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Prediction market volumes surged in early 2026, with Kalshi and Polymarket recording $60B year-to-date, already exceeding all of 2025's $51B total. Bernstein projects $240B in 2026 volume, up 370% year over year, and estimates markets could reach $1 trillion annually within four years. Kalshi holds over 90% of the U.S. market with weekly volume exceeding $3B.
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00:00It's Benzinga, bringing Wall Street to Main Street.
00:02Prediction market volumes surged in early 2026 and are on pace to more than quadruple this year,
00:09with Bernstein estimating volumes could reach $1 trillion annually within four years,
00:14according to CNBC. Calci and Polymarket recorded about $60 billion in year-to-date volume,
00:21exceeding the $51 billion total for all of 2025. Calci's weekly trading volume rose to over $3
00:27billion from about $100 million a year earlier and holds more than 90% of the U.S. market.
00:33Bernstein projects $240 billion in 2026 volume, up 370% year-over-year. Analysts expect regulatory
00:43clarity, blockchain integration, and institutional demand to drive growth,
00:47even as legal challenges continue across multiple states. For all things money, visit Benzinga.com.
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