00:00Their ability to launch missiles and drones is dramatically curtailed, and their weapons, factories, and rocket launchers are being blown
00:09to pieces, very few of them left.
00:13Iran's missile arsenal, destroyed or still deadly?
00:17Despite claims from Washington that Tehran has been crippled, new intelligence reports suggest a very different reality.
00:25From hidden underground tunnels to mobile launchers that can strike and disappear, Iran may still hold hundreds, even thousands of
00:34missiles.
00:35So what's the truth? How many missiles does Iran still have?
00:39Because while Trump continues to claim that Iran's arsenal has been crushed, multiple intelligence reports tell a very different story.
00:48Their ability to launch missiles and drones is dramatically curtailed, and their weapons, factories, and rocket launchers are being blown
00:58to pieces, very few of them left.
01:01Let's break it down. According to an April 3 report by CNN, citing U.S. intelligence assessments, Iran still retains
01:10a significant portion of its missile capabilities.
01:13Not just missiles, but also the systems needed to launch them. Roughly half of Iran's missile launchers are still intact.
01:21That's critical, because without launchers, missiles are useless. With them, the threat remains active.
01:29And that's not all. The same assessment says Iran still has thousands of drones and a large stockpile of missiles,
01:37many of which are hidden, mobile, or underground.
01:41Now, let's look at another key report.
01:44According to Reuters, March 27, U.S. intelligence believes only about one-third of Iran's missile arsenal has definitively destroyed.
01:55Another third? Uncertain. Possibly damaged. Possibly buried. Possibly still operational.
02:02And the final third? Still intact.
02:05That means, at best, Iran may have lost a third of its arsenal. At worst, far less.
02:11So, what does that mean in numbers?
02:14Before the conflict escalated, estimates suggested Iran had around 2,000 to 2,500 ballistic missiles.
02:23Now, even if we take the most conservative estimate, Iran could still have hundreds, if not over 1,000 missiles
02:31remaining.
02:32And some reports go even further.
02:34According to sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, there is no clear consensus inside Israeli intelligence.
02:42Some believe Iran has only a few hundred missiles left.
02:46Others suggest it could be over 1,000.
02:49And the key admission, no one really knows for sure.
02:54But here's where Iran's strategy becomes crucial.
02:57Iran doesn't rely on static launch sites.
03:01It uses mobile launch platforms, which can fire and relocate within minutes, making them extremely difficult to track and destroy.
03:10Add to that a vast network of underground tunnels and bunkers, built over decades.
03:17These are designed specifically to protect missiles from airstrikes.
03:21So, even if facilities are hit, the weapons themselves may survive.
03:26And then there's usage.
03:28According to analysts, Iran has already fired around 1,400 missiles during the conflict.
03:35A significant number, but not enough to deplete its arsenal.
03:39Experts say this level of usage suggests Iran is pacing itself, not exhausting its capabilities.
03:47Now, let's bring in expert analysis.
03:49Farzeen Nadimi, a senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, offers a key insight to Irish Times.
03:59He estimates Iran may still retain 40 to 50 percent of its ballistic missile stockpile.
04:06And, importantly, a large portion of these are short- and medium-range missiles, the kinds most frequently used in
04:14regional strikes.
04:15He also warns Iran's production capacity has not been fully destroyed, meaning, as missiles are used, new ones can still
04:24be produced.
04:25So, let's sum it up.
04:27Despite heavy U.S. and Israeli strikes, Iran still has a significant number of missiles, around half its launchers intact,
04:36thousands of drones, active production capability, hidden, mobile, and underground network, which makes its arsenal difficult to track, difficult to
04:46destroy, and far from eliminated.
04:48And that brings us back to the original claim, that Iran has very few rockets left.
04:54The data suggests otherwise, because in modern warfare, it's not just about how many missiles you destroy.
05:02It's about how many your opponent can still launch.
05:05And right now, that number remains uncertain.
05:14This is a huge deal of weakness.
05:25Subtitled by Supreme Court
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