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کاری از گروه آبانگان به میزبانی نیک آهنگ کوثر (روزنامه نگار حوزه آب)

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00:00Today,
00:29I'm here to tell you that for much of the world, normal is gone. This is not to kill hope,
00:38but to encourage action and an honest admission to failure today to protect and enable tomorrow.
00:45Today, the United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health is releasing
00:50our flagship report, Global Water Bankruptcy Living Beyond Our Hydrological Means in the
00:55post-crisis era. This report, published on the occasion of our 30th anniversary, declares
01:02that the world has entered the era of global water bankruptcy, calling for a fundamental
01:08shift in how the global community understands our most vital resource, water. For decades,
01:16scientists, media and policymakers have warned about a global water crisis. Those warnings
01:22were not wrong, but the language has become incomplete. The word crisis suggests something
01:28temporary, a shock, an emergency, followed by recovery. What we documented in this report
01:36is a different reality, though. Emerging in many places, what we see is a persistent failure state
01:45where water systems can no longer realistically return to their historical baselines. We call
01:51this condition global water bankruptcy.
01:53You know, there's a message here. It might sound dark, but as we say, like if I'm a, some journalist
02:09asked me about this, and I said, if I'm your doctor and you're suffering from cancer, I'd better tell you
02:15today. So you can take action to be able to save the future. Yes, reality might be dark, might be sad,
02:22and heartbreaking sometimes, but it's better to speak about it. As the report tells us, this is not
02:29the issue of global south. This is not the issue of poor countries or dry countries. It's something
02:34that we share, and it's something that provides us an opportunity, an unprecedented opportunity,
02:40and strategic opportunity to come together and act. So the report, we consider it as a wake-up call,
02:48a wake-up call about something that many of the global south nations have been warning us about or
02:53telling us about at any opportunity they found. We are seeing that a new era has come, marked by
03:03insolvency and irreversibility of some issues. Some basins around the world have continued to use
03:10more water than they can afford. With climate change, things are becoming even more limited.
03:16The budgets are becoming limited, but we continue to spend. We continue to steal water from the
03:21environment, the silent stakeholder. And, you know, guess what? For some period, the environment is
03:27very friendly and helps us and supports us, but it can lose its resilience. Surface waters are shrinking.
03:35Those are our checking accounts. Surface waters get renewed every year. The nature is kind enough
03:42and generous enough to deposit some budget, some income, give us some income. And in the bad years,
03:48it's normal to go to the savings account and buy resilience in the dry years. But what we are seeing
03:54around the world is that the savings accounts are also draining and we are exhausting them. Groundwater
03:59is a good example. We have drained the natural assets that we inherited from our ancestors. And that's
04:08something that is extremely important. Of course, when we are talking about water bankruptcy, we don't mean
04:14that every state, every location, every basin is in its same situation. Things are very different from
04:19one location to another. Geography, socioeconomic conditions, stage of development is different. But what the
04:26report tells us is that we are continuing to see manifestations of water bankruptcy appearing in
04:33different forms and shapes around the world. Glaciers are melting. That's another major important strategic
04:42assets or parts of the savings account that we have been losing. And the consequences are dire. We're
04:49not ready to cope with this level of change or disruptions, I would say. Agriculture is one of
04:57the victims. It's one of the victims that we talk about surface, but we don't talk about the real
05:03solutions. Seventy percent of the water withdrawn in the world is in the good hands of farmers, mostly in
05:11the global south, mostly in poor economies. Water shortage to them, water bankruptcy to them is a loss of
05:18livelihood, it's loss of income, it's hunger, it's forced migration, it's increased tension in countries
05:25and national security threats. Yet we don't have the solution, the real solution to offer. Technology is
05:31part of the solution, but it's not all. Because governments, as we know, would have a hard time to
05:37take away water from them or removing subsidies because it's a mission impossible. They need to
05:44continue to survive, and that makes the problem harder. If you look at the global water agenda,
05:50we haven't really touched this part of the problem, except for talking about better management, which
05:57we all agree to, and some of the academic solutions that we in academia are very much used to, like
06:05remove subsidies and do this and do that. But they're very hard to implement in practice. We have
06:11soil salinization on top of everything, like land degradation that we are seeing, and all of these
06:17things together are making things harder for us. Drought are more anthropogenic these days than
06:23natural. They keep remaining in our system. Even in wet years, in the normal years, drought conditions
06:29don't go away, and that's a big alarm to us and an evidence that is shared in the report. The problem is
06:36not only quantity, as water bankruptcy might imply, it's also the issue of quality. In many places
06:43around the world, we have water on paper, but it's not usable because of the issues that we are seeing.
