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Hoxton Ventures Founder Hussein Kanji Bullish on European Tech
Bloomberg
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5 days ago
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Tech
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00:00
So the momentum was there in 2025 for European tech and the flows for VCs into some of these
00:07
startups. Everything from AI to deep tech to what's happening in the healthcare space.
00:12
Just give us an overview of what happened as we get towards the end of this year and
00:16
how that sets us up for 2026. More and more momentum in the European market for technology
00:21
and for AI in particular. People forget that one of the leading AI labs in the world was DeepMind,
00:26
which is now part of Google, born and raised right here in London in terms of right down the road at
00:31
King's Cross. That alumni base and all the things that are affiliated with everything DeepMind have
00:37
kind of created a whole wave of companies out here in the European continent, both in the UK as well
00:42
as continental Europe. And that's just compounding. We're now starting to see examples of companies
00:48
out here in the European market that are competing head to head with the American companies and in
00:52
some cases of the market leader. So I'll give you a few examples. So in voice AI, which is
00:56
basically turning, you know, me and you talking into text and turning that into a really natural
01:00
sounding voice. The pioneering company right now is Eleven Labs, homegrown here in London and in
01:05
Poland. For video generation, you know, a little character on the screen, you tell it what to say,
01:10
kind of it pretends to be me or you. Kind of we would call it a deep fake, you know, 10 years ago,
01:14
but these days you'd call it an ad company. Leading company in the world, Synthesia,
01:18
born and raised right here in the UK, came out of UCL. You know, we're starting to see many more
01:25
examples of this. Lovable is a similar type of thing, coding development. You have an idea for
01:29
a website or for an app. You want to, you know, have the AI basically write that. You know, you
01:34
go to a website, you do it. There are a couple of US companies. There's a, you know, there's a
01:37
company homegrown here in Sweden. So we're starting to see more of these examples. My suspicion is over
01:41
the next five years, we're going to see more and more breakthroughs kind of coming out of the
01:45
European sphere. More and more of these companies turning out to be like category leaders and world
01:49
leaders. When do we get to a point where European startup or where Europe is minting, regularly
01:53
minting a hundred billion dollar plus tech companies, which the US is doing on kind of an
01:59
annual basis? It's a really good question. And the biggest thing that holds us back here is money.
02:03
So we definitely have the technology capability. We definitely have the research labs. We definitely
02:07
have the AI kind of frontier models. Everything's in our backyard. Weirdly enough, funding in the
02:12
venture community is down in Europe. The flows are not as good as they are in the US. So in the US,
02:18
I think everyone's woken up to the fact that this is the dawn of a new era. This AI adoption,
02:22
you know, cloud computing took about five years for the S&P 500 to kind of adopt, you know, AI is
02:27
happening much, much, much faster than cloud computing was, you know, but here in Europe, for some
02:32
reason, the taps are not really... We're talking about European, domestic pools of European capital.
02:37
Global pools of capital kind of coming into the European market. You know, the only glimmer that we have
02:42
right now is on the deep tech side, where there's more money going into more science-oriented companies
02:46
in Europe. But everything else is kind of down from 2024, when realistically, you should be up,
02:53
right? Because the fundamentals are actually really good. And they're actually accelerated in 25 versus
02:57
in 24. So it should be the other way around. But I find capital flows in Europe are just really hard.
03:03
So that's the biggest constraint at this point. It's not regulation. It's not lack of a single
03:07
access to a single market. It's capital and needing to flood the space with liquidity.
03:13
And these are companies that are competing on the global scale and winning on the global scale and
03:17
winning against their US counterparts. But if they're funded at half the level, a third the level,
03:21
20% the level of the guys in the US, who do you think is going to win the global race? It's,
03:26
you know, and that's the biggest problem right now that we have in the industry.
03:29
Does Europe need a winning foundation model? Or is it OK that Europe plays in the application layer?
03:33
That's a good question. I think the foundation model, you know, I think that race is for the
03:38
big boys. You know, there's a ridiculous amount of R&D spend going in. You'd have to, I mean,
03:43
there are people who are trying to build kind of sovereign plays for national security, for just,
03:48
you know, national identity into some respect. But I think that's a bit of a losing game because
03:52
that's a lot of money. I think the question is, what can you use with these foundation models?
03:56
There's 400 billion of R&D being spent by all of the big tech companies on AI. And most of it's going
04:02
into the public domain via open source or via open models or via APIs. So how can you leverage
04:07
these things and actually build the next generation of stacks? I don't think you want to be competing
04:11
against the big boys as an earlier stage company.
04:13
Just the kind of investment, the kind of spend that we're seeing in the US, the hyperscale is
04:16
committing to 400 billion in CapEx this year, the kind of connections and deals between NVIDIA
04:20
and OpenAI and Oracle, and it continues Broadcom, AMD. Does that concern you? Does that seem rational?
04:26
Or is there some red flags there for you?
04:28
I mean, it's reminiscent of the dot-com industry, of the circular economy that was in dot-com.
04:34
Cisco is the biggest comparison when you look at what NVIDIA is. But then you look at some of the,
04:38
you look at the return on investor capital on the hyperscalers. It's higher today than it was
04:43
six months ago before they were spending on the next generation GPUs. So that tells me that the
04:48
adoption on the compute side from the customers is actually quite there. I think this is a much
04:54
faster acceleration. But the truth is, no one really knows the answer to these. These are
04:58
black and white questions. We won't really know until the dust settles, because like we're in this
05:02
fog, right, where everything is being built up. But it's reminiscent of dot-com on the one hand,
05:07
but on the other hand, it's like much faster adoption, much higher ROI.
05:11
What are you most excited about when it comes to European tech? And what are you avoiding?
05:15
Yeah, we're super bullish on the next generation science companies that fuse AI with science.
05:20
So we had a company called Cusp AI that raised $500 million valuation. It's building next generation
05:28
frontier models for material science. So it's basically the AI inventing materials. Super
05:33
exciting, homegrown again, like in a race of basically two or three, I think is going to
05:37
win the race, you know, built over here. We just funded another company that can make rare
05:41
earth minerals from scratch in a lab, like synthetic rare earth minerals. Almost think of lab grown
05:46
diamonds, but lab grown synthetic earth minerals. Homegrown came out of Oxford. We wrote the
05:51
first check. You know, these kinds of companies in many ways can be a pioneering and then use
05:56
all these technologies to actually build really, really big companies. And they're standing alone
06:00
uncontested.
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