Trump’s $2,000 ‘Tariff Dividend’ News

Benzinga

President Donald Trump just announced a new “$2,000 tariff dividend” for Americans — but economists, crypto traders, and policymakers are already divided over whether it will ever happen.  In this video, we break down everything you need to know about Trump’s latest proposal, including reactions from top investors and economists:  Donald Trump’s plan: $2,000 payments for most Americans, funded by tariff revenue.  Anthony Pompliano’s take: Stimulus means stocks and bitcoin go higher.  Peter Schiff’s warning: It could worsen the U.S. trade deficit.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s clarification: The rebate could come through tax deductions, not checks.  Prediction markets: Bettors on Polymarket and Kalshi give it just 16% odds of becoming reality by year-end.

Transcript

00:00Donald Trump just promised every American a $2,000 tariff dividend, but experts say don't count your

00:06check just yet. In a Sunday post, Donald Trump mentioned America being the richest country in

00:11the world and announced that a dividend of at least $2,000 per person, excluding high-income

00:16earners, will be paid to everyone funded by tariff revenues. He called critics of tariffs

00:22fools and claimed the policy is helping to pay down the nation's $37 trillion debt.

00:27Anthony Pompliano said it's basically fresh stimulus, predicting stocks in Bitcoin only to go

00:32higher in response. But economist Peter Schiff fired back, arguing the math doesn't add up. If the

00:38payouts exceed tariff revenue, consumers will just spend it on more expensive imports, making the

00:44trade deficit worse. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett added more fuel to the fire, saying the dividend

00:50might not be a direct check at all. Instead, it could come in the form of tax deductions or other

00:55rebates. And while futures jumped this morning, crypto traders on Polymarket are skeptical,

01:01giving just a 16% chance that Americans see any tariff payout by the end of the year.

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