00:00So, those are the scenarios over the next four weeks, and because that's the time it takes for this whole
00:06thing to really subside, so it takes about four weeks.
00:10Now, the first scenario is it stays more or less contained in Kent, and whatever cases we're seeing, there's a
00:17few more, like you just said, Hugh, which add to that number, and that's it.
00:21Second scenario is that there are people who've left, so they've gone off campus, and many of them don't stay
00:27in Kent, so they go and stay elsewhere.
00:30They were incubating when they left, and then they become cases, and there are small household, sporadic clusters outside of
00:37Kent, so that's the second scenario.
00:39But they're all containable, they're not really major things.
00:43Third scenario is a worst-case scenario, which is basically that those cases which have gone out of Kent, that
00:49results in another cluster outside of Kent.
00:53So, those are the three scenarios. The most likely is the second.
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