00:00It's Benzinga bringing Wall Street to Main Street
00:02Tariff dividend prediction markets show little confidence that Trump will deliver $2,000 checks
00:07this year, according to Benzinga. Odds on poly market fell from 14% to 3% after more than $1
00:13million in wagers. And CalShare bettors also saw only a 3% chance that a tariff rebate bill
00:19becomes law this year. Trump said his administration will begin issuing checks by mid-2026 or later,
00:25though Treasury Secretary Scott Bessence said the plan needs legislation and dividends may not
00:30arrive as paper checks. The Treasury Department reported nearly $195 billion in tariff revenue
00:37through the first three quarters of the year, but experts said revenue may not cover the proposal.
00:42For all things money, visit Benzinga.com.
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