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US Shouldn't Underestimate China: Substrate's Proud
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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00:00
What I really want to get your perspective on is China's domestic supply right now and how much
00:05
you've long been concerned about our exposure in the US to Taiwan and the like. How much is China
00:11
making strides? Yeah, well, I think when we talk about China's ability to have an advanced
00:18
semiconductor sector, the question isn't can China make fabs? Can they make equipment? The
00:23
question has always been, will they have access to EUV lithography tools or be able to make their
00:29
own? And the reporting that came out yesterday shows that China now has a working prototype of
00:35
some type, which I think to a lot of people came as a surprise. This is something that we've been
00:40
tracking for a very, very long time and something that I think that the US should actually take
00:45
incredibly seriously. We can't just be playing defense. There needs to be a plan of, OK, how do
00:50
we regain leadership, but really by a leap ahead so that we can actually maintain that when China is
00:56
able to actually make advanced semiconductors. Now, what's so interesting is that just today,
01:00
we're hearing that Tencent has managed to appoint a new chief AI scientist bringing over from OpenAI
01:05
from the reporting being done by outlets like Reuters that there's some new EUV or some sort of
01:11
lithography equipment built in China by people who've come from ASML and gone to work back in China.
01:18
How is the talent war and the brain drain something that you're keeping an eye on?
01:21
Yeah, well, I think that we underestimate China to our peril, like they are some of the smartest
01:29
scientists and engineers in the world. And we shouldn't be surprised that they sometimes join
01:35
Western companies and then often go back and are able to compete very effectively. And so I think that
01:41
betting that China will do something is always the smart strategy versus betting that they can't do
01:47
something. And so we should change our approach to to account for that. Your approach is about taking
01:53
on EUV lithography in a different sort of ways and means. You've been getting a billion dollar
01:58
valuation already. You're looking to restore American leadership when it comes to actually
02:01
the equipment needed to manufacture semiconductors. What is your relationship like with the U.S.
02:07
government right now? How much are they taking this into account and how have things changed since
02:11
we last spoke? Yeah, our relationship for for many years has been very close with the U.S.
02:16
government. And so I wouldn't say there's barely been much change. We collaborate very, very closely
02:21
with them. And and they've been some of our biggest supporters. And frankly, we wouldn't be where we are
02:27
right now without a very, very close relationship with the government. You use, as you say, particle
02:33
acceleration, x-ray wavelengths to really etch intricate detail, basically patterns into wafers. How
02:41
all to those that are cynical and what you're building? How do you give the proof points? Give us
02:45
something tangible that you've managed to make strides in to be able to ensure that maybe we don't
02:49
even need ASML, let alone Taiwan Taiwanese produced chips. Yeah. So there's there's a lot that still needs
02:56
to be done. But I think that we're very excited over the coming months and the next couple of years to begin
03:01
actually showing some some pretty big leaps. We've been able to go from sort of zero to having our own working
03:08
prototype tool in three years. And that is that is sort of similar to what was just announced from China
03:14
yesterday. Actually, on my ex account this morning, we went and posted like one of the key things that was
03:19
actually in that reporting yesterday is a doubt that China will be able to catch up on the advanced optics
03:25
required for these systems. And we just went and publicly released some research that we did two years
03:31
ago on on on how China is actually already achieving these optics domestically. And so that the efforts
03:38
that are going on here are far greater than is really sort of at the public level. And yesterday's news is
03:44
really only the start of this. So what does that mean for me maybe easing restrictions on H 200s? I mean, all of
03:52
this we've seen a clampdown on EUV lithography from ASML going into China from the US pressure. Is it all too late,
03:59
James? I don't think anything is too late. And and and I think that like when when Jensen says China's
04:07
only a nanosecond behind like he's correct. And so I think that our focus at the US needs to be focused
04:13
on what we're very good at, which is sprinting. Like we can play a defensive strategy, but we need to have
04:19
an offensive, as I said, leap ahead strategy as well. And that's the role that we are trying to play.
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