04:36Very good question.
12:19And Europe must prepare for three shocks.
12:23First, the war will not end quickly.
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment.
12:30And second, oil prices are already surging past $100,
12:34threatening a new energy crisis.
12:37Third, is a migration risk.
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave
12:43toward European borders.
12:46And for the US and Israel,
12:48Mushtaba is not a state man.
12:50He is a target.
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it,
12:55calling him an unquivocal target for elimination.
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes,
13:03compromise with the US and Israel might be simply off the table.
13:08Finally, and most importantly,
13:11what does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like
13:16the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 revolution.
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant to end hereditary monarchy forever.
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin,
13:28relying entirely on the military and hardline security forces to keep control.
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition,
13:37he isn't fighting for the Iranian people,
13:40but for the survival of the system.
13:41But one could ask,
13:43can a revolution survive
13:45by becoming the very thing
13:46it once overthrew?
13:53Jacob Yanis there.
13:54Now moving on,
13:55France and its allies are preparing a
13:57quote,
13:57defensive mission to reopen
13:58the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz,
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has sent.
14:03Except the French president
14:04has already landed by helicopter
14:06on the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier
14:07that was dispatched to the Mediterranean
14:09just after the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran
14:12back on February the 28th.
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip,
14:16we can cross now over to Paris
14:17and bring in our correspondent,
14:19Sofia Katsenkova.
14:20Good morning, Sofia.
14:21Just tell us,
14:22what is the message that Macron
14:23is trying to send with this trip?
14:28Well, Maeve,
14:28the message that Emmanuel Macron
14:30is trying to send
14:31is that he will not
14:32be directly involved
14:34in the conflict,
14:35even as France
14:36strengthens
14:37its military presence
14:39in the region.
14:40Speaking aboard,
14:42the aircraft carrier
14:43Charles de Gaulle
14:44deployed in the eastern
14:46Mediterranean last night,
14:47the French president
14:49insisted
14:49that France
14:50is not taking part
14:52directly in the war,
14:54but is looking to reassure
14:55its allies
14:56and protect its interests
14:58in the region.
14:59Earlier on Monday,
15:01Macron also traveled
15:02to Cyprus,
15:03an EU member state
15:04that has become
15:05strategically important
15:06in the region
15:07as tensions escalate.
15:10Just as a reminder,
15:11earlier this month,
15:12a drone struck
15:14a British military base
15:15on this island,
15:16prompting several EU countries,
15:19including France,
15:21to reinforce its defense.
15:23And speaking during his visit
15:25to Cyprus yesterday,
15:27Macron framed the island's security
15:30as a broader European issue.
15:32Let's take a listen.
15:35When Cyprus is attacked,
15:37it is Europe that is attacked.
15:39Cyprus's defense
15:40is obviously an essential matter
15:42for your country,
15:43for your neighbor,
15:44partner and friend,
15:45Greece,
15:45but also for France
15:47and with it
15:48for the European Union.
15:53And as you mentioned,
15:54Maeve,
15:54well,
15:55France is also working
15:56along with other partners
15:57on a future purely
15:59defensive naval mission
16:01to help reopen
16:02the Strait of Hormuz
16:04and escort commercial ships
16:06according to Macron,
16:07which is a key route
16:09for global energy supplies.
16:11And speaking of energy,
16:12the French leader
16:13is back here in Paris
16:15on a Tuesday morning
16:17as he's hosting
16:18an international summit
16:19on nuclear power today.
16:22The meeting is expected
16:23to focus on expanding
16:25nuclear capacity
16:26as countries are looking
16:28for stable energy sources
16:30amid growing geopolitical tensions.
16:33And of course,
16:33I'll be bringing you
16:34the latest from the ground.
16:36Back to you, Maeve.
16:37And of course,
16:38the European Commission President,
16:39Ursula Waller-Lein,
16:40will be speaking
16:40at that very conference
16:41you mentioned.
