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Europe Today: Trump, 'guerra con l'Iran finita' nonostante segnali di escalation
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ALTRE INFORMAZIONI : http://it.euronews.com/2026/03/10/europe-today-trump-dichiara-finita-la-guerra-con-liran-ma-sale-lescalation
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04:02Is Trump playing to the financial markets here or does he really think the war could be over sooner rather
04:06than later?
04:07Well, that's a very good question and it really is a question this morning.
04:10Obviously, we need some context in terms of where those comments came in.
04:14On the Sunday to the Monday, we saw that big spike when it comes to the oil market.
04:19A lot of that reflecting this anxiety that in Iran is still very much the hardliners who are guiding the
04:24country.
04:25And obviously, a sort of escalation that is going to have ramifications in the transportation of oil in the region.
04:31The comments from Trump yesterday appeared to suggest that the U.S. now believes this is an operation they can
04:37wrap sooner.
04:38He did say the war is pretty much to some extent done.
04:42He talked about objectives that have been met.
04:44But of course, it is unclear what the goal then would be because the son of the late Ayatollah is
04:49still in place.
04:51Now, the other factor, too, is that in the same afternoon that he went out and said again,
04:56if this is a question of Iran really trying to mess with the transportation of oil,
05:01there will be severe consequences and they will get bombed like they've not been bombed since this war started.
05:06Let's take a look.
05:07We're putting an end to all of this threat once and for all.
05:10And the result will be lower oil prices, oil and gas prices.
05:14But when the time comes, the U.S. Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the strait if needed.
05:20And if they do anything, the price will be incalculable.
05:24They'll never be able to recover, ever.
05:26And that's, of course, President Trump.
05:28But if you listen to the language, this is really a message to financial markets.
05:33He repeats and goes on about the price of oil.
05:36What will happen if they do anything that messes with the flow of oil?
05:40He is a president.
05:41And this is very particular and very important to understand when it comes to Donald Trump,
05:45is that he really monitors the stock market and he really monitors financial markets overall
05:51as an almost reflection of his performance.
05:53And this is a president who has said in the early days of the campaign for re-election too,
05:57that he wants to see stock markets up.
06:00So really, he likes to present himself as the all-time high for stocks in the U.S.
06:04and also very low energy prices.
06:06This is crucial in the U.S., the gas prices.
06:10This is something that is almost politically in the psyche of the U.S., incredibly important.
06:14So yesterday, those comments trying to reverse those losses that we saw in the early trading on the Monday
06:20and the spike in the oil.
06:22But what I would note, however, is that ultimately, Maeve, this is very simple.
06:26Either he manages a way to find the oil to flow and to move and to bring down prices,
06:32or ultimately this will just be a one-day message to bring that and intervene in energy markets.
06:37But ultimately, no question and no answers as to how is this operation really going to play out on the
06:42ground.
06:42And meanwhile, here in Brussels, we're having these emergency talks,
06:45remote emergency talks among EU leaders today,
06:47and also finance ministers are meeting yesterday and today.
06:50Yeah, so finance ministers met yesterday.
06:52There was also a G7 finance minister's call led by France,
06:56and today there will be a G7 energy minister's,
07:00and we also understand it's going to be a busy day on the phone,
07:02that there will be an EU leader sort of debrief that is handled by Italy, Germany, and Belgium.
07:08So there's this new sort of coalition that is emerging.
07:11Nonetheless, what is relevant from these calls is that ultimately there has been a signal that,
07:15if it is necessary and needed, there could be operations to export or to escort tankers in the Strait of
07:21Hormuz.
07:21Obviously, that's a crucial point for geopolitics, but also the idea that there could be a release of strategic reserves.
07:28This is not the moment.
07:29That's what the French said yesterday, but a concern from the Europeans that you could enter a sort of stagflation
07:34scenario if global growth is impacted,
07:36and you continue to see this spike in oil, which then reflects in inflation.
