00:00Well, Dr. Hushang Amir Ahmadi is a former Iranian presidential candidate and founder and president of the American Iranian Council.
00:10I would say deadlock, although on the surface of it, both sides are hitting each other.
00:18But at the same time, they really are in a deadlock war, a war that I don't believe will end
00:29any soon for any one of them as victors.
00:33Although I know that the U.S. side is trying to find every opportunity to end it because they already
00:43have recognized that they may have made a big mistake.
00:49Why do you think this is going to go on longer than President Trump is promising?
00:57Well, because on the one hand, the president promises this to be a short-term war.
01:05And then at the same time, he's sending thousands of soldiers and other military assets to the region.
01:15But my hope is, of course, that he is right in saying that it is short-term, meaning that the
01:23U.S. will gradually pull out as opposed to sending in troops.
01:30Again, it is a very contradictory behavior we see from President Trump.
01:37I believe President Trump is trying to balance between the war and the market.
01:43The market doesn't like this war, but the warmongers obviously are pushing for it.
01:51So there is a real struggle in this country between the market and the warmongers.
01:58Let's talk about Iran.
02:00Iran has continued attacks across Israel and Gulf countries.
02:05What is Tehran trying to achieve militarily and politically?
02:11I believe Tehran's strategy is what we call deterrence.
02:19Tehran knows that by sending missiles to Saudis, to Emirates, or to Israelis, it cannot end the war.
02:28It cannot win the war.
02:30It cannot damage these countries in any significant way.
02:37But at the same time, this has been actually, from their perspective, a good deterrence.
02:44That is to say, this hits to the Arab countries, or closing the Strait of Hormuz, has put tremendous pressure
02:57on the United States and President Trump to find a solution.
03:02Also, pressure on the Arab board, and the Arab board are pressuring the United States because they are sitting out
03:11there, really don't know what to do.
03:13They were expecting to be defended by the U.S.
03:17And obviously, U.S. is not in a position to defend them to the extent that they wanted.
03:23And at the same time, the Arab don't want to get into this war.
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