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Bregman? Tucker? Bichette? What is going on? Is Bregman still Red Sox "plan A"? Red Sox offseaso
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2 weeks ago
Bregman? Tucker? Bichette? What is going on? Is Bregman still Red Sox "plan A"? Red Sox offseason: slow. Sox have yet to sign a free agent. Are they playing the market slow or missing out?
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00:00
It's been a very slow offseason, and because of it, the Red Sox are maybe the slowest of offseasons.
00:07
They are one of two teams who have yet to sign a free agent, which seems like almost hard to believe.
00:13
But I will say this.
00:15
I would still, I am still, still, still give, I don't want to say benefit of the doubt,
00:21
but when it comes to the Red Sox, it's easy right now to sit here and say,
00:25
Hey, you know what? You are one of two teams.
00:28
The other team being the Colorado Rockies, who hasn't signed a free agent.
00:32
But my lead is, you still got to wait a little bit.
00:35
Because what they're doing, and I don't agree with what they're doing,
00:38
I want them to do what the Toronto Blue Jays did.
00:41
I want them to be the shock and awe team.
00:43
I want them to go, we need a guy, Dylan Cease, we're going to sign him.
00:47
Hey, we need another guy, we need another pitcher, we're going to sign a three-year guy, Cody Ponce,
00:51
to a three-year deal, even though everyone's saying he's going to get two years.
00:54
There's not a lot of teams out there.
00:56
But as I point out, there's been only, only four contracts of more than three years in this free agency.
01:04
So what does that tell you?
01:06
It tells you that teams are slow playing this, that they're playing the market.
01:11
And really, maybe that's what the Red Sox are doing here.
01:14
I don't necessarily agree with it.
01:16
I'm of the mind, you're talking about being GM, I think it could be an excellent GM.
01:20
But I would lead on the side of the A.J. Preller, the Dave Dabrowski.
01:24
You want a guy? Go get the guy.
01:26
But still, you have a contract yesterday, in this pitcher from Japan, Tatsua Amai.
01:35
And he's 27 going into 28.
01:38
And a lot of people thought he was going to get this six-year, $150 million contract.
01:42
Everybody was projecting him to get.
01:44
He lands with a three-year deal at $62 million.
01:47
What does that tell me?
01:49
That tells me that the free agent market maybe isn't what everybody thought it was going to be.
01:55
And that tells me that maybe, maybe there's a chance that you are going to be able to do what I didn't think you would be able to do
02:03
when it comes to Bregman, certainly Bregman, or, you know, maybe a backup plan, anybody else.
02:10
Because the free agent market, when you have a guy who is projected to have a six-year deal at 27 going into 28
02:17
and lands with a three-year deal, even with the opt-outs, then you have a wake-up call that, hey,
02:23
and we had Lucas Giolito on the podcast last week.
02:26
And he said, oh, how's it thinking?
02:28
He said, crickets.
02:29
Crickets.
02:30
Lucas Giolito's a good pitcher.
02:32
He's a good pitcher.
02:33
Like, he's a youthful pitcher.
02:35
He'll find his deal.
02:36
But when he's, we're sitting here at the end of December at the time, in January,
02:41
and that guy is saying, I haven't really got any offers.
02:44
It's crickets.
02:45
Could you say, though, too, that that's a result of the owners knowing a lockout is coming
02:50
and they're not willing to get involved in long-term deals?
02:53
Everyone says that, but I don't necessarily buy into that.
02:56
You hear Scott Boris, who knows a lot about this stuff, has lived through this stuff,
03:00
and I don't think that him say, he actually would have the motivation to say, oh, yeah,
03:06
the owners are screwing us because of the lockout.
03:08
He's like, no, I've been through lockouts.
03:10
This is our lockout situations.
03:13
Lockout threatens.
03:14
Yeah, but in former lockouts, and you can correct me if I'm wrong, you were the one that was covering
03:18
these.
03:18
Like, it wasn't battling for a cap, though.
03:21
Like, this one is, right?
03:22
They're always battling for a cap.
03:23
Last one, they were batting for a cap, too.
03:25
But the point is with the Red Sox is I gave, when it came to Bregman, because Bregman, I
03:33
do believe is their plan A.
03:35
I do.
03:36
And I think that Bichette is a great fit.
03:38
I don't think they'll ever win a bidding war for Bo Bichette because of the way they
03:43
do things.
03:44
Because they, based on this is what you're worth, we're going to get as close as possible,
03:49
but we're not going to get into this uncomfortable world of the shock and awe offer, like, basically
03:54
the Toronto Blue Jays will, who also want Bo Bichette.
03:57
I don't think you're ever going to win that.
03:59
So I'm not even counting Bo Bichette.
04:01
If you have Bregman, if you have your plan A, Alex Bregman's your plan A, how do you get
04:05
him?
04:06
Last year, you had, he fell to you.
04:09
Three years.
