00:00The International Monetary Fund has cut its global economic forecast to 3.1 percent,
00:06citing rising energy costs from the Middle East war.
00:09The IMF says its worst-case scenario could involve a global recession.
00:13But the agency expects Taiwan will buck the trend.
00:16It put the country's real GDP growth at 5.2 percent this year,
00:20up sharply from its 2.1 percent forecast last October.
00:24Taiwan has seen record high-tech exports driven by the AI boom,
00:28which pushed its growth to a 15-year high in 2025.
00:33For more on Taiwan's economic outlook for this year,
00:36our reporter Ai Qi spoke with Darsen Chiu
00:38from the Confederation of Asia-Pacific Chambers of Commerce and Industry.
00:43The IMF has cut its global growth forecast for 2026,
00:48but put Taiwan's growth at over 5 percent.
00:50Why is Taiwan expected to pull ahead this year, despite economic headwinds?
00:58That's the best for AI in terms of theд하고.
01:00In the world, we appreciate the cost.
01:03The power of this technology, the system, the steaming, the power of this technology,
01:07the software, the power of this technology and theעacer,
01:08and how much the cost will not come in,
01:10in order to make the demand,
01:10that Taiwan was not even more powerful than the AI in the world.
01:12The so-called AI in the main location.
01:12That's the one, in the main location,
01:14we see that Taiwan's told one of the 움직erings and of those events
01:27but Taiwan is also in the most important part of the world.
01:34Given Taiwan's heavy rely on imports of energy and other critical supplies,
01:38how well do you think the IMF forecast well hold?
01:41Because Taiwan's now the most important part of the world,
01:43for example, such as these high-grade晶片 or ICD products,
01:47it has to be higher in the market for the market.
01:52It has to be higher in the market for the market,
01:56which means that it can be higher in the market.
01:58That's why it's short-term costs.
02:00If it's short-term costs, it can be higher in the market.
02:03That means that the IMF forecast is not a problem.
02:08But if it's long-term costs,
02:11that it will further increase the global demand for the market,
02:15that the risk of the market will rise.
02:17That's why the IMF will need to change.
02:20In the IMF's worst case scenario,
02:23the global economy could enter recession.
02:25How much might Taiwan be affected if that happens?
02:28I think Taiwan will be a very high-tech market.
02:31Taiwan is a high-tech market.
02:34It's a high-tech market for Taiwan.
02:38It's a high-tech market.
02:39It's very high-tech market.
02:55If there are hex tip- höher,
02:56oyun Thai market PERCENT Unitedリ breaker ofcultural standards,
02:56they can avoid short-term costs.
02:59That was the economic analyst Darcens Chio.
03:01You're welcome.
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