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The United States sharply escalates its military posture around Iran, deploying more forces to the Middle East than during three major wars combined. As aircraft move in, carriers switch off transponders, and Washington signals heightened readiness, Tehran responds with blunt military and diplomatic warnings. From Iran’s “red line” to Qatar’s alarm over a regional explosion, World News with Pankaj Mishra breaks down the scale, signals and stakes behind a fast-narrowing margin for error in West Asia.

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Transcript
00:00Good evening, this is World News. Tonight, war math that should command attention.
00:08The United States has now deployed more military force to the Middle East
00:11than during three major wars combined. Aircraft are moving, carriers are going dark,
00:17and the distance between deterrence and confrontation is shrinking fast.
00:22We begin with the scale and the signal of Washington's military surge around Iran.
00:27The numbers are stark. In just 36 hours, Washington positioned its 12th C-17 Globemaster
00:34at bases encircling Iran, each capable of carrying 77 tons of weapons. And now,
00:42the USS Abraham Lincoln is moving into the Arabian Sea. More US assets than the Gulf War,
00:48more than Iraq, more than both combined, and Tehran is watching closely.
00:54The USS Abraham Lincoln is on the move, and the stakes couldn't be higher. As of January 20,
01:042026, the latest U.S. Naval Institute report shows the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier was transiting
01:12westbound through the Andaman Sea, just after passing the Strait of Malacca. Its destination,
01:18the Arabian Sea, placing it within striking distance of Iran. But here's the twist. The Lincoln has gone
01:27completely dark. Its AIS transponders are switched off, a standard security measure for sensitive
01:33operations, yet one that adds a heavy dose of uncertainty amid rising U.S.-Iran tensions.
01:40At transit speeds of 20 to 25 knots, the carrier could reach the Arabian Sea in less than 48 hours.
01:48That puts the clock on a potential confrontation with Iran officially ticking.
01:53The Lincoln isn't alone. Accompanying it are three destroyers, the USS Frank E. Peterson Jr.,
02:02USS Spruans, and USS Michael Murphy, all armed with Aegis missile systems and long-range tomahawks.
02:11Meanwhile, the carrier's air wing includes up to 90 aircraft from F-18 Super Hornets to F-35C Lightning IIs,
02:22capable of long-range strikes with aerial refueling. Hours from now, the carrier could establish a
02:29patrol in the Arabian Sea, placing it just a few hundred miles from Iranian territory, a position
02:36that allows the U.S. to respond immediately to any provocations. Air reinforcements are already in
02:44place. F-15E strike eagles have been deployed to Jordan. C-17 cargo flights have delivered crucially
02:51equipment, and coalition partners like the U.K. are coordinating typhoon fighter patrols. This is
02:58more than a single ship. It's a full-scale show of force. The Lincoln's rapid deployment,
03:06tracker blackout, and full combat readiness sent a stark message. The U.S. is ready to act if tensions
03:13with Iran escalate. But the question on everyone's mind is, will this be a standoff or the opening
03:21countdown to conflict?
03:27Iran's military response is no longer subtle. A senior commander has issued a blunt warning to
03:32Donald Trump after remarks targeting Iran's supreme leader. Rear Admiral Habibullah Sayyari says,
03:39Trump crossed a red line, calling the comments, quote, dead wrong. Iran's armed forces now say
03:47any threat to the supreme leader would trigger devastating retaliation,
03:51and the message is being echoed at the highest diplomatic level.
03:56A senior Iranian military commander has just delivered a sharp warning to Donald Trump after
04:03the U.S. President made provocative remarks about Iran's supreme leader. And the response from Tehran,
04:10blunt, public, and unmistakable. Rear Admiral Habibullah Sayyari, deputy chief of Iran's army for
04:18coordination, says President Trump crossed a red line. Responding to Trump's calls for an end to Ayatollah
04:26Sayyad Ali Khamenei's leadership, Sayyari dismissed the remarks outright. His words were simple and
04:33forceful. Trump was dead wrong. Sayyari's statement comes amid a wave of increasingly direct warnings
04:40from Iran's top military and political leadership. Just a day earlier, armed forces spokesperson,
04:46General Abul Fazl Shaqarchi, said any hostile action against the supreme leader would trigger
04:53devastating military retaliation. He brushed off Trump's rhetoric as clamor, but made clear that
04:59an actual attack would come at a very high cost. Iranian President Massoud Pazeshkian echoed that
05:06message. He warned that any move against Ayatollah Khamenei would amount to a full-fledged war with
05:13the Iranian nation. Together, the statements signal a unified message from Tehran. The supreme leader is not
05:20just a political figure. He is a red line. These warnings come as Iran continues to face unrest
05:28that began with economic protests in late December. Iranian officials claim the demonstrations were
05:34later infiltrated by riotous and armed elements, which they say were backed by the United States and Israel.
05:41According to Iranian intelligence, security forces moved quickly, arresting ringleaders,
05:54seizing weapons, and restoring order across the country.
06:01Trump has repeatedly commented on the protests, at times suggesting the U.S. could intervene militarily
06:08if Iran confronted demonstrators. He has also made personal remarks about Ayatollah Khamenei,
06:14calling him weak, sick, and even an easy target. Those comments appear to have intensified Iran's
06:21response. Sayari pointed to January 12th, when millions of Iranians rallied nationwide in support
06:29of the supreme leader. He said the massive demonstrations neutralized what he described
06:34as foreign plots against Iran's Islamic system. According to the commander, the events showed
06:40public unity, not weakness. Sayari also stressed that Iran's armed forces are stronger than ever.
06:47The message from Tehran is now unmistakable. Iran's leadership says criticism is one thing,
06:54but threats against its supreme leader cross into dangerous territory. As tensions rise and rhetoric
07:00sharpens, the question remains, will words stay words, or is the region edging closer to another confrontation?
