Professor Matt Goodwin delivered a forceful and highly debated speech at the European Parliament, outlining what he describes as a historic political realignment unfolding in the United Kingdom. In this address, Goodwin presents detailed demographic, economic, and political arguments to explain why he believes Britain is heading toward its most significant transformation in more than a century — one that could deliver a Nigel Farage–led Reform government at the next general election.
Goodwin cites long-term demographic projections, record levels of both legal and illegal migration, rising public dissatisfaction, and failures within Westminster as driving forces behind what he calls a “national reset.” He argues that the UK’s current immigration trajectory is reshaping the country economically, culturally, and politically, and warns that continued inaction risks undermining the social contract and public trust in democratic institutions.
The speech also touches on controversial issues, including illegal crossings, cultural integration, grooming gang scandals, and the economic impact of mass migration. Goodwin outlines policy proposals such as ending uncontrolled migration, leaving the ECHR, tightening asylum and visa systems, and implementing national preference for public services.
This full speech has generated intense discussion across Europe and the UK, raising critical questions about sovereignty, identity, democracy, and the future direction of British politics.
00:00Charlie, thank you to the organisers of this event today.
00:04Thank you to all of you for attending this discussion.
00:10I'm just going to lay out a few facts about the United Kingdom
00:14that I think will answer some of Charlie's questions.
00:19Why are we experiencing a political realignment,
00:24a historic moment in British politics that will,
00:27at the next general election, deliver a reform government led by Nigel Farage?
00:37By the year 2063, white Britons will be a minority in the United Kingdom.
00:47Among the under 40s, that will happen as early as 2050.
00:54By the year 2079, people born outside of the United Kingdom
01:02and their immediate descendants will represent a majority in the entire United Kingdom.
01:11By 2100, the end of this century, one in four British adults
01:18and one in three British children, unless we change the current direction,
01:26will be following Islam.
01:30Today, in 2000 schools in the United Kingdom,
01:34a majority of children do not speak English as their main language.
01:42Across the United Kingdom, one million people, according to the census,
01:50do not speak English.
01:53Mohammed is the most popular name among children.
01:58All of these things give you the answer as to why British politics is in a state of flux.
02:10We have an immigration demographic crisis, which nobody in Westminster is responding to.
02:21And that crisis has two key pillars.
02:26The first is the illegal migration crisis.
02:31According to the Pew Research Centre, we have an estimated 1.2 million illegal migrants
02:39operating in the United Kingdom, living and working in the UK today.
02:45They are being joined by nearly 200,000 additional illegal migrants arriving on the small boats
02:55crossing the Channel from France.
03:00Once they have entered the country illegally,
03:04they are then being distributed, dispersed by the Labour government.
03:10They are being put into the heart of our local communities,
03:15next to families, next to schools, next to synagogues, next to children.
03:23We don't know who they are.
03:25We don't know where they come from.
03:28We don't know what they believe.
03:30The cost of that dispersal is £5.7 million every day to the British taxpayer.
03:43If current trends continue, by the time of the next general election,
03:49another 181,000 illegal migrants will enter the UK illegally.
03:58They include, for example, the recent case of an Egyptian asylum seeker,
04:06a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, who was convicted of making bombs in Egypt,
04:14entered the UK illegally,
04:17was then put in a four-star Hilton hotel at the expense of UK taxpayers,
04:23was allowed to roam the streets of the UK for 17 months while the government decided whether or not to grant his asylum request,
04:34during which time he walked into Hyde Park, London and raped a woman in that park.
04:44I could sit here and give you 100 similar cases to that.
04:51The illegal migration crisis is making a mockery of the United Kingdom's claim to be a self-governing,
04:59independent, sovereign nation,
05:01and it is breaking the social contract between citizens and their democratically elected politicians in Westminster.
05:11It is being compounded by the legal migration crisis,
05:17which began with Tony Blair in 1997 and was then accelerated by the so-called Conservative Party.
05:26Most recently, under Boris Johnson, mass immigration, mass uncontrolled immigration was put on steroids.
05:36From 2021, nearly 4 million legal migrants entered the UK under Boris Johnson's liberalisation strategy.
05:5180% of all of that migration came from outside of Europe.
05:5780% from Nigeria, China, Uzbekistan, India, Pakistan.
06:08It has fundamentally reshaped the country with no democratic mandate.
06:15Nobody voted for that.
06:17Nobody asked for that.
06:19It was not in any party manifesto.
06:22In fact, Boris Johnson promised the opposite in 2019 when he said he would lower the overall numbers.
06:33And he did the opposite.