06:50In many wet parts of the world, that's a problem that we are facing. So water bankruptcy is not only
06:56about that, but also about water quality. And tipping points are being reached or passed in certain
07:03places, and we cannot move back. So the question is, are we ready for these things? On top of all
07:11these things, now we are seeing signs of water bankruptcy appearing in cities. Remember that urban
07:17sector is the last one to be impacted because we're willing to take water away from agriculture and give to
07:22cities. But now we're seeing more and more frequent day zeroes around the world, which is another
07:27big sign. But what is the topic of water bankruptcy? So it's not only a metaphor. It should remind us,
07:34of course, it's similar to the financial bankruptcy problem. We start with the checking account. We have
07:40some resources in our checking account that we are okay to use as long as we're not stealing from nature.
07:48Then we have the savings account that I just explained to you. And then we have the expenditure
07:52on the other side. We continue growing. We continue developing. We also have, you know,
07:58now new needs and new demands. One of those being data centers, AI, and all these things. And we want
08:04to get industrialized. We want to take advantage of all those opportunities, but then there are trade-offs
08:09to deal with. And those trade-offs become very hard to deal with when they impact the lives of those you
08:16care about. The poor, the vulnerable communities, the rural communities, the indigenous communities.
08:21Taking away water is not easy. We keep talking about the issue of insolvency, meaning that that
08:27expenditure is much more than the available water. But on top of that, we have the issue of irreversibility.
08:32Some of the damage to the natural assets that produce water, the machinery that produces water,
08:41is also being compromised. This is not only about the climate system. It's about everything else
08:46within that system. Wetlands, glaciers, soil, and everything that we have there. And we normally don't
08:53necessarily count them as components of the water sector. They're all being impacted. And indeed,
09:00the problems in the water sector are also reinforcing climate change. And that's another thing that we don't
09:06speak about. Now I'm telling you about the crisis and shortage and increasing scarcity. You know that
09:12well. But if you look at what has happened in the world, water consumption continues to increase
09:17as well the agricultural area or farmed area at the same time that we have temperature increase
09:25and some issues of climate change. So how are you going to do this mass balance? How does this
09:31become possible because we're taking out all the resources available? So what does
09:37water bankruptcy look like? It can appear in different forms and shapes around the world.
09:44Top left, Chennai, India. A day zero in India that the whole city became water bankrupt. Survival has been
09:56possible. Systems can still bounce back, but there is a lot of pressure on them.
10:00Top right, glacier melt in Tibet. Resources lost. Bottom left, Lake Mead,
10:07the largest reservoir in the United States that inspired actually development,
10:12dam building around the world in its lowest level throughout its history. This is not the issue of
10:20the Global South. It's also the issue of Global North. Next to it, a lake that is looking different
10:26because of quality issues. Next to it, soil salonization. Next to it, Lake Runya,
10:33northwest Iran. Similar trend to what we saw in Aral Sea and Great Salt Lakes in the United States,
10:40in Dead Sea and Salon Sea and many other locations of the world. Next to it, a land subsidence and
10:51sinkholes. And what happens to you when you take more and more water out? And that's Turkey. So these
10:57things can happen and they can appear in different forms. They're all signatures and signs. And then
11:02the question that the report asks is, can we continue calling this situation a crisis?
11:10One thing to note is that we are, although the problem can appear everywhere, we're not equally
11:15impacted because our capacity, our resilience, the capacity to absorb shocks and pressure is different.
11:22Depends on our institutions. Depends on our economic capacity. Depends on our socioeconomic
11:27conditions and where we are in this stage of development. And if you are impacted differently,
11:34then one thing that the report says is that the issue that happens in another place in the world
11:42must be your issue. Because the world is interconnected, not only through the natural system,
11:47climate system, but also through food trades, supply chains, migration, economy and everything.
11:55So what happens in another part of the world, as we have learned in the hard way, would affect us.
12:00And if water is a pillar of national security, if water can undermine national security, the problems
12:07can go global. Now, we hear about the warnings, but what does the report says? I should highlight and
12:14emphasize on the fact that the report didn't try to provide the solution. It's even naive to think that we
12:21can't solve a problem of this scale overnight because we're calling for a change of thinking,
12:27a change of attitude and understanding and appreciating the urgency. Indeed, our reductionist
12:34approaches or tendency to come up with quick fixes is what has got us here. So we should avoid repeating
12:40that. We have to think deeper about what needs to be done, but recognize the fact that the issue of the
12:49Global South with agriculture, with farmers, is a major, major problem that we haven't got ready for.
