Lirum Radev has opposed many times the decisions of Bulgaria to support Ukraine.
03:40And even yesterday, he said that he hopes Bulgaria will develop practical relations with Russia based on mutual respect and
03:49equal treatment.
03:50At the same time, his tone last night was a bit different.
03:53He was seeking for the questions of foreign media because he wanted to bring a message to Europe.
03:58And this message was very clear.
04:00Bulgaria will remain firmly on its European path.
04:04And still, he didn't try a way of criticizing the European Union.
04:08Let's hear what he said last night.
04:10Bulgaria will pay efforts to continue its European path.
04:17But believe me, strong Bulgaria, in strong Europe, needs critical thinking, needs pragmatism.
04:26Because Europe has fallen a victim to its own ambition to be a moral leader in a world without rules.
04:39Rumen Radev, the winner of the Bulgarian election on Sunday.
04:45And thank you, Marina Stoymenova, for that update for us from Sofia.
04:50But now for more on the significance of this result for Bulgaria and also for Europe,
04:56we can bring in Martin Vladimirov, who is an expert analyst for the Center for the Study of Democracy.
05:03Martin, good morning.
05:04Really good to have you with us on the show this morning.
05:06Assuming Radev does form a government now, and I think we can assume that based on the results,
05:12what do you expect from him in terms of his foreign policy and his approach towards the EU?
05:18Well, before the election results came out, which are really a landslide, unprecedented victory for one party,
05:27we have been monitoring his and his party's social media engagement.
05:33And the data is very clear.
05:35There have been a huge increase in pro-Russian narratives disseminated by his social media accounts.
05:43He has been staunchly kind of anti-sanctions and anti-countering Russian influence in Europe over the last decade or
05:55so.
05:55There have been reports back when he was being voted in as president that his campaign was coordinated with the
06:04former security services of the Kremlin.
06:07So, a decade later, we may see a pragmatic Bulgarian leader who will remain pro-EU on the surface.
06:18But as in previous times, we have seen Bulgaria being a very practical Trojan horse for the Kremlin.
06:25Even when they talk pro-EU and pro-NATO policies underground or underneath this rhetoric,
06:33we can see actions that undermine, for example, the phase-out of Russian oil and gas in Europe,
06:38or undermining the sanctions policy against Russia and the support for Ukraine.
06:42OK, it's very interesting what you say.
06:44So, based on that, can we expect him to step into the shoes of Viktor Orban, for example,
06:50or do you expect him to be more collaborative on the EU's Ukraine policy?
06:55I think Mr. Radeff will be much more collaborative than Mr. Orban.
06:59He will not be openly anti-EU policy.
07:03He will probably vote in favour of many of the EU actions.
07:07But I don't doubt that there will be attempts on his part and on his government
07:13to undermine the strength of these actions.
07:18Similarly to what Mr. Fitzgerald has been doing in Slovakia,
07:22nominally supporting EU policy, but trying to undercut and find loop holes and gaps into this policy.
07:29So, this is a major win for the Kremlin, I think,
07:33a culmination of a long strategy of Russia to solidify its influence in the country.
07:39But I don't think we should over-exaggerate this process.
07:44Because we're about to see what will happen.
07:48Anti-corruption policy will be his first item on the agenda.
07:51So, I think domestic politics will trump foreign policy in the beginning, at least.
07:55Okay, thank you so much, Martin Vladimirov, an expert analyst for us there.
08:00But moving on now from Bulgaria to Hungary,
08:04where the incoming government of Peter Madjar held initial talks
08:08with senior officials from Brussels over the weekend,
08:11raising expectations that EU funds to Hungary frozen under the leadership of Viktor Orbán
08:16could be unblocked.
08:18Our correspondent, Sándor Shiros, is here to tell us more.
08:22Good morning, Sándor.
08:22Good morning.
08:23Listen, I know you've been speaking to officials about these talks over the weekend,
08:26which are quite significant.
08:28Tell us more.
08:28Yes, it's a very unusual and very symbolic visit, in my view,
08:33because I have never seen a European Commission delegation visiting a country
08:38and not sitting down with the actual government,
08:40but with party officials who are trying to set up a government in one month.