16:42Sophia Katsenkova,
16:43thank you so much
16:43for that live update there
16:45from the centre of Paris.
16:47And to dive deeper
16:47into President Macron's visit
16:49and goals,
16:50we're joined now
16:50by Pascal Conferfru,
16:52the spokesperson
16:52for the French Ministry
16:54for Europe and Foreign Affairs.
16:56Good morning, Pascal.
16:56Thank you so much
16:57for joining us.
16:58Just tell us more
16:59about Macron's mission
17:00in Cyprus.
17:01Is the war getting closer
17:02to home in your view?
17:05No.
17:06Our goal is to go
17:08to the installation
17:09and to avoid
17:11any regionalization
17:13of the conflict.
17:15President Macron
17:16was in Cyprus yesterday
17:17and then in the
17:18Africa period
17:18there were three
17:19gathered in.
17:20Solidarity in Cyprus,
17:23protection of our
17:24citizens,
17:25protection of our
17:26allies in the region
17:27such as EAU,
17:29Qatar,
17:30and so on.
17:30And he made
17:33more clear
17:34the goal of
17:35a coalition
17:35to the freedom
17:36of navigation
17:37in the Red Sea
17:38and the trade
17:39forming.
17:40But you say only
17:41defensive,
17:41but is there any chance
17:42we could see this
17:43shift in France
17:44getting more involved
17:44in this conflict?
17:47No.
17:48Once again,
17:48our opposition
17:49is that it's not
17:50our war.
17:52It's a strike
17:53by Iran
17:56were made out
17:57of international
17:58law.
17:59We cannot
18:00approve them.
18:01But once again,
18:02what we have to see
18:03is who is
18:04responsible for
18:05first of
18:06this situation
18:07if it's Iran.
18:08Iran was causing
18:09a major threat
18:10to the region
18:11with its
18:11program of
18:12ballistic
18:13placement
18:13or
18:15nuclear armament.
18:16So,
18:17Iran has to
18:18change
18:18dramatically.
18:19It's our
18:20message
18:21that we
18:22convey,
18:22and we
18:22convey directly
18:23when
18:24President Macron
18:25talked to
18:26President
18:26President Macron
18:26of Iran
18:27during the
18:28war.
18:28So,
18:29Pascal,
18:29you're very
18:29critical of
18:30Iran,
18:31but is it
18:31time now
18:31to contend
18:32the US
18:32and Israel?
18:33I mean,
18:33they started
18:34with good
18:34intentions,
18:35but now
18:35the situation
18:36is spiraling
18:37out of
18:37control.
18:39Once again,
18:40the first
18:40responsibility
18:41of the
18:42situation
18:42is we
18:43as a
18:43threat
18:44by Iran.
18:45Even
18:45more,
18:45after the
18:46state
18:47violence
18:47that they
18:49imposed on
18:50their own
18:50people
18:51in the
18:51beginning
18:51of this
18:52year,
18:53in January.
18:54This is
18:55where
18:55Iran has
18:56to stop
18:58sending
18:59some missiles
19:00and drones
19:00on the
19:02neighboring
19:02countries,
19:04and the
19:04other,
19:05because we
19:05have to
19:06avoid
19:07and prevent
19:08any
19:08revitalization
19:09or
19:09destabilization
19:11of countries.
19:11I can take
19:12the example
19:12of Yemen,
19:13which is
19:13a country
19:15that risks
19:15were
19:16not.
19:19Thank you
19:20so much
19:20for joining
19:20us today
19:21on Europe
19:22Today
19:22here on
19:22Euronews.
19:23And thank
19:23you so
19:24much for
19:24watching.
19:25As always,
19:25for more
19:26news and
19:26analysis,
19:27do visit
19:27Euronews.com.
19:28Take care
19:28and see you
19:29very soon
19:29here on
19:30Euronews.
19:58Euronews.
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