Houston Texans Favored vs. Steelers in Wild Card Matchup

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00:00For the majority of last week, Joe, we had the favorites, the Houston Texans,

00:03which they're still the favorites today, but they were favored by three and a half.

00:06That number is not in the marketplace anymore.

00:08It's the Texans by three and a total of 38 and a half.

00:12Cold conditions tonight, but not ultra freezing.

00:14Weather conditions, any snow?

00:16Nope.

00:17Rain?

00:17Uh-uh.

00:18And also winds under 10 miles an hour, which should help out the offenses

00:21because they're going to need it tonight, Joe.

00:23Your thoughts early today on a Monday on the Texans still being favored

00:27and what we possibly are getting a look at tonight.

00:30Well, it's, again, we've seen the public loves themselves some Houston Texans here

00:37and can't figure out why it is that this line is moving towards Pittsburgh.

00:42But it's one of those situations we know in the wild card, Donnie, forever now.

00:48I think now over 80 games, the last 80-plus wild card games,

00:55the winner wins in covers, right?

00:58We never get a situation.

01:00And we got the rare one with the Rams that won but didn't cover.

01:04But that was the biggest spread that we have seen in wild card history.

01:07So the 10 and a half was over the top, but they won the game.

01:11But for the most part, you never get a win and don't cover.

01:15So whoever, don't bet a team like Pittsburgh if you don't think they can win this game outright.

01:20Because it's almost a 90% trend here going back 80-plus games.

01:25If you like Pittsburgh, sure, you can take the three, but you better take them on the money line.

01:31And the same thing here with Houston.

01:33Spreads rarely come into play in the wild card round.

01:36And it feels like this line moving towards Pittsburgh, yeah, it feels like the market believes,

01:43at least the influential bettors believe, that Pittsburgh can not only cover this,

01:47but is going to win this game outright.

01:50And I like the chances because I think I trust, believe it or not, Aaron Rodgers more than I trust C.J. Stroud.

01:56I trust the Pittsburgh offense more than I trust the Houston offense.

02:01And I think that's going to matter in this spot.

02:03And I think that's going to matter in this spot.