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  • 4 months ago
Seth and Sean discuss the Astros' matchup with the Mariners this weekend, what starting pitching might look like, the Astros being awful statistically at pitching and the Mariners being statistically awful at slugging.
Transcript
00:00So let's get to it. We mentioned no Astros yesterday. They're in Seattle tonight.
00:04But tonight, the turnaround begins.
00:06It begins. Well, this is where Seth Tatsuya Imai gets his first taste of being the Astros' ace,
00:12of being their stopper, because that's what he is right now.
00:15Yeah.
00:15Two starts into his MLB career.
00:17Right.
00:18He is the guy that needs to end this losing streak that they're on right now.
00:21Sorry. Sorry, Tatsuya. Hey, sorry about it. I know you're two games into your MLB career,
00:26Tatsuya Imai. But here you go. It's your responsibility to stop this losing streak tonight.
00:32I just, Sean, I am so fascinated by this wrong-way slider that he throws.
00:37And I just, I've learned more about elbow pronation and everything than I ever did before.
00:42I actually really sat down. I've been reading translated Japanese articles about his wrong-way slider.
00:47But my favorite thing about it is that he doesn't really know where it's going either.
00:51So there's a little bit of a throwback to the Charlie Morton.
00:53And, you know, Charlie Morton's fastball, one of the reasons it was so hard to hit
00:57was because he didn't know where it was going.
00:58So he's just aiming for the center of the strike zone, which I love.
01:01I love the simplicity.
01:03In this era of modern baseball where it's all about pinpoint control and everything,
01:07Charlie Morton's strategy was to aim dead center in the strike zone.
01:12And every now and then, his biggest mistake would be made is if he hit his target.
01:16But he would aim dead center, and he didn't know where it was going.
01:19And Imai's the same way.
01:21Yeah.
01:21He's got the same, you'd think, oh, all of your preconceptions about the Japanese culture and everything,
01:27like, oh, it must be all about precision control and this and that.
01:30No.
01:31He just throws his wrong-way slider, and the universe takes it wherever it may.
01:35If I can invoke Rocky IV again this week, this is the second time we've invoked Rocky IV.
01:40The first time, I believe, was relative to communism.
01:43But this one is more about the fight.
01:45If you remember, in Rocky IV, in the fight with Drago, he said, I'm seeing three of them
01:50out there.
01:51Yeah.
01:51And Pauly, Pauly, of all people, advised him, hit the one in the middle.
01:55Right.
01:55And Duke, the actual trainer, said, yes.
01:57Good job, Pauly.
01:58Well, Pauly knows.
01:59Yeah, Pauly's got experience.
02:01Hit the one in the middle.
02:02With seeing triple.
02:02Yeah.
02:03Yeah, all the time.
02:05Hit the one in the middle.
02:06That's what Tatsuya Imai is.
02:08He's Rocky, basically.
02:09He's Rocky against Drago tonight.
02:11I had no idea, and actually, that's a big insult to Drago, for me to call the Seattle
02:16Mariners Drago.
02:17This is why this is a fun matchup, Seth.
02:20The Astros pitching is the worst in the American League.
02:23Might be the worst in the major leagues.
02:24It's the worst in the American League.
02:26They have an ERA of over six right now as a pitching staff.
02:29Nowhere to go but down.
02:30The Mariners have the worst OPS offensively in the American League at 580.
02:37They have a team OPS of 581 right now.
02:40Like, you are veering into, back when pitchers used to hit, like, you're veering into that
02:46range of, like, good hitting pitchers.
02:48That was my analogy I always used.
02:50When you'd have Astro everyday players whose OPSs would be, you know, sitting in the mid-500s
02:56somewhere, like, that's what Zach Granke's OPS is.
02:59We could pull Zach Granke off the bench.
03:02He's better than five of you right now.
03:04So, this is, you know, they have the saying, the irresistible force meets the immovable
03:09object.
03:09This is the opposite of whatever that is.
03:12This is the thing about the Astros right now when they're pitching.