06:34To give you a sense of the scale of demographic change in the United Kingdom,
06:42I'll give you one fact.
06:44In every single year since 1997, there has been more immigration into the UK than there was during the entire period between the Anglo-Saxons in the 5th century and the end of the Second World War.
07:10In other words, there was more immigration in each year since Tony Blair came to power, including under the Conservatives,
07:20than there was during 1,500 years that separated the Anglo-Saxons from Winston Churchill.
07:28That is the scale of change we are witnessing.
07:31We have seen more immigration into the UK in the last four years than we have seen since records began in 1701.
07:42Again, nobody voted for this.
07:45Nobody asked for this.
07:47The Westminster class will say it's making us richer.
07:51It's making us stronger.
07:53The evidence on the economics of immigration is now clear.
07:59From Finland to Denmark to the Netherlands and even now the United Kingdom, the Office for Budget Responsibility all say the same thing.
08:09The exact kind of migration that we now have in Europe, low wage, low skill, poorly educated, non-European, is making Western economies weaker, not stronger.
08:26It is a net fiscal cost.
08:29It is not a net benefit.
08:31It is imposing enormous costs onto UK taxpayers during what is also the worst cost of living crisis that we have had since the Second World War.
08:45The economic problem is one thing.
08:49The cultural problem is another.
08:51As we have also discovered through the rape gang scandal, the grooming gang scandal, which was the industrial scale rape of hundreds of thousands of British children by Pakistani Muslim gangs who got children addicted to heroin and alcohol.
09:21And trafficked them from one town to another from the 1960s onwards.
09:30An estimated close to one million children were sexually abused and raped in this way.
09:37And politicians in Westminster said it was Islamophobic to suggest that that scandal was happening.
09:45And only recently was the Labour Party under Keir Starmer, the Labour government, willing to give a national inquiry into that scandal to get those girls the truth and justice that they deserve.
10:02That is a symbol of the cultural problem that we have imported into the United Kingdom.
10:11It is not only an economic problem.
10:13We have imported cultures that are diametrically opposed to the traditions, the values and the way of life that has traditionally held our country together.
10:27The reason millions of people are voting for the reform party, which is currently on 35 percent of the vote.
10:35The reason hundreds of thousands of people are marching in the streets and the reason millions of people are raising the Union and St. George's flag across the United Kingdom as part of a spontaneous protest against their government.
10:55One of the most significant protests that my country has seen in many years is because of the immigration crisis, which raises the obvious question, how do you fix it?
11:10How you fix it is you announce an immediate end to mass uncontrolled immigration.
11:17The United Kingdom will leave the European Convention on Human Rights.
11:22The United Kingdom will repeal Tony Blair's Human Rights Act, which entrenches the ECHR into domestic law.
11:34The United Kingdom will move to detain and deport anybody who enters the United Kingdom illegally, processing them offshore,
11:44not putting them next to British families, British children, British synagogues, British churches in the heart of our communities.
11:55And the United Kingdom will establish the principle of national preference, namely putting the taxpaying, hardworking, law abiding majority of British people first.
12:10That is what will happen over the next five years because of the failure of the Westminster class to actually deliver on the promises it has made to its own people.
12:22And while we are doing that, as you may have read over the last two weeks in Britain, we will dramatically reshape and reform legal immigration.
12:35You will no longer be able to stay in the United Kingdom indefinitely.
12:40We will move to a policy of five-year renewable visas, which will only be renewed if legal migrants can speak English fluently to a high standard,
12:56make a net contribution to the economy through taxation and work,
13:01do not rely on welfare benefits and social housing that is subsidized by the British taxpayer at the cost of 15 billion pounds over the next decade,
13:14and who work and contribute to the economy and have a clean criminal record.
13:22The legal migration regime will be completely reshaped.
13:26The legal migration regime will be completely reshaped because if we do not do it, the social contract in our country will collapse.
13:36People will withdraw support for the state.
13:40They will withdraw support for welfare.
13:42And we will head ever closer to what we saw in the aftermath of the Southport atrocities, which was civil unrest.
13:52Nobody wants that to happen.
13:54Nobody wants public trust in democracy to collapse.
13:57Nobody wants to live in a more divided society.
14:01But the answer to the current problem, which I think is a Europe-wide problem,
14:08is to regain control of the borders and regain control of the immigration system.
14:16And that is why British politics is facing the most significant reset for more than a century.
14:25This is the most significant political insurgency since the rise of the Labour Party in the early years of the 1900s.
14:34And the Westminster class, when they ask themselves, why is this happening?
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