04:10
Good for you.
04:11
You played the market right.
04:12
You played the market right.
04:14
I always said from day one this year in the offseason, you weren't going to be able to
04:18
do that this time.
04:19
There's no qualifying offer attached.
04:21
There's going to be more teams.
04:22
Now you have Arizona.
04:23
Now you have, um, now you have the Toronto Blue Jays potentially.
04:27
Obviously you have the Cubs.
04:28
You have these other teams.
04:30
You have more competition.
04:31
You aren't going to be able to sit there and in February do what you did last year.
04:35
I don't think, I don't think, but my point is maybe, maybe, who knows?
04:41
Maybe they were right in jumping the gun and trading for Sonny Gray because these other
04:47
pitchers, you know, it wasn't worth it.
04:50
Maybe it was right for jumping the gun and trading for Wilson Contreras because I, that's
04:55
still, I take that back.
04:56
That still wasn't right.
04:57
You got to get Pete Alonzo.
04:58
All right.
04:59
But my point is, is that, that there's still a lot of players out there and those players,
05:06
it's not like these players are trending to get a lot of money.
05:08
So I did not get a lot of money.
05:10
Yeah.
05:10
I mean, I even look at the Pete Alonzo deal.
05:12
It's not like he got a crap load of money.
05:15
No.
05:15
And I think that's, what's most frustrating and where I still don't necessarily have faith
05:19
that they're going to sign Bregman back is that even in a race where you didn't really
05:25
have to outbid that much, like you didn't have to spend this exorbitant amount of money
05:30
to get Pete Alonzo here.
05:31
You had zero interest in doing it.
05:33
I am totally with you.
05:33
Here's the thing that they haven't done, right?
05:36
Good for you.
05:37
You had this great off season last year, but what you haven't done, you haven't shown
05:41
the ability to win a free agent bidding war.
05:44
And don't give me Bregman last.
05:46
You're the Boston Red Sox.
05:47
Yeah.
05:47
Well, exactly.
05:48
We said this a million times that you go through that stretch from 2000 during the Theo Epstein
05:53
years and even some of the Ben Sherrington years and certainly Dave Dombrowski.
05:58
You aren't, you were never, if you wanted a player, you weren't going to lose out on him.
06:02
That was a fact.
06:03
The Boston Red Sox weren't.
06:04
They are doing things differently.
06:05
They are going off of models.
06:07
That's why they don't get Pete Alonzo.
06:09
I'm with you.
06:10
I'm like, if you, if you make it off for the guy five years, you're telling me if you don't
06:13
give him the same off for the Orioles, he isn't going to the Red Sox and wife from Massachusetts,
06:18
like all of this, you give him five, one 50.
06:21
He's a, he's a Boston Red Sox.
06:22
Right.
06:22
So like, I do not agree with the way they go about doing things in that respect.
06:27
And they still have not won that, that battle back free.
06:31
They didn't want so that they didn't Pete Alonzo.
06:33
They didn't.
06:34
So now it comes to, even with this market, are they going to be able to win that?
06:40
They're going to have to win that battle with Alex Bregman this time more than the last time.
06:43
All I'm saying is that the way that this market is trending, when you have that contract yesterday
06:49
with Amai, a guy who's 27 going to 28, who gets a three-year deal instead of a six-year deal,
06:55
that tells you that that's like a red flag that maybe things, we talked about David's lead about
07:01
this dragging out.
07:02
It can work both ways.
07:03
It can be dragging out because you can't get the offer.
07:06
It can be dragging out because you're waiting, because you're playing the market.
07:09
If you're a player and you're getting a big offer.
07:11
Well, the way it's trending right now, also going off of what Giolito said,
07:15
is that there's not a huge market there.
07:18
There's not a lot of money.
07:20
But the Reds, I will say this.
07:21
The last thing I'll say, Chris, is that all that said,
07:25
say give the Red Sox a little bit of the benefit of the doubt.
07:28
All that said, they better be careful.
07:30
Because if it does come down to, hey, Arizona's offering Alex Bregman five years,
07:36
and he's your plan A, and you just, well, we only value him at three or four,
07:41
four years, then shame on you.
07:43
Because that's not how this works.
07:44
Because do you think they were involved at all in Amai or no?
07:48
No, he's, well, here's the thing with Amai.
07:50
Everyone wanted him to be this ace.
07:52
But if you talk to people in baseball, they're like, eh, eh.
07:55
I said he's, he, when I talk to people about Amai,
07:59
the vibe I got was this guy, this is a deep cut,
08:02
but you say Kikuchi back in 2018, who ended up getting a three-year deal.
08:07
It wasn't, this is not Yamamoto, as much as Boris wanted to say,
08:10
this is not that guy.
08:11
And ultimately, that's why he got the deal that he did.
08:15
Because I don't think baseball thought he was as good as everyone wanted to do.
08:18
Anyway.
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