00:00More fun in the NBA tonight because it's time for some spread lines, Joe.
00:03Boston Celtics, Miami Heat.
00:05How about this?
00:06Line overnight, minus four towards the Boston Celtics.
00:08Line right now at most outlets, minus five and a half for the Boston Celtics
00:12and a total, Joe, of 229 and a half.
00:14Last time I saw the Heat, they beat the Philadelphia 76ers.
00:17Now they're taking on those Celtics here.
00:19What's the spread line for tonight for you?
00:21Well, we were laughing, right?
00:23Because, well, listen, we know the Heat.
00:25Yes, this game means a lot more to the Heat than it does the Celtics
00:29at this point.
00:30Detroit wins last night.
00:32Celtics coming off a loss against Atlanta where, you know,
00:37Jalen Brown's like, oh, 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists.
00:40One of my worst games I've played in a long time.
00:44All right.
00:45Well, Tatum's back here.
00:46He's been cleared tonight.
00:47So the Celtics will be healthy.
00:49So for the most part, it appears the Miami Heat will be.
00:53And listen, if Miami can give the same kind of effort that they showed up with
00:57against Philadelphia for four quarters, this is going to be a fun game.
01:02But the Celtics have kind of dominated the Heat over the last couple of seasons,
01:06and they're fully healthy.
01:08So I don't expect a whole lot from Miami in this one.
01:13It feels like the Celtics, pretty good spot for a bounce back,
01:16even on the road here.
01:18Orlando Magic had a rollercoaster game last night.
01:20They're back in it again down there in the Magic City.
01:23The Atlanta Hawks come to town to take on the Orlando Magic.
01:25This line overnight show opened up at 3.5 as a favorite to the Hawks.
01:28Now you see that graphic.
01:29It's up to 4.5 at most outlets now.
01:322.33.
01:323.5 is the overnight number in the total, down a point to 2.32.5.
01:36The Atlanta Hawks and the Orlando Magic tonight in O-Town.
01:39What do we got for a spread line here?
01:41Well, there you go, right?
01:42I mean, Orlando, big cut.
01:44Good win for them, lad.
01:45They needed that as they sit in the number eight spot,
01:49but in a virtual dead heat with Miami in the playing spot.
01:53But Atlanta's only a couple of games ahead of them in the five spot.
01:57So these are actual very important games here.
02:00But the second of a back-to-back, I would not be shocked watching this number
02:05continue to rise towards Atlanta.
02:07Overnight four, now four and a half.
02:09I do think this is tough here for Orlando.
02:12But, hey, listen, they dug this hole for themselves.
02:15They do have a shot to make it out of the play-in,
02:18but this is a game they've got to have here tonight.
02:20I just don't think they're consistent enough offensively to get it.
02:25Let's get into it here.
02:26A little NBA action tonight.
02:27The Boston Celtics on the road to take on the Miami Heat.
02:30Any Miami flu tonight possible for those Boston Celtics, Kevin?
02:33They opened up as a four-point favorite, but now up to five and a half.
02:36The Miami Heat, the only team they can beat, it seems like,
02:38is the Philadelphia 76ers.
02:40The Celtics are coming to town here.
02:42What gives in this one?
02:43The Heat have mixed in a couple of nice wins
02:47with some horrific, horrific losses.
02:51So I do wonder if the point spread here is a little irrelevant.
02:58I feel like this is like a little old-school NFL handicap
03:01and just bet who you think is going to win the game
03:04and just forget about the rest kind of here.
03:08Miami is a little tempting, though.
03:10I still, when I see them priced as a home underdog of, you know,
03:15they were a home dog to Philly, right, the other day.
03:17And I was like, I don't know about that.
03:20Five and a half here from Boston.
03:22And a Boston team who I think they are now,
03:27they've done all their victory lapping, right?
03:28Jalen Brown tweets out gap year every other day
03:31because he's so proud of himself.
03:34He's never, everyone is going to pretend
03:36he doesn't want to give the team back to Jalen.
03:38You know, he does not want to give the team back to Jason Tatum.
03:40We can pretend it's fine, but I'm sure it'll be fine.
03:43Like, Missoula, like, the Coach of the Year case was good,
03:46and then Cade Cunningham had a collapse young,
03:48and J.B. Bickerstaff never loses.
03:51So, like, he's not probably going to beat Bickerstaff
03:54for Coach of the Year.
03:56Boston's deadlocked here.
03:57It'd be Miami or pass for me when I look at this number.
04:01There you go.
04:02I'm going to flip it over to the association.
04:04One of my kryptonite teams in the NBA snapped another long streak for me.
04:06It was Toronto getting upended last night.
04:09But I'm jumping back into a team that not a lot of people
04:11are going to want to take here.
04:12But by the way, they don't have to win this game.
04:14Matter of fact, they barely even have to hang around.
04:16It's the Utah Jazz.
