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  • 4 hours ago
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00:00Feels like, especially with Team Japan and Team USA, at least early on when they play these teams that shouldn't
00:07even be on the field,
00:07feels like a lot of overs are coming, maybe team totals over.
00:12Are we going to the alternate markets? Are we laying three and a half runs?
00:17Like, I mean, there's got to be a way to capitalize on the disparity between the level of play here.
00:23No, there is. When you look at the run line for the USA game later tonight, they're playing Brazil.
00:29So it's nine and a half. Nine and a half runs. That's what you see as an in-game at
00:35Coors Field, right?
00:36So it's nine and a half. The total is 14 and a half. It is juice minus 140 to the
00:40over.
00:41You know, I would like to say there's some amount of correlation if USA is covering nine and a half.
00:46The game goes over 14 and a half. Frankly, I would rather play the 14 and a half, even though
00:50it's got the juice of minus 140.
00:52I think hopefully Brazil can get across, let's call it two runs, right?
00:56And then USA can do the rest of the heavy lift. Like, USA is going to have to do 90
00:59% of the work in this circumstance.
01:00And listen, any extra runs that Brazil can push across is obviously fantastic.
01:04But I'd rather take the over than lay the nine and a half. That's just me.
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