08:46But the clock is ticking, and this is the main issue,
08:48because if Hungary and the future government of Peter Madjar
08:51does not agree with the allocation of 10 billion euros
08:56under the recovery funds by the end of August,
09:00this money will be lost.
09:01But now what we have seen over the weekend is that both parties,
09:06the Commission and the TISA party is willing to work to find a solution
09:10how to get these funds for Hungary.
09:13And, you know, remember, if they ever get this,
09:16it's a symbolic step because, you know,
09:18the Commission could say that we are supporting a pro-European government,
09:21but also it's a huge, huge money injection for the Hungarian economy,
09:27because 10 billion euros is more than 4% of the Hungarian GDP.
09:32So let's take a look at what Peter Madjar said after the talks over the weekend.
09:37He said,
09:38Real work must begin so that the EU funds due to the Hungarian people
09:42finally arrive in Hungary.
09:44The consequences of the mistakes and crimes of the outgoing government
09:49will not disappear overnight.
09:52And, Sándor, at the same time,
09:54Viktor Orbán hinting he could, in fact,
09:56lift his veto on that 90 billion euro EU loan to Ukraine.
10:01Yes, exactly.
10:03So Orbán tweeted yesterday that he received information
10:06that Ukraine could resume the oil flows via the Druzhba pipeline.
10:11This issue caused a lot of troubles between Hungary and Ukraine,
10:15and also on European level because, you know,
10:18Hungary blocked the EU's 90 billion support package for Ukraine
10:22because of this pipeline issue.
10:24Now, one week after the election,
10:27finally everything could be resolved
10:29and Orbán could finish his mandate by resolving this huge issue.
10:34It's very significant politically for me
10:36that everything is happening at such a big speed.
10:39Let me quote Orbán here.
10:41Hungary's position has not changed.
10:43No oil, no money.
10:45Oil deliveries are restored.
10:48We no longer stand in the way of approving the loan.
10:52Now, the next question is
10:53what Peter Magyar will do with the Russian oil and gas supplies.
10:57Is he willing to decouple from Russian fossil fuels?
11:01It's not clear for the moment.
11:03OK, Sándor, thank you so much.
11:05And I'm sure we'll be hearing more from you,
11:08including on that Druzhba dispute very soon.
11:10Now, there is a precedent to releasing EU funds frozen over rule of law concerns,
11:17and that is the Polish experience following Donald Tusk's election in 2023.
11:23Our Jakob Janus explains.
11:26Peter Magyar has made his first diplomatic priority clear.
11:30Before Brussels or Vienna,
11:32Hungary's prime minister-elect is heading to Warsaw to meet Donald Tusk.
11:37And in late 2023, the Polish prime minister wrote the modern playbook
11:41on unwinding years of entrenched illiberal rule.
11:44Now Magyar is looking to apply it,
11:47especially as the two leaders expressed a similar to-do list across three key areas.
11:52What are they?
11:54To bypass an opposition president,
11:57Tusk's government used a parliamentary resolution
11:59to instantly dismiss state broadcast management,
12:03literally taking the network offline overnight.
12:05and Magyar is threatening the exact same shock therapy.
12:10Following a heated interview last week on public television,
12:13which he linked to North Korean propaganda,
12:16he explicitly vowed to suspend the national broadcaster's actual signal
12:20the very moment he takes office.
12:22And for judiciary,
12:24both leaders may join the European public prosecutor's office
12:26at their one priority,
12:28reversing their predecessor's refusals to participate.
12:31However,
12:33Tusk is still struggling to implement a full judicial reform.
12:36He has faced a severe gridlock,
12:38requiring complex legal acrobatics to bypass presidential vetoes.
12:43Magyar, however,
12:44wields a two-thirds constitutional majority.
12:47EU officials are already in Budapest
12:49negotiating the release of over 10 billion euro in recovery funds,
12:54knowing Magyar has the parliamentary numbers
12:56to push the necessary reforms.
12:58Finally,
12:59Tusk rapidly purged the management boards
13:01of state-owned enterprises,
13:03with the oil giant Orlen being the most famous example.
13:06And Magyar is preparing a similar sweep
13:08across Hungary's state-backed institutions.
