00:00it looks like donald trump may be heading to moscow for a meeting with vladimir putin okay so
00:13there's no official confirmation not yet no flight details no dramatic announcement from the white
00:19house or the kremlin but once again the signals are stacking up and you know this in diplomacy
00:26signals often matter more than statements and this time there's an important detail many people are
00:33missing trump himself has said he would only meet putin when there is a breakthrough in talks
00:39not before not for symbolism not for a photo op a breakthrough so when you start seeing language
00:47like productive and constructive coming out of washington when russian envoys are openly saying
00:53next time moscow and when parallel negotiations are suddenly accelerating it's worth asking a
00:59serious question are we getting closer to the kind of breakthrough trump said would justify a face-to-face
01:06meeting let's rewind to miami over the past few days trump's special envoy steve whitkoff held talks in
01:14florida with kirill dimitriev vladimir putin's key negotiator these were not quiet low-level
01:20discussions the american side included whitkoff himself jared kushner then senior white house
01:26officials that line up alone tells you this wasn't casual diplomacy this was a serious channel
01:33whitkoff didn't hedge his words he called the talks productive and constructive he said russia is fully
01:41committed to achieving peace in ukraine he added that moscow highly values the efforts and support
01:47of the united states that's unusually warm language by modern standards carefully chosen
01:54intentionally public then came dimitriev's t-shirt not a normal platform for diplomatic messaging
02:03but just one line short clean strategic thank you miami next time moscow what do you think
02:14was that just a smart one-liner a joke a filler i think that was a signal a very clear signal
02:23now at the second layer back in august during their joint press conference in alaska putin did something
02:31rare after speaking almost entirely in russian he suddenly switched to english and invited trump to
02:38moscow what did trump do he didn't shut it down he didn't deflect he smiled and said oh that's an
02:46interesting one that moment mattered because trump has been clear on one point throughout this process
02:54he will meet putin when there is real progress when there is a breakthrough worth ceiling at the top
03:01not endless process not symbolic summits results so what do we see now two parallel diplomatic tracks
03:09unfolding at the same time on one track the u.s is talking directly with russia quietly intensively
03:17and without european intermediaries about ending the war on the other track the u.s is talking with
03:23ukraine and european allies also in florida about aligning positions on the revised 20-point peace
03:30framework multi-rattlered security guarantees and a long-term economic and reconstruction plan
03:36this is classic power diplomacy washington is testing whether a deal can be shaped from both ends
03:44moscow and kiev before bringing the leaders into the room and moscow moscow clearly prefers the american channel
03:53putin's top foreign policy aid yuri yushakoff has already brushed aside amendments coming from ukraine
03:59and europe saying they don't improve the chances of long-term peace he even admitted he hasn't studied
04:06them closely that alone tells you where the kremlin's real focus is not brussels not berlin washington
04:14more specifically trump and that's not accidental from moscow's perspective trump represents something
04:22europe doesn't the ability to actually close a deal and enforce it now whether you agree with that
04:30view or not that's how the kremlin sees the board that's why these talks are happening now that's why
04:37the tone is deliberately constructive and that's why moscow is carefully laying the groundwork for a
04:44possible summit but let's be clear none of this actually means that a deal is done u.s intelligence
04:50assessments still raise the bogey of putin's long-term ambitions ukraine remains deeply skeptical of any
04:57agreement that freezes territorial losses european leaders worry they're being sidelined and fear how
05:04a u.s russia deal would impact them on the battlefield the war continues drone strikes port damage fires
05:12sirens evacuations we are still far from peace but and tell me you agree with me diplomacy doesn't move
05:22in straight lines it moves in thresholds and trump has defined his threshold clearly no meeting without
05:30a breakthrough so when russian and american officials suddenly start speaking the same language productive
05:37constructive next steps next time moscow it suggests they believe something has shifted not resolved
05:45not yet but shifted it also explains why moscow is leaning into symbolism again you know the english language
05:53invitations the relaxed tone the carefully curated optics these aren't random right they're meant to signal
06:01to signal readiness readiness readiness not for another round of talks but for a leader level moment if miami
06:09was the testing ground moscow would be the confirmation and that's why this matters because if trump does go to
06:16moscow it won't be for vague diplomacy it will be because both sides believe they're close enough to lock
06:24something in the question then becomes far bigger than logistics what would that breakthrough actually
06:30look like who would it favor and what would the world wake up to the morning after because if this meeting
06:38happens it won't arrive with fireworks or formal declarations those come later this moment this decision of two
06:46leaders meeting to change the world will arrive quietly like so many turning points do and by the
06:54time everyone realizes what just happened the strategic landscape may already have shifted the critical
07:00decisions would have been taken if the writing is already on the wall how are you reading it and if this
07:08video helped you see the bigger picture subscribe to apt opinion and tell us in the comments do you think
07:15a trump putin meeting is now inevitable or is this still just diplomatic theater
07:22history rarely announces itself with headlines it leaks first through tone through timing through signals
07:30read only by those watching closely and this may be one of those moments
07:44so
07:53so
07:59you
08:01you
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