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Europe Today: Iran grozi odwetem, jeśli Trump zaatakuje sieć energetyczną
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00:00Wszystkie prawa zastrzeżone.
00:30Warning of a strong response if U.S. President Donald Trump follows through on threats to target Iranian power infrastructure
00:37within 48 hours.
00:38As the conflict enters its 24th day, tensions are rising with no clear breakthrough in sight.
00:45And growing concerns over global energy supplies as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to impact shipping.
00:53According to the Iranian Red Crescent, meanwhile, thousands of Iranians have been injured since the fighting began,
00:58with more than 1,000 civilians reported dead.
01:02In Lebanon, the toll is also mounting, with over 1 million people displaced.
01:06Meanwhile, in southern Israel, communities are recovering after recent strikes seriously injured locals.
01:12For the latest developments and to find out what to watch next, we're joined here on set by Uri News'
01:17Stefan Cromay.
01:18Morning, Stefan.
01:19Good morning, Maeve.
01:19So, look, President Trump has taken to truth social to say if Iran does not fully open the Strait of
01:24Hormuz within 48 hours,
01:27the U.S. will hit and obliterate their various power plants.
01:32Fill us in.
01:33Well, that ultimatum you just mentioned will expire tonight, and we're all trying to figure out what happens next.
01:39The President will travel to Memphis, Tennessee today for a domestic event,
01:44and hopefully he'll let us know, either on Air Force One or on the ground, what happens next.
01:49Now, together with strikes, potential strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure,
01:56the ongoing surge of U.S. troops to the Middle East could set the stage for a Battle of Hormuz,
02:03which would be, for the control of the battle, the Strait of Hormuz could be a new phase of the
02:10war.
02:10Now, there are roughly 4,500 U.S. sailors and Marines on their way to the Middle East,
02:16as we speak, including an infantry battalion landing team.
02:21Now, those forces are not coming to the area for decoration.
02:25They could be part of a new phase of the war, for instance, the invasion of critical Iranian oil infrastructure,
02:32the island of Kark, for instance, or other installations.
02:35And such an invasion would be an off-ramp for Trump.
02:38He could declare victory.
02:40He could bring relief to the battled oil markets.
02:44And he could keep the Iranians in check.
02:48So, whether this will happen, of course, we have to wait.
02:51And that's the thing.
02:52It's hard to keep up with President Trump.
02:54His messaging keeps changing on this war.
02:57So, what does that say, Stefan, about the kind of strategy here of the U.S.?
03:01Well, strategy is a big word.
03:02It's pretty incoherent.
03:04So, the day before he announced his ultimatum, which would be an escalation of the war,
03:08he said, well, we have basically reached our objectives and we're winding down.
03:13That does not really go hand in hand.
03:16And on Sunday, Secretary of the Treasury Scott Besant said he tried to justify Trump's contradictory remarks,
03:26saying that they're not mutually exclusive and you have to escalate in order to de-escalate.
03:33So, the situation has to get worse before it can get better.
03:36He also offered an interesting timeline.
03:38He said the war could go on for another 30 days or 50 days or 100 days.
03:43Now, Maeve, you picked your number.
03:45We're as smart as we were three weeks ago on this.
03:48Well, whatever happens, we will report it.
03:50And, of course, meanwhile, the humanitarian toll keeps increasing, as we reported earlier, Stefan Kroby.
03:55Thank you so much for that update there.
03:57Now, moving on, Hungary is hosting their annual CPAC conference in Budapest,
04:03just three weeks before the most important elections of Prime Minister Viktor Orban's political career.
04:08In power for 16 years, the populist anti-EU leader is welcoming far-right allies today from Germany, Austria and
04:16Spain, among others.
04:17The CPAC gathering comes as Poland's Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, reveals that Viktor Orban could be leaking e-summit secrets
04:24to Russia's Vladimir Putin.
04:26For more, I'm joined here now on set by our Maria Tadeo.
04:29Good morning, Maria.
04:30Good morning.
04:30So, we know also that President Trump has endorsed, officially, Viktor Orban ahead of this campaign, but he's not showing
04:35up at the CPAC.
04:36No, he is not.
04:37And also, we should note, the CPAC, of course, is a big conservative conference that has become aligned with the
04:43MAGA right and the MAGA world, to some extent.
04:45And that includes, of course, the president of the U.S.
04:47But this is the international branch of it.
04:50It was held yesterday and opened yesterday in Budapest.
04:53Viktor Orban was the keynote speaker.
04:56And this was a conference beyond the traditional talking points, which, of course, has centered around the idea of no
05:02woke, no migration.
05:03Yes, to a Christian-led, family-oriented society was really an event for the glory of Viktor Orban ahead of
05:11that election.
