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AI Policy Remains an Open Question at CES
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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00:00
There was something in the China context which we didn't get to with Parma,
00:04
which was a piece of recent news with President Xi reiterating, I would say,
00:11
a long-stated goal of reunification with Taiwan.
00:15
Now, the reason I want to start there, Jacob, is in your efforts with Paxilica,
00:20
the scenario that everyone is trying to plan for,
00:25
Taiwan and access to capacity in the semiconductor side,
00:29
being shut off if that scenario were to unfold.
00:33
Starting in 2026, could you just bring us your latest thinking on that, please?
00:37
Absolutely. And it's great to join you guys here at CS in Las Vegas,
00:41
which is such a great window into American innovation
00:44
and innovation from a lot of Paxilica countries like South Korea and Japan.
00:49
It's incredibly exciting that we're talking barely three weeks
00:53
after the signing of this landmark declaration.
00:55
Ultimately, let me put into context why this is so important
00:59
and why so many people are talking about technology competition.
01:03
Today, it's clear that if the 20th century ran on steel,
01:06
the 21st century is increasingly running on silicon and compute.
01:11
And we're already seeing in the United States a third of our GDP growth coming from AI
01:14
and growth picking up and accelerating as productivity is starting to accelerate growth
01:20
in sectors across the economy.
01:22
So back in July, President Trump rolled out this landmark speech at an event I co-hosted
01:27
with White House AI czar David Sachs called Winning the AI Race,
01:31
where it was a landmark moment where he declared that the U.S. is set to win the AI race
01:38
and that it is the official policy of the U.S. government to do whatever it takes.
01:42
A few months later, I'm happy to report that at the State Department,
01:45
we have adopted a strategy that breaks down this broad goal into three parts.
01:51
We want to help the U.S. government win the AI race by leading in innovation,
01:55
by gaining market share, and by securing our supply chains.
01:58
So we launched Paxilica with a group of seven countries,
02:02
and they are the most technologically advanced countries, including Japan, South Korea,
02:07
which is home to Samsung, SK Hynix, Mitsubishi.
02:10
And we are engaged in a lot of intensive talks to now transition to the implementation phase
02:16
of Paxilica in 2026.
02:19
A lot of your anxiety, and you've been at this for a very long time,
02:22
trying to warn the United States and those in positions of power,
02:26
and now in the power that you have yourself,
02:27
that we shouldn't be so opposed to China in the way that we have been.
02:31
Now, from a national security perspective,
02:32
what do you think of the latest that maybe H200s go into China,
02:36
that by this quarter, they might sign off for Alibaba, for BYD to be able to access NVIDIA's chips?
02:44
So part of the goal of winning the supply chain means we need to expand market share.
02:49
And sometimes there's a bit of a tension between innovation and diffusion,
02:53
because when you diffuse technology, sometimes you're compromising a little bit on innovation
02:58
because more people have access to that technology, which narrows your technological edge.
03:04
Part of what we're doing by exporting our H200s is making sure that the world's developers
03:10
are building on top of the American stack.
03:13
And we want to ensure that American models actually stay ahead
03:17
through these strategic bilateral deals in countries in the Gulf,
03:21
like the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and a number of others that are on the way,
03:27
but still too early to disclose here today,
03:29
in order to make sure that our companies have by far the most compute capacity
03:33
so that our LLMs stay ahead as well.
03:36
Jacob, on that market share bucket,
03:39
the concern that many in D.C. outlined to us is,
03:43
if we don't export to the Gulf, China will.
03:47
Is that the right way to think about it for America?
03:49
I think it's an opportunity where there is nature abhors a vacuum.
03:55
We have got to fill the vacuum while we can.
03:58
We have the world's best technology and the world's know that.
04:02
And ultimately, America has thrived when we allow our innovators
04:06
to actually dominate market share.
04:09
They did dominate.
04:10
NVIDIA had 95% of the market.
04:12
And now Jensen would say he has zero.
04:14
And maybe he's being allowed to claw some back.
04:17
Has not the horse bolted?
04:18
Have we not already allowed CameraCon to grow and Huawei to grow?
04:22
Are we really going to be able to clean back and have the stack of our own worldwide?
04:26
And that's exactly why we launched Paxilica,
04:29
to make sure that we have a sensible approach to exporting our best technologies
04:34
while protecting our most sensitive technologies.
04:37
We're having dual-track conversations with our partners.
04:40
We want to protect our sensitive technologies,
04:42
but we have got to have a path to gain market share.
04:45
And I think everyone's on the same page.
04:47
Everyone who joined Paxilica understands that the world's supply chains being concentrated
04:51
in one country, no matter how you feel about that country,
04:55
isn't too risky, is too brittle, and is ultimately a liability to the global economy.
05:00
And that's why we started this economic security coalition
05:04
with the world's most advanced technology companies and countries
05:08
in order to make sure that we diversify those supply chains.
05:12
Jacob, those companies are here at CES Las Vegas.
05:15
What do you hope to achieve in the time that you have at CES?
05:19
So part of what we're looking for our roadmap in 2026 is we want to focus on policy coordination.
05:26
We want to expand membership of Paxilica, and we want to focus on infrastructure projects.
05:30
The way that we view infrastructure is we want to focus on the arteries of supply chains
05:35
through advanced logistics.
05:37
We want to focus on the muscle might of industrial capacity,
05:41
particularly with fabs, factories, and refineries.
05:45
And we also want to focus on the fuel, particularly capital and energy.
05:50
One of the things that's so interesting about talking with companies here
05:53
is we can get to actually stress test a lot of these ideas with builders
05:58
and with people who are the closest to these problems day to day.
06:01
Jacob, this week has been extraordinary from a geopolitical perspective.
06:06
And I want to just get your thoughts high level.
06:09
Your view on Paxilica is that it's sort of peace through power.
06:13
Is that how we should be interpreting what's occurred in Venezuela with Russian ships
06:19
with what continues to occur worldwide right now?
06:23
So I think at the end of the day, one of the takeaways of the events the last few weeks
06:28
is very clear that the world needs to know that the Trump administration says what it means
06:34
and means what it says.
06:35
I think Secretary Rubio spoke very eloquently about where the U.S. stands
06:40
and the Trump administration stands on Venezuela and other issues that have been in the news
06:45
like Greenland.
06:46
Ultimately, the biggest threat to international norms is the Western Hemisphere
06:53
and the United States being asleep at the switch while we are encroached from the north through the Arctic
06:58
and from the south through Latin America.
07:00
Ultimately, Paxilica is an effort to pursue a very pragmatic approach
07:06
by working with our closest technological partners to actually forge strategic investment deals
07:12
and allow moving the needle in a way that actually benefits all of us.
07:16
That is why this coalition is so diverse.
07:18
It's very, very new.
07:19
It's a completely new grouping of countries that includes players like Singapore, like Israel, the UAE,
07:25
people who aren't used to being included in traditional legacy forms like the G20 and the G7.
07:30
And yet these countries punch far above their weight,
07:33
and we're very proud to partner with them.
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