12:56This is a political economy issue. It's related to everything else we speak about. And unless we
13:02think about it differently and formulate it differently, we cannot solve this problem. This problem will knock
13:07down more and more systems and more baselines would be eroded around the world. Now, what is the
13:13positive message? The positive message is important here. Bankruptcy is not the end of the world. It's
13:21bitter. It's an honest confession to an admission to a mistake, to the fact that our lifestyle is not
13:28sustainable. Our business model is not working. But you communicate properly to the stakeholders that this
13:35issue is there and we've got to urgently address this through transformative changes, through
13:40transformation, through something that is different from our practices in the past, which were very
13:45supply-oriented. We increased supply. Every time we saw a shortage, we built a new dam. We dug a deeper
13:51well. We brought another desalination plant into the network and recycling and reuse and all these
13:58technologies. They work only if they're combined with measures to cap water consumption. Because we have
14:05learned it in the energy sector. We have learned it in the water sector. The moment you increase supply,
14:09consumption increase would follow. And if we don't cap consumption, we would repeat this
14:16problem and make it worse. But water is something that is different in this world. In the world that
14:22countries are, you know, nationalism is growing. Countries are talking about some valid concerns.
14:28Food security, self-sufficiency, being impacted by by traits, thinking about their disability of their
14:35economy, providing jobs and so on. Water is one of the rare topics that we can all agree on. Within
14:42nations, left and right, conservatives and liberals, the republicans and democrats, but also between
14:47nations. Global South has been talking about it. And the Global North also understands more than before
14:53today how detrimental these problems can be, how important they can be. So in a world that is more
15:00fragmented than before, water can be a common denominator because it's connected to every problem
15:05we speak about. And not only it's a pillar of national security, food security, and so on,
15:11it's a medium of delivery when it comes to the Rio conventions. Think about it. We have treated
15:17water as a downstream sector. A sector that is impacted by all other things. Climate change is
15:22impacting water. That's true. But water also is impacting climate change.
15:26The real thing is that we see or experience in Iran, it is not only related to Iran. It is a
15:34subject of the world. Today, some of the people who have a shame in Iran that, for example,
15:39the water is actually true or not, the water is actually true or not. It is obvious that the
15:45It says that this is a global event and Iran is only a country of the world that will be with this global event.
15:52At the same time, those people who are fighting and who have a lot of faith,
15:56if they have a conversation, they will be upset and they will be upset and they will be upset
15:59and they will be upset that there are other parts of the world from the global countries.
16:04There are problems in this way.
16:06There is no doubt that there is no doubt or problems in Iran,
16:10And some of them have been working on the other side.
16:13But this means that it can be seen that others should be aware of.
16:17How can they be done with which work could be best to get done with that.
16:21Some of them should be able to get rid of some of the things they should be able to get rid of.
16:23And it would be convinced that these people should be able to get rid of their own issues.
16:27And it would say that every person in the inside of this situation,
16:31it could be in a way different way to get rid of the water and the water and the water.
16:38and the soil will take to the surface of the soil which will be in the upper corner,
16:42the rain, the green, the green, the green, the green, the cold, and the ground,
16:48other natural soils, the forest and the forest, these issues will be affected.
16:56And if we want to protect our water from water, make sure we have a
17:04is a series of different types of natural types
17:09that have a form of water in the corner of this.
17:13The hydrologic types of other types of natural types
17:16that have been used in the same place
17:18that if the water comes from the other ones
17:20and if the other ones come from the other ones
17:22that they must have been encouraged
17:24and it won't be able to keep water
17:26if the jungle is not being able to keep water
17:29or if they don't keep water from the other ones
17:32and the other things. The question tells us how much water is involved in other things.
17:39The important thing is about the security and the security of the government,
17:46the various processes in terms of the election, the economic issues and the geopolitical issues.
17:54The question tells us that we need to think about this area when we say
18:00that the earth is in the direction of the water water.
18:05This means that all the places of the earth, all the areas of the land, all the areas of the water,
18:11all the ground and all the water water, all the water water and all the water water.
18:18This means that we can see the environment of the water water,
18:24and in the obviously books that are a bigger point of view of reality that the problem is to be a bigger point of view of reality and that's the piece of view of reality,
18:35the problem of a bigger point of view of reality and the problem is to give it a bigger point,
18:42the right way of being transformed, the way of being transformed into the experience
18:46and the ability to use it and it can't be able to bring it to this situation.
18:51The question says that some of the mistakes are from physicality.
18:57For example, we don't have a experience or we don't have a knowledge that we can bring it back.
19:04There are a few examples that are from political or political parties
19:11or from political parties.