03:15We're, obviously, they're not going to finish with the worst ever pitching in the history
03:19of baseball.
03:20Are you going to feed me numbers to make me feel better right now?
03:22I'm knocking on wood.
03:23Maybe audibly so you guys can hear that.
03:25They're not going to finish with the worst ERA in the history of baseball.
03:28Right now, their expected batting average as a pitching staff by the opponent is .222.
03:36That's really good.
03:37Yeah.
03:37If you have a team that's batting .222 on the season, that's a bad baseball team.
03:42They're all, as far as their expected stats, they're just fine in a lot of, they're pretty
03:48much average with a lot.
03:49And it's very early in the season, so you don't want to read too much into anything, but especially
03:53when there's really bad performances or, in the case of the Astros' offense, really good
03:58performances, you know that water's going to find its level at some point.
04:01Yeah, we found that out.
04:02But, I mean, you can see this.
04:03This matches the eyeball test.
04:05There have been so many games this year where, this season already, where just soft contact
04:09has destroyed them.
04:10Yeah.
04:11And it doesn't mean that they're pitching phenomenally or anything.
04:14It's just, it's not as bad as it looks, but also some of these numbers are bolstered by
04:21a couple of Hunter Brown starts.
04:22Sure.
04:23Yeah.
04:23So it's just, it's somewhere, like, it's not going to be as bad as it's been over the course
04:27of the first two weeks.
04:28And this would be a nice time to just start everything leveling out a little bit.
04:32Oh, yeah.
04:32Yeah.
04:32See, I got, I got jealous looking.
04:35I know the Mariners are, what, like 4-9 right now, I think.
04:38Like, the Mariners are worse than the Astros right now.
04:40Yeah.
04:40But I do get a little jealous looking at the pitching probables, like, for Seattle.
04:44Like, I'm looking at this, I'm like, okay, well, at least they've got names in all the
04:48spots.
04:48This is what it looks like for the next four days.
04:51Emai versus Emerson Hancock today, who's been good in his two starts.
04:55Hancock has.
04:57Tomorrow, Lance McCullers.
04:58Okay, Lance is penciled in against Luis Castillo.
05:00Good pitcher.
05:01And then Sunday and Monday, TBD versus Logan Gilbert.
05:06TBD versus George Kirby.
05:08They've got names in their pitching staff.
05:10The Mariners do.
05:11Yeah.
05:11It's the two TBDs.
05:12I'm like, God, I'm so jealous that they can actually, they actually have four names they
05:16can put in the lineup.
05:18Four actual proper nouns.
05:19Four actual human beings.
05:20Yeah.
05:20Proper nouns.
05:21Yeah.
05:22Our TBA is only proper in that it's capitalized.
05:25That's right.
05:25But other than that, it's very, very vague.
05:27Now, we've got a pronoun.
05:28We've got pronouns starting for the first, for two of these games.
05:32Yeah.
05:32Yeah.
05:33He is starting.
05:33We got him starting.
05:35Yeah.
05:35He is him.
05:36But nothing.
05:37No, not in the, not in the way the kids say it.
05:39No, not in the way Mahomes screams it.
05:41No, no, no, no.
05:42Yeah.
05:43It looks like one of them is going to be JP France, though.
05:46Yeah.
05:46That's a pronoun for you.
05:47Until yesterday.
05:48Those funky glasses of his.
05:49I had totally forgotten was in the organization.
05:52Oh, hell no, man.
05:53Well, for a while, I was, I was his champion.
05:57And I was telling you, you and I used to get in arguments about him versus somebody else.
06:01I can't remember.
06:02It was Hunter Brown.
06:03It was.
06:05Shut up, Sean.
06:06Why are you always bringing this up?
06:07It was Hunter Brown.
06:08Why can't I bring up old stuff?
06:12What the hell?
06:13I can't bring up JP France's name without you bringing it up.
06:16You brought it up.
06:17No, I do not.
06:18Now it's all coming back to me.
06:19Because I would bring up how much Hunter Brown, their stats are very similar, but Hunter Brown
06:23was striking people out.
