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A Persistent Demand for Bitcoin Amid Selloffs
Bloomberg
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7 weeks ago
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News
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00:00
For you, you're about the builders and the companies that are trying to use the underlying
00:03
technology, Jalak. But just paint the macro picture right now. What does bring institutional
00:08
retail money back into the ETFs or to the crypto as they stand?
00:13
Sure. I mean, your previous guests have mentioned the Bank of Japan news, which
00:17
was significant for Bitcoin as well as the broader crypto markets. And we've seen crypto
00:25
since the ETFs have been issued and we've seen more institutional involvement move more in line
00:32
with other risk assets. Before, we saw a decoupling of the price behavior. But now we're looking at
00:40
the macro outlook and it's challenging for risk assets right now. We also have the added challenge
00:47
of the Bitcoin treasuries that have been built up. And if we start to see selling as strategy mentioned
00:53
they may do, that's going to create more downward pressure. However, we still believe that there's
01:01
great global demand for Bitcoin specifically. And we're going to continue to see ETFs and new products
01:09
develop on Bitcoin. That's just going to happen in the next year or so.
01:15
I mean, you're all about the ecosystem, blockchain.com, BitGo. Also thinking, of course,
01:21
how you've been in MoonPay. But when you see worries around stable coins or when there's a broader macro
01:28
downward pressure, does that impact those that are trying to build or do they shake it off?
01:34
Well, it certainly impacts in the short term, but a lot of these entrepreneurs have been building for
01:38
years towards a rewiring of the financial system that is faster, cheaper, offers broader access to
01:46
different types of financial assets. And we have seen over the years that that trend is not going
01:53
away. There's going to be short term blips, as we're seeing now. But stable coins are going to be
01:59
an important part of the new financial order. And we're seeing companies like Stripe and others
02:06
start to adopt access to stable coins. That is the state of play that you've just
02:12
summarized. Everyone is bullish on the long term about the role of these technologies in the global
02:18
financial system. And in the near term, we're in risk off mode because of worries about interest rates
02:24
and the direction for interest rates. And that in the moment is moving markets. How long does that carry
02:28
on for? Well, there's a great amount of uncertainty, I think, through the end of the year. And we're, you know,
02:37
I'd say I'm looking towards the early next year to have that certainty back. We have several companies
02:44
in our portfolio lined up to go public on Nasdaq. We're probably going to see, you know, some of the short term
02:51
delay on that until market conditions improve. But I do believe that they will improve early next year.
02:57
I just can't help myself. What is your 2026 year end Bitcoin prediction?
03:04
Well, I don't believe we're going to see massive price movements. I've been invested in the sector,
03:10
as you know, since 2013, specifically in Bitcoin. And we see massive upswings, downswings. What we're
03:18
seeing now, I think there'll be some tight trading. I can see it go up to 200. I'm not one of those
03:25
that's going to predict that it's going to go to a million. The reason I asked that, I was trying
03:29
to marry those two points, the long term bullishness on the underlying technology and the short term
03:34
price volatility. I did find it interesting reading the Bloomberg terminal that the data set that is
03:38
giving most concern is lack of inflows into the ETFs, which you've discussed. What would change the
03:45
psychology of people to push inflows in a positive direction? I think it goes back to certainty. We
03:53
want to see where the interest rates are headed on a global basis. The October sell off in the crypto
04:00
sector was due to the tariff uncertainty around China. We also saw people taking profits when Bitcoin
04:08
went up to 126,000. So in the span of three months or less than three months, we've seen over a 30%
04:16
drop. That being said, I don't see a downward spiral because there are going to be people who want to get
04:24
access to the asset. I mean, we just came off of Thanksgiving in the US and dinner table conversation
04:29
was all around crypto. Of course, AI also, but crypto was a big part of it. So there's still a lot of
04:36
retail interest. And, you know, I think they get concerned when you just see these big price drops,
04:41
but we'll start to see that reverse.
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