13:11He plans to recover state assets
13:13and cut funding to ideological networks,
13:16like Matthias Corvino's Collegium or MCC.
13:19However,
13:21this strategy could have downsides.
13:23Rushing invites legal missteps
13:25and advocates of the outgoing governments
13:28argued that neither Orban nor Morawiecki
13:30directly obstructed the transition.
13:32One thing is certain.
13:34From illiberal to liberal transitions,
13:37the new approach seems to rely on shock therapy
13:40to dismantle the old system overnight.
13:48Jakob Yanis reporting there.
13:50Now,
13:50to the Middle East next,
13:51where Iran is yet to confirm its participation
13:54in a second round of peace talks with the US in Pakistan.
13:58It comes amid a deepening standoff
14:00over the passage of vessels
14:02through the Strait of Hormuz.
14:03For more,
14:04we can bring in our correspondent in Dubai,
14:07Jane Witherspoon,
14:08who's standing by for us.
14:10Good morning, Jane.
14:11Good to have you on the show again.
14:12Reports this morning
14:13that an Iranian-flagged ship
14:15has been seized by the US near the Strait.
14:17Tell us more.
14:20Good morning.
14:21Yes,
14:21US forces have seized
14:23that Iranian-flagged cargo ship
14:25in the Gulf of Oman.
14:27It was the ship called Tuska.
14:29Video released by US Central Command
14:32showed USS Spruance
14:34issuing warnings to the Iranian ship to stop.
14:37They ignored
14:38and were subsequently fired upon.
14:40Now, US Marines have custody of that vessel.
14:43Of course,
14:44President Trump took to his social media
14:46to share the news.
14:48And this comes, obviously,
14:49only a few hours
14:49after accusations of ceasefire violations
14:52in the Strait of Hormuz were made.
14:55Iran's military have said
14:56that they will be responding soon.
14:58They're calling the seizure
15:00an act of piracy.
15:02And again,
15:02this is going to cloud the chances
15:04of further peace talks
15:05happening in the region.
15:07And Jane,
15:07briefly,
15:08we're also seeing intensifying
15:09diplomatic contacts
15:10between European leaders
15:11and leaders in the region.
15:15Of course,
15:16the British military
15:17have actually just raised
15:18its top alert level
15:20in the Strait of Hormuz.
15:21They're calling the situation
15:22critical.
15:23In addition to that,
15:25British Foreign Secretary
15:26Yvette Cooper
15:27was here in the UAE
15:28on Saturday
15:29hosting a bilateral talk
15:32cementing the relationship
15:33between the UK
15:34and the UAE.
15:36Later today,
15:37I will be heading down
15:38to Abu Dhabi
15:39to do an exclusive
15:40Euronews interview
15:41with the British ambassador
15:43to the UAE,
15:45Ed Hobart.
15:46So I'll be bringing you
15:46all the latest lines
15:47from that throughout the day.
15:49OK, Jane,
15:50thank you so much.
15:50We'll be keeping an eye out
15:51for your reporting
15:52during the day, of course.
15:54But moving on now,
15:55over the weekend,
15:56Spain's Pedro Sánchez
15:58rallied global leaders
15:59in Barcelona
16:00at a convention
16:01billed the Progressive CPAC.
16:04While the Spanish
16:04Prime Minister
16:05is applauded abroad,
16:07he's facing
16:07mounting challenges
16:08at home.
16:10For more,
16:10our Europe editor,
16:12Maria Tadeo,
16:12is here with me
16:13in the studio.
16:13Good morning.
16:14Great to have you back.
16:15You were in Barcelona
16:16over the weekend.
16:17What did this convention
16:18achieve, if anything?
16:19Well, yes, Mary,
16:20I was there
16:21for the two days.
16:22Big convention.
16:22Obviously, big names
16:23to the Spanish
16:24Prime Minister
16:25was the host,
16:26but you also had
16:26the president of Brazil,
16:27Lula,
16:28the Mexican president,
16:29the Colombian president,
16:30the president of South Africa,
16:32Ramaphosa.
16:33Obviously,
16:33they have all clashed
16:34one way or another
16:35with President Trump.
16:37In terms of the convention,
16:39what did they achieve?