05:11And to that point, the president of the U.S. was not physically present, but he did send a message
05:16in which he said his endorsement of Viktor Orban is full, total and complete.
05:22Let's take a look.
05:23I also want to send my best wishes to Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who I am endorsing, as you know.
05:29I am endorsing his election, which is coming up pretty soon.
05:33He has my complete and total endorsement, as a matter of fact.
05:37The Prime Minister has been a strong leader who's shown the entire world what's possible when you defend your borders,
05:44your culture, your heritage, your sovereignty and your values.
05:46Our two countries are showing the way toward a revitalized West.
05:50We're going to be working hard together on energy, and you're going to be working and continuing to work very
05:55hard on immigration, because Europe has got to sort of get going a little bit.
06:02Well, Europe has to get going a little bit.
06:04You saw that in that message, the president of the U.S., really the full power of the Trump administration
06:08behind Viktor Orban.
06:10We're also expecting, not a date confirmed yet, but expecting a trip by the U.S. Vice President J.D.
06:17Vance, who has cited Viktor Orban as an inspiration when it comes to politics.
06:21You also had Marco Rubio, remember, on a tour in Central Europe just a few weeks ago, all of this
06:26power behind the re-election of Viktor Orban, who is trailing in polls.
06:30But, of course, when you look at any election, as soon as you get close to voting day, and that
06:34is April 12th for the Hungarians, that poll usually narrows the distance between the two candidates.
06:39So you could see a tight race between Viktor Orban and Peter Magyar for any European diplomat in Brussels, the
06:46capitals.
06:46All of them will tell you this is the most consequential election for Europe this year, because the clash between
06:53Budapest and Brussels is now total.
06:55And yesterday, Viktor Orban got a very friendly audience, but just three days ago, let's remember, at the European summit,
07:00he was trashed by everyone, including the head of the European Council.
07:05We're just on that point. We're also seeing a spat between the polls and the Hungarians ahead of this election.
07:09Yes, over the weekend, all of this starts because of a report in The Washington Post, which said two things.
07:15Both accounts are explosive. One is that Russian intelligence worried last month that Viktor Orban is not polling strongly.
07:23And one of the ideas they floated to energize the campaign was to stage an assassination attempt.
07:29That is count number one. And then count number two, this report suggested that the Hungarian foreign minister regularly spoke,
07:35including during meetings with his Russian counterpart, Lavrov, to debrief him on the content of EU summits.
07:43Of course, EU summits, these are held in private. The content is understood to be confidential among the 27.
07:49And the Polish prime minister, Donald Tusk, responded over the weekend in a tweet saying that he is not surprised
07:56about these allegations in the newspaper, as I mentioned, The Washington Post,
08:01but also said the news that Orban's people inform Moscow about EU council meetings and every detail should not come
08:07as a surprise.
08:08We've long had our suspicions that this was happening.
08:11And there's one reason or that's the one reason why I take the floor only when strictly necessary and say
08:16just as much as necessary.
08:19Obviously, the two accounts are explosive. The Hungarians deny it.
08:23But nonetheless, that is the mood between the EU 27.
08:25And this is inevitably going to bring up a question in terms of should the Hungarians be kept out of
08:31delicate discussions?
08:32Should there be closer cooperation among some EU countries but leave the Hungarians out?
08:37And then, of course, there's a question of Antonia Kostak, and he really bring about his authority when it comes
08:42to Viktor Orban,
08:43who, again, was trashed at this EU summit.
08:45But nonetheless, his double veto on Ukraine remains.
08:49Countdown is on to those very important elections.
08:51Maria, thank you so much for that update.
08:54Now, coming up, we'll be joined by Barstian Vector, the EU counterterrorism coordinator.
08:59The Dutch diplomat is at the forefront of Europe's fight against terrorism
09:02and is in the spotlight today, given yesterday marks 10 years since the deadly Brussels bombings
09:08that took the lives of 32 people.
09:1216 who were on board a metro just a stone's throw from the Uranus studio here in the EU quarter
09:17and 16 who were inside the Brussels airport departure area just checking in for their flights.
09:23Good morning. Thank you so much for joining us here on Europe Today.
09:26So look, 10 years on now from those horrific Brussels attacks, for victims and their families watching this morning,
09:32what changes do you feel have been made here that makes Europe safer than it was back in 2016?
09:36Well, first of all, like you say, today is really that we think about all the victims like we did
09:41yesterday.
09:41There were national commemorations in Belgium.
09:43Why? Because this affected so many people.
09:45I think we all know people in some way have been affected by these attacks that reverberated really throughout Europe.
09:51Now, what I'd say to victims today is that we're in a much better place.