07:41So at this point, it is a sort of wait and see from the Europeans with concerns on the global
07:45economy.
07:46Okay, and we've extended reporting on all those meetings, of course, on yournews.com.
07:49Maria Tzayel, thank you so much for that update.
07:51As always, but now moving on.
07:53In this context of an escalating war and a major oil supply disruption,
07:57MEPs are gathering in Strasbourg this week for a routine plenary session.
08:01To hear their views on the current state of play,
08:03we can actually cross now to the European Parliament in Strasbourg and bring in yournews' Mared Gwynne-Jones.
08:08Good morning, Mared.
08:09Tell us, what is the view from Strasbourg there on the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran?
08:15Yes, Maeve, good morning from the European Parliament.
08:18Now, this institution doesn't set the EU's foreign policy, of course,
08:22but traditionally it has taken a staunchly critical stance towards the Iranian regime.
08:27And to discuss more, I'm now joined by the chair of the parliament's Iran delegation, MEP.
08:33Hanna Neumann.
08:35Good morning.
08:36Let me start with this.
08:38Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed in this war,
08:41only to be replaced by his son.
08:44Is this war doing anything, in your view, to help the Iranian people?
08:48Good morning from Strasbourg.
08:50And Ayatollah Khamenei was responsible for the death
08:53and the brutal repression for so many Iranians.
08:57So his death has sparked some hopes,
08:59but him being replaced with his son
09:01just signals a sign of continuity and of more repression.
09:05So this clearly is not what Iranians had hoped for.
09:09Okay, and yesterday we heard Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen saying
09:13there's two schools of thought here with this war.
09:14One saying this is a war of choice by the U.S.
09:17and Israel and the others saying,
09:19well, this is a war of necessity, this was needed.
09:21Where do you stand?
09:23Donald Trump promised that help is on the way to the protesters
09:26before he started this war.
09:28Right now we see him, and I mean,
09:30some of you saw the press conference yesterday.
09:32It is quite unclear what his goal are,
09:35what his strategies are to get there.
09:37And he's gambling with the life of 90 million Iranians
09:41and a whole region.
09:42And I frankly say I can't endorse a war.
09:44I don't know what the goal is nor what the strategy is.
09:46And the Iranians clearly deserve better.
09:48You say you don't know what the goal is.
09:50If it is regime change,
09:52is it right in your view to seek change in the regime through force?
09:56It will be quite a difficult way to get to regime change.
10:00What is clear is that in the long run,
10:02regime change can only come from the inside.
10:05So when people from the Revolutionary Guards, from the army, defect,
10:08and when there's a broad coalition of people from inside and outside of Iran
10:12who represent the diversity of Iran,
10:15who really come up with a new vision for this country,
10:17this cannot come by bombs alone.
10:19And in this context then, what can the EU do?
10:22We've seen quite a fragmented response.
10:24Spain and Slovenia outliers in the condemnation of the initial attack.
10:28What can it do to exert diplomatic leverage here and urge de-escalation?
10:32I think we have to indeed urge for de-escalation.
10:34The first thing is to work together with the Gulf countries.
10:37This is not our war, right?
10:38We have to deal with the consequences.
10:40And the same is true for the Gulf countries, even more, even worse.
10:45So I think we should work together with the Gulf countries
10:47to push for de-escalation towards Trump and Israel,
10:51to clearly make them understand what they are gambling with
10:54and to tell us what their goals, what their strategies are,
10:57and then have a reasonable discussion.
10:59But also towards the Iranian regime, because the regime is going to fall.
11:02The question is how many of its own people
11:04and how much of the region are they dragging into the abyss?
11:07And I think we should make this as short as possible.
11:09Okay, MEP Neumann, thank you so much.
11:11And Maeve, there will be a three-hour special debate here in the parliament
11:15tomorrow morning on the escalation situation in the Middle East.
11:18Back to you.
11:19Okay, Marek Gwynne-Jones, thank you so much for that live update there from Strasbourg.