07:08Now, this warning did not come through state television. It came through the Wall Street
07:27Journal. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Aragji writes that Iran is fully prepared to fire back
07:34with everything it has, if attacked. He calls it not a threat, but a reality check. Take a look.
07:43Iran's Foreign Minister has just issued his most direct warning yet to the United States,
07:49and he did it in plain sight. Not at a rally, not through state TV, but in an opinion piece for the
07:57Wall Street Journal. Iran's Foreign Minister warns Trump, we will fire back.
08:03Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragji says Iran is prepared to respond with overwhelming force if it
08:11comes under attack again. In his words, our powerful armed forces have no qualms about firing
08:18back with everything we have if we come under renewed attack. Aragji stressed that this was not a threat,
08:25but what he described as a realistic assessment of Iran's military posture. Aragji said Iran showed
08:32restraint earlier this year, but warned that restraint should not be mistaken for weakness. According to him,
08:40any future conflict with the United States would not be limited or short-lived. He wrote that an
08:46all-out confrontation would be ferocious, would drag on far longer than expected, and would likely pull
08:53the entire region into the fighting. Aragji repeatedly blamed Israel for escalating
08:59tensions between Tehran and Washington. He claimed that Israel and what he described as its supporters
09:06in Washington are pushing the U.S. toward a war based on unrealistic assumptions. Assumptions,
09:12he says, ignore the regional consequences.
09:15Turning to President Donald Trump, Aragji said Trump sees himself as a deal-maker, but argued that
09:22his policies have instead produced instability. He pointed to conflicts across the Middle East and
09:28said that lives have been lost in multiple countries during Trump's current term. Aragji also claimed that
09:35U.S.-Iran talks in Oman last year came close to a compromise before collapsing. He said those talks
09:42failed because of political pressure inside Washington, which he attributed to Israel-linked interests.
09:49On the recent unrest inside Iran, Aragji rejected allegations of a violent crackdown on peaceful
09:56protesters. He said the protests were initially recognized as legitimate, but later, according to
10:02him, were overtaken by armed groups and what he called terrorist actors. Aragji claimed Iranian police were
10:09caught off guard by coordinated attacks and that officers were killed in brutal ways. To illustrate the
10:16scale, he compared it to 600 U.S. law enforcement officers being killed in 72 hours. Independent
10:24human rights organizations dispute Aragji's version of events. While Iranian officials say around 5,000
10:31people were killed, activists and opposition groups claim the number could be significantly higher,
10:37with tens of thousands detained. Those concerns were cited when Aragji was barred from attending the
10:43Davos World Economic Forum. Despite the warnings, Aragji insisted that Iran prefers diplomacy. He said
10:51Iran remains open to what he called serious and respectful negotiations, but is no longer convinced
10:58the U.S. shares that approach. His message to Trump was blunt, try respect. Aragji says Iran wants peace,
11:07but is prepared for war. Whether this public warning leads to talks or deeper confrontation remains to be seen.
11:16Now from Gulf, a stark warning. Qatar's Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdul Rahman Al Thani says
11:23the Middle East could quote, explode at any moment unquote. Speaking at Davos, he urged regional players
11:32to step back from the brink warning that a direct U.S.-Iran clash would be catastrophic. With Gaza unresolved,
11:40Red Sea attacks escalating and great powers watching closely, analysts also warn a single spark could
11:48trigger consequences far beyond West Asia. Right now, a stark warning is coming from the heart of West Asia.
12:00At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Qatar's Prime Minister said the region could explode at any moment.
12:08And that warning is not hyperbole. It is a signal. Qatar's Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdul Rahman
12:17Al Thani spoke on January 20, 2026. And his message was clear. West Asia is sitting on a powder keg.
12:27He urged regional powers to unite, rebuild trust, and rethink the entire security architecture before it
12:35is too late. Why now? Because the fault lines are widening. Inside the Gulf Cooperation Council,
12:44deep rifts are emerging. Saudi Arabia and the UAE, once close allies, are at odds over Yemen. The UAE is backing
12:54separatist groups, while Saudi Arabia is pushing to keep Yemen united. This disagreement is not just
13:01diplomatic, it is military. And it is destabilizing the entire region. Qatar, positioning itself as a
13:09mediator, is calling for dialogue. It is quietly aligning with Saudi Arabia, while warning that any
13:16escalation could spill into the Red Sea, into Sudan, into Somalia. A regional fire becoming a continental
13:25one. But the bigger shadow looms over Iran. The aftershocks of the Gaza conflict are still unresolved.
13:33Houthi attacks in the Red Sea continue to threaten global shipping. And U.S.-Iran tensions are rising
13:40after Iran's crackdown on anti-regime protests. Qatar's foreign ministry has been blunt. Any U.S.-Iran
13:49military escalation would be catastrophic. Not just for the region, but for the world.
13:56Here's why. A direct U.S. strike on Iran would not stay limited. Iran's network of proxies, Hezbollah in
14:04Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, militias in Iraq and Syria, would respond immediately. U.S. bases, Israeli targets,
14:13Gulf states, multiple fronts at once. And then there's energy. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz,
14:21a choke point for 20 percent of the world's oil. Close that Strait and global markets panic. Russia,
14:29deeply tied to Iran through weapons and war in Ukraine, could step in. China, Iran's top oil buyer,
14:37could deploy naval forces if energy flows are threatened. One direct clash, one misstep, and a
14:44regional war becomes a global one. This is why Qatar is sounding the alarm. It hosts U.S. bases,
14:52talks to Iran, and mediates conflicts others cannot. The message from Davos is simple and chilling.
15:00West Asia is not drifting toward crisis. It is standing at the edge. What happens next could shape
15:08the world?
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