06:24And you gave me the, ooh, strikeouts.
06:31I'm so tired of you browbeating me with this old argument that we used to have.
06:37I don't know what you're talking about.
06:39So, like I said, look, Sean, look, you know, there's time for this to play out.
06:44Who knows?
06:45I have no choice but to get on your JP France train right now.
06:49My Hunter Brown is out with a shoulder injury for the next three months.
06:52If JP France ends up supplanting Hunter Brown on this roster as your ace,
06:56then I will be as happy as anybody.
06:59Okay?
06:59That was one of the greatest moments in the history of the show.
07:03Who was it that you used to bring up Hunter Brown?
07:05The guy who finished third in the Cy Young last year.
07:07Oh, my God.
07:08Hey, look, JP France has been done in by injuries.
07:10Just like your boy Hunter Brown.
07:12Yeah, no, I know.
07:13We're all, yeah, we're back in the green room, man.
07:15We're all on the same level right now.
07:18Yeah, all of a sudden, all of a sudden, JP France and Spencer Arrighetti.
07:22Like, we are 13 games into the season.
07:2513.
07:26And all of a sudden, JP France and Spencer Arrighetti are taking on major importance on this team.
07:33That's not fun.
07:34It's just, he was good that year, Seth.
07:3711 and 6.
07:38JP France is another one of the more underrated guys, or I guess under-discussed guys when it comes to
07:43Astros pitchers
07:44and their long and winding road back from injury.
07:48Because it just feels like it's been just a comeback, a setback, a comeback, a setback.
07:54And who knows?
07:55Maybe when he settles in, we've got our Hunter Brown 2.0.
07:58We'll see.
07:59If I had to guess, JP France, Spencer Arrighetti, there's probably going to be a Jason Alexander sighting here soon.
08:05And look, we don't have any report yet on Christian Javier, who's, I mean, entirely replaceable the way he was
08:11pitching.
08:11But still, you're talking about your five guys that started the season in your rotation.
08:17And we're not even to the middle of April.
08:20We haven't even submitted our taxes.
08:22Well, some of you have.
08:23I haven't.
08:25We're not even to tax day yet.
08:28And we're down 40%.
08:29I'm glad you mentioned that.
08:31You still need to?
08:33I'm going to have to do that this weekend.
08:34That's what Sunday is for me.
08:36Yeah.
08:37That's what Sunday is tax day for me.
08:39So, yeah.
08:40So, JP France, we are all, this city has never been more united in hoping that JP France finally takes
08:48his mantle as the guy who's better than Hunter Brown.
08:51Sitting on his JP France bandwagon, and nobody's been getting on it.
08:54And now, you can't keep people off of it.
08:57I'm trying to remember if JP France was the one whose father has honeybees and makes honey.
09:03But that's actually Blue Ball.
09:05Oh, is it really?
09:06That's what Blue Ball is?
09:07Is that their family business?
09:08Blue Ball's dad, yeah.
09:09It's not their business.
09:10It's a hobby.
09:10He just kind of does it as a hobby.
09:12Okay.
09:12And they give it out to a lot of people.
09:14Oh, really?
09:15Yeah.
09:15Okay, that's my goal.
09:16He needs to stay on the team long enough for us to get a jar of his family's honey.
09:19I remember listening to a Chandler Rome article about it when we were at spring training last year.
09:25Okay.
09:25I was going for my early morning walk.
09:27Yeah.
09:27And I was in a bad neighborhood all of a sudden.
09:30You know when you're in a strange city and you go out for a walk and all of a sudden
09:32you look up and you're like, wow, there's still a lot of people awake this time of this kind of
09:37morning.
09:41That's the best litmus test if you're in a bad neighborhood.
09:45A lot of people awake at 3.30 a.m. in this neighborhood.
09:51And they're slumped over in weird ways.
09:54Yes.
09:54Not the normal ways that people are out running at 3.30 in the morning.
09:58No, no, no.
09:59Sleep patterns and ne'er-do-wells.
10:00There is a correlation in those two for sure.
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