Kalshi Predicts the College Football Championship Game

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00:00Am I wrong for thinking this, Joe?

00:02Because when we take a look at the teams to reach the National College Football Championship game,

00:06you're really looking at saying, you know what?

00:08Yeah, Ohio State's there, Indiana's, we get it.

00:10But I got a feeling like the winner, Joe, of Oregon and Texas Tech

00:13is going to find its way into the championship game.

00:16Now, am I wrong?

00:17Because I like what Indiana's done this year.

00:19Don't get me wrong, Joe.

00:20They lose a key defender there.

00:21We get it.

00:22And they're wide receivers.

00:22They got a quarterback that's probably going to go number one overall.

00:25But I just feel Oregon and Texas Tech are better football teams than Indiana.

00:28And it sounds crazy.

00:29What do you mean, Donnie?

00:30It's the number one team in the country undefeated, and they beat Ohio State.

00:32I'm telling you right now, if we look at some of the predictive markets, Joe,

00:35to make the college football final, not win it, Texas Tech is at a 24% chance,

00:40which $100 pays back 417.

00:42If you take a look at Oregon, they actually have a little bit better odds.

00:45$100 pays back 385.

00:47So if you bet both of those straight shots, both plus money, Joe,

00:50I really think the winner of Oregon and Texas Tech can make it into the college football final

00:54and get you a positive ticket, even if you take both the five seed and the four seed.

00:58Yeah, I mean, it's a good look.

01:00I mean, again, it would be a rematch if Oregon does knock off Texas Tech, a team that they lost to in Indiana, 30-20.

01:08They were a significant favorite at home against Fernando Mendoza.

01:12That was a 2020 halftime game for the Oregon Ducks.

01:17Second-half adjustments, they did have critical turnovers.

01:20Indiana capitalized on them, and that's why they were able to win that matchup by 10 points.

01:25But you look at Dan Lanning, you would give him the advantage potentially over Signetti,

01:30not to take away anything from Kurt Signetti in his second year in, you know, Indiana and Bloomington.

01:37But Oregon has been in this position before.

01:40They lost to Ohio State in the Rose Bowl last year.

01:43You would hope that Dan Lanning has learned from that.

01:46They also have a game under their belt, and that's potentially why you would give the inside edge,

01:51I think, to Oregon over Texas Tech in that second-round matchup.

01:55Concerns about Texas Tech with the layoff, I think, could always be a factor.

01:59All those second-round games, you give the edge to the team that's already played a game before,

02:04but we'll see how it plays out.

02:06Again, it's not going to be easy for Oregon.

02:08Texas Tech can run sideline to sideline, and again, they force turnovers.

02:13Rodriguez, their linebacker, and that front seven are very difficult to run on.

02:18If Oregon can't run the football, they're going to be up against it,

02:21but it's a good look, Oregon or Tech, to potentially make the national championship game

02:26is in bad value right here, right now.

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