19:13like many of them,
19:15and the suffering of them,
19:17meaning some of the other parts
19:19that are certainly
19:21in a way of the labor and the law
19:23are in order to leave them
19:25and to give them
19:27a lot of the areas
19:29that are in the military
19:31or in the military
19:33with the military
19:35and the military
19:37and the military
19:39and the security of the military
19:41a lot of these concerns are important and they are difficult to make the discussion.
19:47We must understand that 70% of the water in the center of the government and the government
19:53of the government to solve problems. The problem is that the problem that we have in Iran
19:57is to talk about the economic and political policy. Until the time of the Iran
20:00these countries can't be able to do the issues and the rules of the government
20:05and the rules of the government to make sure that they can't be able to
20:09should be able to earn security,
20:12capable of a peaceful approach and
20:15a huge detail in the world that we have to operate in the country.
20:19We do not need to get rid of the world.
20:20That we can do a feito-cl Riddle
20:22and not have proven to do one force
20:24to create a made-up,
20:26extreme precaution,
20:27even though the world can't even
20:29be used in the water.
20:32And with the local waters of the country,
20:35it can be done in the economic advance.
20:37and it can be found in the other parts of the world.
20:41This is why after two decades,
20:45this is a form of a class that can be used for a conversation
20:53or a conversation or a conversation.
20:57The thing that the conversation says is that it is a very
21:01very common and common and common and common.
21:05We can think that we can only do 4 models and the problems that are very strong.
21:15We just say that these problems are not a problem.
21:21We need to think more about them.
21:24But if we can think that we can think about the lens,
21:27and we can make the decision that we have to make,
21:30and we can make the decision to make and make the decision
21:37and make them in our own, we can make.
21:41And the first step is the change in the conversation,
21:44change of the speech,
21:46and the change of the culture.
21:48This is the thing that the conversation is in the moment of this conversation.
21:51The conversation is also the way to make it
21:53Yes, it may be black, but the first step in the path of Pirozi, is the result of the fact that we see that the problems are present.
22:05We see that the problems are present in the system of the leadership, the system of the government,
22:12in the world, that the problems are present.
22:15The question tells us that it will not be possible to enter the land in the countries,
22:22in the city, in the city and in the city, in the city and in the city, in the city of Pirozi,
22:26that has been a lot of work that has the courage to do.
22:30The question tells us that there are many of the views, the views, the views, the views,
22:37and the Rizzi and the views we have provided by the cultural representation that this phenomenon does not exist.
22:46This means that the system will provide more attention to the board,
22:52and also, in the side of the stand-up of Biina-Milil,
22:55some of the global traffic view the Biina-Milil two-tv.:
22:57and this should be used to the view of the Prophet.
23:00It's a huge idea that many people have a abnormal,
23:08a non-culture, a human condition,
23:09a human condition,
23:13it's a huge condition,
23:15it's a huge condition,
23:16and they make a human condition,
23:18and the disease is being damaged.
23:20But there's a big issue that is important,
23:23if you want to make this video,
23:24you can buy it a lot of money
23:26and you can think that no way of getting on it.
23:29But I've been talking about the countries and about the results of the country.
23:34It can be done with two things.
23:35The fact is that we can make a situation.
23:37Say it's a growing brand.
23:38We can be able to change the way we can make a situation.
23:42And we can make a situation and do this situation.
23:46What is the situation that is just the situation in the world.
23:50The situation and the stability and the situation.
23:52And we can make a situation that we can do.
23:54We can make a situation where we have a situation.
23:56and the relationship is given to their disease that they know what is possible.
24:00If a disease is a disease or a disease, they can say in the first days that the disease has a pain, a pain, a pain, a pain, a rape, a rape, but the first step is broken.
24:14But the result is that if we can take the status of this disease, the status of this disease, we can take care of it.
24:21probably the manis will not be able to get better and get the situation before the arrest
24:28but he will be able to get his blood and his body from the complete complete
24:35and the political situation of science that the facts are given and the fact that he thinks
24:41that he thinks that in the case of the language of some of the scientific and some of the political
24:46and political problems of the world of the world will not be able to stop and in the case of the world of Kishore,
24:53and this is important for the language of Kishore.
24:56If you think about the country, you can think about the issue of one point by one point,
25:01and the other point, you can think about the issue of the world.
25:05The other point is that the issue of the water is only the peak of water from the water,
25:13even if it is only a lack of a lack of water,
25:16and the quality of water is also very important.
25:18The quality of water can be used to be a result of the water in the air.
25:24The water can be used to be used to be used to the water.
25:28In a way of a water-watering,
25:31a water-watering,
25:33a better lighting and a better lighting,
25:36this is the situation in 30.5 years
25:39and I hope that we will be able to make a change and make a change.
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