16:40I would argue
16:40they achieved
16:41a photograph,
16:42a moment,
16:43and that,
16:43obviously,
16:44we're seeing there
16:44in the pictures.
16:45That matters in politics
16:46because politics
16:47is about the optics
16:48and it's about
16:49the symbols, too.
16:50And ultimately,
16:50coming out of this convention,
16:52what they argued
16:53is that there is
16:54an alternative
16:54to global MAGA,
16:56which, of course,
16:56they suggest
16:57is fueling hate,
16:59sexism,
17:00war,
17:00tariffs,
17:01commotion in the world.
17:02So I think what they've shown
17:03now is politically,
17:05the pendulum has really shifted
17:07from the left to the right
17:08and they're seeking now
17:09to say,
17:10look,
17:10there is an alternative
17:11and perhaps we can now
17:12bring that pendulum
17:13back to progressive ideas.
17:15It was also relevant
17:16because over the weekend,
17:17and perhaps we can put it
17:18up on the screen,
17:19there was a battle
17:21of rallies, too,
17:22in Europe.
17:22In Madrid,
17:23there was an opposition rally
17:25that took place
17:26in the capital city,
17:26but also in Milan,
17:28there was a rally
17:29of the far right
17:29of the European Parliament,
17:31so the hard right
17:31in the European Parliament
17:32going from Jordan Bartela
17:34to Matteo Salvini
17:35saying the complete opposite,
17:36that Europe is now
17:37facing big issues
17:38with illegal migration
17:39and security.
17:40But the goal
17:41of this convention
17:41in particular,
17:42the one led
17:43by the Spanish Prime Minister,
17:44was to really show
17:45that picture
17:45that there is
17:46an alternative.
17:48And at the same time,
17:49Maria,
17:49Spain leading calls
17:50to review
17:51or even suspend
17:52the EU's
17:52broad association
17:54agreement with Israel.
17:55Yeah, indeed.
17:55So that was another idea
17:56put forward
17:57by the Spanish Prime Minister
17:58who's obviously
17:58trying to boost
17:59his profile
18:00in international politics
18:01suggesting yesterday
18:02that Spain
18:03will present tomorrow
18:05at a foreign affairs meeting
18:07the idea
18:08of suspending
18:09now fully
18:10this association
18:10agreement with Israel.
18:12Obviously,
18:12this is not a new idea.
18:13It has been pitched
18:14in the past.
18:15It always hits a wall.
18:16Even the idea
18:17of a partial suspension
18:18has been complicated.
18:20But again,
18:20a lot of this
18:21is about the image
18:22of the Spanish Prime Minister.
18:23This is an idea
18:24that plays very well
18:25with the European left
18:26because it is
18:28incredibly clerical
18:29of Netanyahu
18:30and for the Spanish
18:31Prime Minister
18:31is also a way
18:32of changing
18:32the conversation.
18:33The past week
18:34it's been very difficult
18:35on a legal basis
18:36for Pedro Sanchez.
18:38His wife,
18:39his brother,
18:39obviously are all
18:40facing legal issues
18:42and he needs something
18:44that can really
18:44catapult his profile
18:46going into 2027.
18:47I spoke with his entourage
18:48over the weekend
18:49and they all told me
18:50the same thing.
18:51One way or another,
18:52he is going to run
18:53in 2027.
18:54there is absolutely
18:55no way
18:55at this stage
18:56in which he will
18:57not contemplate
18:59being the lead
18:59candidate for the socialists
19:01and now he's winning
19:02internationally.
19:03He needs that domestically
19:05because his position
19:06is so weak
19:06in Madrid.
19:08Okay, Maria,
19:08thank you so much
19:09for that update
19:10and we'll keep a close eye
19:11on those talks
19:11in Luxembourg
19:12between EU foreign
19:13ministers tomorrow.
19:14But that's it
19:15for today.
19:16Thank you so much
19:16for tuning in.
19:17We'll be back
19:18with more news
19:18and analysis
19:19at the same time,
19:21same place,
19:21tomorrow.
19:22In the meantime,
19:23do get in touch
19:23with us,
19:24send us your tips
19:24and questions
19:25to EuropeToday
19:26at Euronews.com
19:28and we'll see you
19:29very soon here
19:30on Euronews.
19:51on Euronews.
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