11:22And also to your guest, the Green MEP, Hannah Neumann.
11:25Now, just days after his appointment,
11:27Iranians are very much divided over their new Supreme Leader, Mustafa Khamenei.
11:32Iranian state TV is just showing his supporters celebrating with joy,
11:35but many also Iranians are expressing fear of repression.
11:38Critics worried, of course, about his very strong connections to the IRGC.
11:43Jakob Yanis takes a closer look.
11:46Someone clever once said that history is not about recording dates,
11:50but about connecting the dots.
11:52Iran has named Mushtaba Khamenei as its new Supreme Leader,
11:56and now everyone is talking about his biography.
12:00But your reporter wants to take a different look.
12:02Let's analyze what his appointment actually means.
12:06And for Europe, that signals a cold winter of diplomacy.
12:11Mushtaba is a shadow operator with deep ties in the Revolutionary Guard.
12:15His rise suggests Tehran has no interest in negotiations.
12:19And Europe must prepare for three shocks.
12:23First, the war will not end quickly.
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment.
12:29And second, oil prices are already surging past $100,
12:34threatening a new energy crisis.
12:37Third, is a migration risk.
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave
12:43toward European borders.
12:46And for the US and Israel,
12:48Mushtaba is not a state man.
12:50He is a target.
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it,
12:55calling him an unquivocal target for elimination.
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes,
13:03compromise with the US and Israel
13:05might be simply off the table.
13:08Finally, and most importantly,
13:11what does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like
13:16the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 revolution.
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant
13:22to end hereditary monarchy forever.
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin,
13:29relying entirely on the military and hardline security forces
13:32to keep control.
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition,
13:37he isn't fighting for the Iranian people,
13:39but for the survival of the system.
13:42But one could ask,
13:43can a revolution survive
13:45by becoming the very thing
13:46it once overthrew?
13:53Jakob Yanis there.
13:54Now moving on, France and its allies
13:56are preparing a, quote,
13:57defensive mission to reopen
13:58the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz,
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has sent.
14:03Except the French president
14:04has already landed by helicopter
14:06on the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier
14:07that was dispatched to the Mediterranean
14:09just after the US-Israeli strikes on Iran
14:12back on February the 28th.
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip,
14:16we can cross now over to Paris
14:17and bring in our correspondent,
14:19Sophia Katsenkova.
14:20Good morning, Sophia.
14:21Just tell us,
14:22what is the message that Macron
14:23is trying to send with this trip?
14:27Well, Maeve,
14:28the message that Emmanuel Macron
14:30is trying to send
14:31is that he will not be directly involved
14:34in the conflict,
14:35even as France strengthens
14:37its military presence in the region.
14:40Speaking aboard,
14:42the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle
14:44deployed in the eastern Mediterranean
14:46last night,
14:47the French president insisted
14:49that France is not taking part
14:52directly in the war,
14:54but is looking to reassure its allies
14:56and protect its interests in the region.
14:59Earlier on Monday,
15:01Macron also traveled to Cyprus,
15:03an EU member state
15:04that has become strategically important
15:06in the region
15:08as tensions escalate.
15:10Just as a reminder,
15:11earlier this month,
15:12a drone struck
15:14a British military base
15:15on this island,
15:17prompting several EU countries,
15:19including France,
15:21to reinforce its defense.
15:23And speaking during his visit
15:25to Cyprus yesterday,
15:27Macron framed the island's security
15:30as a broader European issue.
15:32Let's take a listen.
15:35When Cyprus is attacked,
15:37it is Europe that is attacked.
15:39Cyprus's defense is obviously
15:41an essential matter for your country,
15:43for your neighbor, partner and friend,
15:45Greece,
15:45but also for France
15:47and with it,
15:48for the European Union.