09:54We haven't seen this type of large-scale concerted attacks in Europe for the last 10 years or so.
09:59And that's very much thanks to, I would say, in the first place,
10:04the activities of our law enforcement intelligence agencies throughout Europe.
10:08So that's obviously very reassuring as well for our viewers who are tuning in this morning.
10:11So what are the chances of dying today in a terrorist attack in Europe?
10:14Well, if you consider the number of attacks that we've seen, we've seen a different kind of attacks.
10:19We've seen more self-initiated attacks by lone actors, if you will.
10:23So IS, that was responsible for the terrorist attacks in Brussels 10 years ago,
10:27has really adjusted its strategies, which means that we've also had to adjust.
10:31So I would say that the chances are low.
10:33But what we see is that we're trying to grasp a new phenomenon, which is new,
10:38which is young people radicalizing very fast, radicalizing online.
10:44And that's something we have to grapple with today.
10:46And as someone who covered those terrorist attacks, I remember back 10 years ago,
10:49there was no trust between member states, there was very bad coordination as well between authorities.
10:54Has that improved today?
10:55Very much so.
10:56Very much so.
10:56We've, in Europe, and I should say, very much pushed also by the Belgians and the French,
11:02who, of course, were the first affected by these major terrorist attacks.
11:05Their services have very much put together, for instance, a task force together called Task Force G-TN-T,
11:11to work together on these investigations,
11:13but also pushed very much for efforts at European level,
11:16meaning that we've put in place interoperable databases.
11:19We've strengthened our borders.
11:20We exchanged information much more fast at different levels,
11:23at national level, but also at European level.
11:25And mostly, what's very important is that at European levels,
11:28also beyond strengthening our borders,
11:30we've invested much more in relations and dialogues with third countries
11:34because we know that terrorist threat emanates also from beyond our borders very much.
11:38And we're reporting, of course, on the 24th day of the ongoing war in Iran.
11:42We've seen that Europol has warned there could be immediate repercussions for us here in Europe,
11:46be that violent extremism or cyberattacks.
11:49What are you seeing?
11:50Look, any situation of conflict and violence, instability in any region,
11:54always gives an opportunity to terrorists to assert themselves.
11:57And what we're seeing is, of course, that it creates a lot of narratives,
12:00a lot of propaganda online that, again, the young people that I mentioned before
12:04and many others will be affected by, can be influenced by.
12:07That being said, Iran has for a long time already been known as being a,
12:12what I would call a lethal spoiler, using terrorist tactics on our soil,
12:17instrumentalizing criminal networks to carry out attacks,
12:21to basically disrupt our society, to target dissidents, cyberattacks.
12:25We've seen a range of, let's say, instruments used by the Iranians.
12:30So it's been on our radar for a long time.
12:32Of course, in the current context, you could argue that that threat will only increase.
12:36Thank you so much for coming to us here on Europe Today on Euronews.
12:41But now, moving on, European car owners might have to pay up to €150 extra per day
12:47as oil prices surpass $100 a barrel.
12:51That's according to a new study by Transport and Environment,
12:54who argued that unless Europe weans off fossil fuels,
12:57it will always be vulnerable to geopolitical shocks.
12:59Our Jacobianis takes a look at how EU governments are grappling
13:02with this huge consequence of Trump's war on Iran.
13:07Next time you grumble at the petrol pump, who should you really be mad at?
13:12The oil companies, your governments, or maybe the EU?
13:16The truth is, you're paying for a lot more than just the energy itself.
13:20In 20 EU countries, taxes swallow more than half the price of petrol.
13:24And the EU sets a minimal petrol tax, but national governments pile on the rest.
13:29So when the Iran war spikes oil prices, these heavy levies multiply the pain of your wallet.
13:35So are there any governments stepping in to ease the pressure?
13:39The answer is yes, and Spain is leading the charge.
13:43Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez just took drastic action,
13:46rolling out €5 billion emergency package featuring 80 different measures.
13:51The standard 21% VAT on fuel, electricity, and natural gas will go down to just 10%.
13:58And for drivers, that cut is expected to knock about 30 cents of a liter of petrol.
14:04The retail price of butane and propane,
14:07so the gas used to power your stove and heat your home, will be completely frozen.
14:12Finally, the government is also temporarily suspending the tax on the value of electricity production
14:17and issuing direct fuel subsidies for farmers and fishermen.
14:22And some countries are following suit.
14:25Italy and Austria are already planning their own national tax cuts to shield citizens.
14:30Moreover, during the last week's summit, EU leaders ordered the Commission to draft temporary emergency measures.
14:37Which is basically political speak for
14:39we need to find quick fix to stop the bleeding.