04:17They're at home tonight in elevation to take on another team
04:19who does like elevation in the Denver Nuggets.
04:22Did you know this line opened up overnight at 17 points this morning?
04:25It still sits at 17, despite only about 30% of the ticket count
04:28coming in on the Utah Jazz.
04:31I'm going to take the 17 with the Utah Jazz tonight
04:35just to hang around for a cup of coffee, Joe.
04:3815-point loss gets me the victory here.
04:41Yeah, that is gross, but it has to be done, Donnie.
04:46It's just too many points for a team that just get the win and get out.
04:51That's all that matters there for Denver.
04:53By the way, we have nine games tonight, Joe.
04:55Let me give you some spreads tonight.
04:56Sixers favored by 16.5.
04:58Houston Rockets favored by 17.5.
05:01Raptors favored by 13.5.
05:03Knicks favored by 14.5.
05:05Nuggets favored by 17.
05:07And the Spurs on the road favored by 13.5.
05:10What is going on in the NBA?
05:12But I'll tell you what is going on next year.
05:14Prediction Markets on the early line coming your way.
05:16Make sure you stay tuned.
05:17Prediction Markets on the early line.
05:20It's a time for fun, as we like to say, in a new way to invest and take a different
05:24perspective in some of these sporting events.
05:25And also, maybe some of those political environments as well.
05:28Donnie writes that along with Joe Renier.
05:30We got you for a half hour.
05:31Time to get predictive, Joe.
05:33How do you feel about that?
05:35I'm excited, Donnie.
05:36I'm looking very forward to this weekend, obviously.
05:40Final Four, eventual national championship.
05:42But it does feel good that we've got a lot of afternoon baseball and some things coming up here, especially
05:49postseason-wise in the NHL and NBA.
05:52Some great markets to jump in on here.
05:55Fantastic markets to jump in on, which includes basketball.
05:58Tonight, we're going to hit the Association down in Miami for 7.30 p.m. Eastern tip time.
06:03It's the Boston Celtics in town to take on the Miami Heat.
06:06If we take a look at the Cal State marketplace, currently trading as a favorite to win this at a
06:1065% chance.
06:11It is the Boston Celtics.
06:13Miami is the underdog at 35% as a chance for victory here.
06:17If we include the point spread at 4.5, currently trading at 52% as a chance to cover for
06:22the Boston Celtics.
06:23And the total, Joe, listed at 2.28.5, that trading directly at 50%.
06:29This feels like one of those games, Donnie, where it's, forget the spread.
06:34Although, what is it, 5.5 and a half now.
06:36It feels like either Miami gets blown out or wins the game outright.
06:41And that's the two choices with these two teams.
06:44And I'll say this.
06:45When as much as Jalen Brown has been talking over the last couple about how awful he played in that
06:51loss to the Atlanta Hawks last game,
06:55boy, I'm expecting big things from him.
06:58I know Tatum has already been cleared.
07:00He is going in this one after sitting that one out against Atlanta.
07:04That was the second of a back-to-back.
07:07So, this is a lot of basketball for these two teams here down the stretch.
07:12It means more to Miami or needs it more than Boston does.
07:17But something tells me this has got blowout written all over it.
07:21But look at Brown's numbers here tonight.
07:24Because as much as he's talking, expect a better effort out of him.
07:28Just so you know, Joe, if you feel Jalen Brown gets 30-plus points in this game,
07:33a $100 investment there would pay back $239.
07:36You need some of this extra fuel for the fire that maybe propels you to a big-time scoring game.
07:42We'll find out.
07:42Atlanta's going to take on Orlando tonight.
07:44Atlanta actually trading as the favorite here, Joe, despite being on the road at 60%.
07:49If you take a look at the underdog, Orlando Magic, currently trading at 40% here.
07:53If we include the point spread tonight, Atlanta by 3.5 points, currently trading at 54 cents,
07:58which means $100 investment on the favorite tonight to cover by 4-plus points
08:02would require back a payment of $186 from the prediction market.
08:08Yeah, I mean, listen, nice win by Orlando last night at home against the team that's been rolling here in
08:16the Phoenix Suns.
08:17But second night of a back-to-back, and can they build off of that win?
08:22Well, they might if they were playing the Wizards.
08:24But I just can't trust them, Donnie, in that the Magic have been too inconsistent.
08:30What happened to the defensive-minded Orlando Magic?
08:33They have no identity and can't trust them to put back-to-back wins together.
08:38So to me, I would only look at the Hawks, and with the way they're playing,
08:43I kind of think an under is in play as well,
08:46because the Hawks quietly have been pretty dominant over the last month here defensively versus teams.
08:53Looking at some of those player props here, and if we're looking at the Atlanta Hawks,
08:56Jonathan Kaminga, if he gets 15-plus points tonight on Kalshi,
08:59$100 investment, Joe, would pay back $345.
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