15:53And as you mentioned, Maeve,
15:54well, France is also working
15:56along with other partners
15:57on a future purely
15:59defensive naval mission
16:01to help reopen
16:02the Strait of Hormuz
16:04and escort commercial ships,
16:06according to Macron,
16:07which is a key route
16:09for global energy supplies.
16:11And speaking of energy,
16:12well, the French leader
16:13is back here in Paris
16:15on a Tuesday morning
16:17as he's hosting
16:18an international summit
16:19on nuclear power today.
16:22The meeting is expected
16:23to focus on expanding
16:25nuclear capacity
16:26as countries are looking
16:28for stable energy sources
16:30amid growing geopolitical tensions.
16:33And of course,
16:33I'll be bringing you
16:34the latest from the ground.
16:36Back to you, Maeve.
16:37And of course,
16:38the European Commission President
16:39Ursula von der Leyen
16:40will be speaking
16:40at that very conference
16:41you mentioned.
16:42Sophia Katsenkova,
16:43thank you so much
16:43for that live update there
16:45from the centre of Paris.
16:47And to dive deeper
16:47into President Macron's visit
16:49and goals,
16:50we're joined now by Pascal,
16:51Konfafru,
16:52the spokesperson
16:52for the French Ministry
16:54for Europe and Foreign Affairs.
16:56Good morning, Pascal.
16:56Thank you so much
16:57for joining us.
16:58Just tell us more
16:59about Macron's mission
17:00in Cyprus.
17:01Is the war getting closer
17:02to home in your view?
17:05No.
17:06Our goal is to go
17:08for a de-escalation
17:10and to avoid
17:11any reorganization
17:13of the conflict.
17:15President Macron
17:16was in Cyprus yesterday
17:17and then in the
17:18Eiffel period,
17:19there were three
17:31and he made it more clear
17:34the goal of a coalition
17:35to the freedom
17:36of navigation
17:37in the Red Sea
17:38and in the Great Home.
17:39But you say only defensive,
17:41but is there any chance
17:42we could see this shift
17:43in France getting more involved
17:44in this conflict?
17:47No.
17:47Once again,
17:48our opposition
17:49is that it's not our war.
17:52It's a strike
17:53by the United States
17:54and Israel
17:55and Iran
17:56were made out
17:57of the international
17:58law.
17:59We cannot approve
18:00them.
18:01But once again,
18:02what we have to see
18:03is who is responsible
18:05first of this situation
18:07if it's Iran.
18:08Iran was causing
18:09a major threat
18:10to the region
18:11with its program
18:12of Palestine
18:13or the armament.
18:16So,
18:17Iran has to change
18:18dramatically.
18:19It's our message
18:21that we convey
18:22and we can convey
18:23directly
18:23when President Macron
18:25talked to President
18:26of Iran
18:27during the war.
18:28So, Pascal,
18:29you're very critical
18:30of Iran,
18:31but is it time now
18:31to contend the US
18:32and Israel?
18:33I mean,
18:33they started
18:34with good intentions,
18:35but now the situation
18:36is spiraling
18:37out of control.
18:39Once again,
18:40the first responsibility
18:41of the situation
18:42is the threat
18:43controlled by Iran.
18:45Even more
18:45after the state violence
18:47that they imposed
18:50on their own people
18:51in the beginning
18:51of this year
18:53in January.
18:54This is where
18:55Iran has to stop
18:58sending some missiles
19:00or some drones
19:00on the neighboring
19:02countries
19:03and the other
19:05because we have
19:06to avoid
19:07or prevent
19:08any revitalization
19:09or destabilization
19:11of countries.
19:11I can take an example
19:12of a country
19:14that risks
19:15the war.
19:17Pascal,
19:18we'll have to leave it there.
19:19Thank you so much
19:20for joining us today
19:21on Europe Today
19:22here on Euronews
19:23and thank you so much
19:24for watching.
19:25As always,
19:25for more news
19:26and analysis,
19:27do visit Euronews.com.
19:28Take care
19:28and see you very soon
19:29here on Euronews.
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