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AccuWeather Vice President of Forecast Operations Dan DePodwin and AccuWeather Climate Expert Brett Anderson discuss the top headlines related to climate change in the March 20 edition of Climate In The News.
Transcript
00:00We're covering two interesting stories today on Climate in the News.
00:03We'll cover both water and fire and the impact of climate change on each.
00:08First, Brett, on the water side of things from CNN, our story focuses on sea level rise
00:13and how a new analysis of other studies has found that they may not all be taking into account
00:18all the different parameters that contribute to sea level rise
00:20and therefore have underestimated how much sea level rise is happening.
00:24Right. We're seeing sea level rise, obviously, from the warming of the oceans,
00:27thermal expansion, also the melting of land-based glaciers.
00:31So what the study looked at was that coastal sea levels generally were estimated by calculations
00:38involving gravity and the rotation of the Earth.
00:41But this study is saying that is oversimplified.
00:44And it seems like there needs to be other parameters taken into account.
00:47What are those parameters and also how do they use satellite data to back that up?
00:50Yeah, so the other parameters that they were looking at here, winds, ocean currents, tides,
00:55temperatures, and the salinity of seawater, which may lead to different results of sea level.
01:00And also they're then using satellite data to validate that.
01:04And they found that in some cases there could be an underestimate here of a couple of feet,
01:07it sounds like.
01:08Yeah, a couple of feet, 385 published studies.
01:1299% of those did not look at real-time sea level levels, which is hard to believe, actually.
01:19So they're corrected calculations by a study found that places such as Southeast Asia were three feet higher than anticipated.
01:26So the result of this is we take that into account, push it forward.
01:31We could be dealing with 37% more land, 68% more people being under sea level by the year
01:372100.
01:38That's a significant change in the estimates and obviously more research needed here to validate these going forward.
01:43We'll turn from water to fire, our second article from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography about California wildfires.
01:50And this for the first time, a study that looked at not just the smoke, but the sort of the
01:53clean air windows or the gap in the smoke between wildfire events, Brett.
01:58Right.
01:58And California has seen a significant increase in the large fires and the intensity of wildfires, not so much the
02:05number of fires.
02:06So this study looked at the gap between these big fire events, the smoke gaps, and they shrank by 60
02:12% from 2006 to 2020.
02:15So that's a big problem.
02:16And what about wildfire smoke and this finding really causes concern about the impacts on people?
02:22Yeah, increased risk of respiratory and cardiovascular disease, premature death, and again, short-term exposure to wildfire smoke may contribute
02:30to 40,000 more deaths each year in the United States alone.
02:33Wow.
02:34So certainly, again, more research needed in this area as well to fully understand the cumulative nature of these impacts.
02:39Where across the state of California were the effects most noticeable?
02:44Okay.
02:44So in Northern California, where we have much more wooded terrain, there's been more fires, of course, more smoke, but
02:51no distinct shortened recovery period between these events.
02:55However, in Southern California, a much greater population, not as much smoke, but the events have become much closer, and
03:03this is causing a big problem.
03:05So certainly a lot of impact in California and also across the entire Western United States.
03:09Thank you, Brett.
03:10For other stories and information about climate, you can find those at AccuWeather.com slash climate.
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