14:42But the overall conclusion seems to be clear.
14:44The only permanent escape from volatile fuel prices
14:48is a faster shift to domestic renewables.
14:51So let's look again at Spain.
14:53Because almost 60% of their power already comes from renewables.
14:58They end up being naturally shielded from these gas price spikes.
15:02And I just wish we had this kind of a sunlight here in Brussels.
15:10Now moving on, all eyes on Slovenia this morning.
15:13The EU member states since 2004,
15:15with a population of just over 2 million,
15:17held elections this weekend.
15:19And it looks like a tie between the Liberal Party of Robert Golub
15:22and the former right-wing populist leader,
15:24Janice Jansa.
15:25For more on the dramatic election,
15:27which was overshadowed by election interference
15:29and claims of espionage,
15:31we're joined here on set by Petros Fasoulas
15:33from the European Movement International.
15:35Good morning.
15:36So it was a tight race, Petros,
15:37but we saw the Liberals claiming victory.
15:39Indeed, this was as close as it can get.
15:41And in fact, the election itself,
15:42but also the campaign that preceded it,
15:44was worthy of a Netflix political drama.
15:47We've seen accusations of foreign interference, corruption.
15:51We have seen a very heated debate
15:54between two opposing politicians
15:56representing completely different views of the world.
15:59And as a result, I think the Slovenian voters were found guessing
16:03and delivered a very close result.
16:05And now that it is so tight,
16:07it might be very hard to form a government.
16:08Indeed.
16:09Now a lot depends on who is able to master the coalition
16:12and bring together smaller parties.
16:14So it's by no means a done deal.
16:16Of course, a lot of people in Brussels were worried
16:19that former Prime Minister Jansa would return in power.
16:23We know his close links to Trump.
16:24will know he has been very critical of the direction the EU is taking.
16:28And as a result, he is expected to join perhaps Orbán in the awkward club.
16:33So people will be watching very closely
16:35what the result of this negotiation will be.
16:37And as you said, the election campaign itself was very tricky.
16:40Indeed, indeed.
16:40And we saw once again that even a small election
16:43can master international interest.
16:46And of course, at the moment where we are,
16:48with external interference increasing in our politics,
16:51where democracy is under threat even internally,
16:53even a population of 2 million can make a huge difference.
16:57And that's why forces within and outside of the EU
16:59are trying to influence that result.
17:01Okay.
17:01Petros Vassoulos from the European Movement International,
17:03thank you so much for your analysis there.
17:05And meanwhile, a second round of local elections
17:08took place in France yesterday,
17:10which saw the socialists hold on to power
17:12in the big cities like Paris, Marseille, Lyon and Lyon.
17:16For more on the outcome there,
17:17our France correspondent, Sofia Katzenkova,
17:20sent us this update.
17:22France's municipal elections have delivered
17:24one clear message tonight,
17:26and it's that the left is holding on
17:28to the major cities in France,
17:31including the capital Paris,
17:32where I'm currently standing.
17:34And behind me, left-wing supporters
17:36have just finished celebrating the victory
17:38of socialist mayor Emmanuel Grégoire.
17:42In the second largest city of France,
17:45Marseille, well, socialist Benoît Payon
17:47was also re-elected, but the left remains divided.
17:51The hard-left France unbowed party
17:53also made quite some significant gains this Sunday,
17:56even though they were excluded from alliances,
18:00especially by the socialists during the campaign,
18:03who accused France unbowed of anti-Semitism.
18:07The far-right failed to win some of the major cities
18:10that it was targeting,
18:12including Marseille and the southern city of Toulon.
18:15But in Nice, Éric Ciotti,
18:18an ally of the far-right national rally,
18:21ended up winning.
18:22President Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance party
18:24also made some major gains,
18:27including the southwestern city of Bordeaux.
18:31But this Sunday is more than just about local politics.
18:34It is also an early sign
18:36of how the Battle of France's
18:392027 presidential election
18:41is beginning to take shape.
18:46Sophia Katzenkova there
18:47reporting for us on those elections.
18:50There was also, of course,
18:50local elections in Germany this weekend.
18:53For more on any of those elections
18:54or any of the stories that we're covering for you,
18:57you can, of course, visit euronews.com,
19:00download our app,
19:01or visit any of our social media sites.
19:04But that does bring this edition
19:05of Europe Today to an end.
19:07Thank you so much for your company
19:08and for tuning in.
19:09As always, you can always reach out
19:11and write to us as well whenever you feel like it.
19:13It's Europe Today at euronews.com.
19:15Take care and see you soon on Euronews.
19:21We'll be right back.
19:47We'll be right back.
19:51I'll see you soon.
19:59Bye.
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