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  • 2 days ago
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00:00Joel Sherman here. The Cubs have traded with the Marlins, giving up one of the better prospects in
00:07baseball, outfielder Owen Casey, as part of a three-prospect deal to get Edward Cabrera,
00:14the right-handed, very talented right-handed pitcher of the Marlins. It was a player the
00:19Yankees had an interest in. They had talked quite a bit to the Marlins. They talked to the Marlins
00:24about several players, but clearly Cabrera was of great interest to them. They want to add another
00:29starting pitcher, knowing that Carlos Rodon is kind of scheduled to come back about May 1st from
00:37his elbow surgery. They hope Garrett Cole by maybe June 1st from his elbow surgery and Clark Schmidt in
00:42the second half. They have enough starters, if everyone were healthy right now, to kind of like
00:48get through until May 1st, June 1st in the second half, but that's depending and acting like no one
00:54else will get hurt. And certainly there's questions about the high side of some stuff because they'd
00:59have to depend on Paul Blackburn, Ryan Yarborough, Will Warren, who is Cam Schlittler for a whole
01:05season, Max Fried coming back from a heavy workload, the heaviest of his career, Luis Heal as a constantly
01:12injured pitcher. So they want to add another starter. Cabrera was a part of the list of people they've
01:18talked a lot about. And look, we're in January. There's still about a month to go until spring
01:24training and then another six weeks until the regular season. The key thing for the Yankees
01:29has been they've been trying to bring back Cody Bellinger. They're still trying to do that. I think
01:34they believe the number is way too high for them. And if Cody Bellinger can get that number, then
01:39he's going to leave. And the Yankees are either going to find another way to get an outfielder or a bat,
01:46or they're going to live with Jason Dominguez and ultimately maybe Spencer Jones in left field.
01:51I think the Yankees are in a period of frustration to some degree. I think offseason last year,
01:59at the moment they lose Juan Soto, they were able to enact a plan that they really liked and able to
02:04do a lot of things and match up well. Free agency with Max Fried, they were very comfortable giving
02:10him the $200 million plus that he received. He was a guy they really loved.
02:16And then they made a series of trades for Bellinger, Fernando Cruz, Devin Williams that they were also
02:23comfortable with. And they kind of signed a small free agent deal with Paul Goldschmidt and that got
02:27done. And then in the next marketplace in July, they found that marketplace amenable to their
02:33second level prospects. They kept most of their best prospects and were able to make a series of
02:38trades, notably for Ryan McMahon and David Bednar and Jose Caballero, et cetera,
02:42that they thought made them much better. And this offseason, they just have not found matches
02:49to their liking. They have felt the free agency prices on relief pitchers have been way too high.
02:56They were interested in, say, a reunion with Luke Weaver and were surprised where that number went.
03:01They've tried on Bellinger, obviously, and don't like where the number is at currently. They've tried
03:06for a couple of starting pitchers, including Cabrera. So where does that leave them? It leaves them
03:12either having to raise prices, whether in prospects or in dollars, or live with kind of what they have
03:21right now. I will say this. Bet MGM has them at 93.5 or over under, based on, I'm sure, a little bit
03:30that they think they'll do more, that they'll get Cole and Rodon back, et cetera. But it would
03:35be a sign they think that they're a good team. That's the highest over and under for an American
03:41League team. It's second in the majors to the Dodgers. So the Yankees believe, and certainly
03:46Casinos believe, that they're starting with a good base. They want to add to it. Will that in the
03:53outfield end up being Bellinger? Will they have to do a secondary thing, like perhaps reunite with
03:58Harrison Bader as a right-hand complement to someone like Dominguez or Jones, and a little
04:04bit to use in centerfield instead of Trent Grisham? And can they find the starting pitcher they like
04:10in this marketplace? And I do think that Hal Steinbrenner is restricting dollars. The way
04:15the Yankees operation works is Brian Cashman brings everything he likes to Hal Steinbrenner.
04:21He recommends the ones he really likes a lot, and then sees that Hal Steinbrenner is okay spending the
04:26dollars. From what I understand, Brian has not gone to Hal and said, I would do this for
04:34Bellinger, or I would have done this prospect base for somebody like Cabrera. I like Cabrera,
04:41but he is an oft-injured pitcher. If you dig into the numbers a little bit, he's not a guy who's done
04:47great against the best competitions. He's highly, highly talented, and he's a good get. But I believe
04:54if Owen Casey is the guy who went from the Cubs to the Marlins, and he is the guy, you know, the key
05:00guy, the Yankees probably, that level of prospect is George Lombard Jr., who's their number one
05:05prospect. And I think the Yankees are hesitant to move him in any trade, particularly for a guy they
05:12would have to worry about his injury history. Not talent. Edward Cabrera is really, really talented.
05:19So the question is, the Yankees have several weeks until they show up in Tampa. They have weeks after
05:25that to the regular season. Brian Cashman has certainly done a lot of off-seasons where he
05:30didn't do moves until very late, and even well into spring training, and close to the dawn of the
05:35regular season. I would be surprised if there isn't some stuff that he does. But clearly some stuff has
05:43come off the board, and at some point they're going to have to, you know, the stare down with
05:47Bellinger. Is this just another version of DJ LeMayu or Zach Britton, two guys who waited well
05:54into January until they re-signed with the Yankees, but had kind of indicated early on they really
06:00wanted back, the Yankees wanted him back, and they haggled and haggled, and they got there.
06:05Or is Bellinger different? They'll haggle and haggle, and maybe they want each other, but somebody will
06:11break to much higher than the Yankees, or longer than the Yankees are willing to do with Bellinger,
06:16and they end up having to do something else. And who is that extra starting pitcher they bring in?
06:22Again, I would suspect that the Yankees have done this for a long time. They'll figure out
06:26a way to a starting pitcher, but we know now it's not going to be Edward Cabrera.
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