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Invisible Technologies on Future of AI Adoption
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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00:00
We've been talking about circular deals, there's concern about how investments have been plowing
00:05
through the AI ecosystem, and talk of froth, a bubble. What are you seeing in terms of demand?
00:12
Yeah, so it's interesting. I think if you ask the question of a bubble, you can think about it two
00:15
ways, the technology itself or valuations, and I think they are separate questions. I think if you
00:21
look at the technology itself, there's no doubt over the last four years we've seen an absolute
00:24
step change in model performance, the usage of those models in a lot of different areas.
00:29
So I think the technology paradigm shift is very real. You then get to the question of
00:33
valuations, and I think that's actually a more complicated question. You can definitely say
00:38
valuations are high, but I'll just give you a couple stats that I think about a lot.
00:41
You have basically the big tech companies whose earnings are very material, so it's hard to argue
00:45
that in their cases it's a bubble given that performance. And then if you actually look at
00:49
the AI space, it's something like three companies are 30% of the total funding, and about 100 companies
00:56
are 70% of the total funding. So what you really have here is about 100 private companies with a
01:02
lot more demand than capital access at the moment, and none of them really are public. And I think
01:08
that is the interesting thing. This is not a retail dynamic. This is not a situation where, I mean,
01:12
an interesting fact I saw the other day is that public software multiples today are one half what
01:17
they were in 2021 today. And actually, if you look at the number of IPOs, it's still only about
01:22
two-thirds of what it was, or actually a third of what it was in 2021. So it's not a public markets
01:26
dynamic. I think what you have is capital scarcity around a smaller number of AI companies.
01:30
Not for you. I mean, you've managed to raise, what, 100 million back in September, and now you're
01:35
telling me more than 200 million?
01:37
130. Yeah, we did get, after that, we had a lot more interest in, so we actually did it
01:41
upsizing the last month.
01:42
What are you doing with that capital?
01:44
We are investing all of it in our core technology software platforms. So I think, you know, if you think
01:48
about the history of our business, we've trained all the large language models. We're involved in
01:51
statistical testing and what's called reinforced learning human feedback, where you basically
01:55
test and validate the large language models. What we found is that that cycle is where the
02:00
enterprise is going over the next 10 years. So if you're a big enterprise company and you're
02:03
looking to deploy a model, let's say, for credit memo generation, let's say you have a bunch of
02:08
credits and you want to generate 10-page documents to do reviews of those credits, you need to do all
02:14
the same stuff that we've been doing kind of at the Model Builders over the last couple of years,
02:17
where you create a rubric for what does the output look good, you score it, you test it, you train it.
02:22
And so a lot of our capital now is going to enterprise-focused and training all these similar models.
02:27
How difficult is that to have the adoption at the enterprise level, and how does it differ from consumers?
02:32
It is difficult, and I think this is actually, you asked about kind of the question of a bubble,
02:36
if you look at actually the uptake so far. So KPMG had this report, interestingly, that 60% of people
02:43
worldwide, I think it's across a panel of 80 countries, use Gen AI once a month. So you have enormous adoption
02:50
on the consumer side. On the flip side, on the enterprise side, MIT released a study that 5% of AI projects
02:56
make it into production right now. And it's hard. I think you need to have clean data, you need to have
03:01
testing and validation, you need to know that, you know, I always give the answer, if you had to generate
03:05
1,000 memos, and you had to bet, you know, your annual bonus that those memos would be right,
03:11
how would you know? How would you train that? How would you test it? How would you get comfortable
03:14
that these memos are right? And I think that's really the journey of, the enterprise is looking
03:19
for extreme precision and kind of human equivalence in output. And I think that's harder than people
03:24
expect it. When it comes to data, I mean, this idea of rubbish in, rubbish out, right? So the cleanliness,
03:29
to your point, is important. But what do you see in terms of the scale of the market in data
03:35
labeling? I think some estimates put it at 2 billion last year, quadrupling by 2030. And how
03:41
will your company play in that ecosystem? Yeah, you know, I would say we're in the first inning of
03:47
that. I think if you extrapolate what I just said to the enterprise, you actually have all of the big
03:51
enterprise companies over the next 10 years as they start to label things like contact center
03:57
conversations or video image data. Basically, the enterprise has barely started in the context of
04:03
kind of data cleanliness. The other thing I'd say is we're talking about unstructured data in the
04:07
context you just brought up. But a lot of the pain for the enterprise has actually been structured
04:11
data as well. So like if you think about I have 12 ERP systems, a CRM system, I have this huge
04:16
fragmented landscape of data that underpins my AI. And I've got to get that all organized before I can do
04:22
any AI. My favorite joke is that when good AI meets bad data, the data usually wins. And I think
04:28
that is the story. When it comes to enterprise segments, where do you see the most opportunity?
04:34
It's an interesting question. So I think the investment so far in the enterprise has predominantly
04:38
been in the sectors you'd expect. So financial services and healthcare. I mean, they tend to have
04:42
the largest technology organizations, so they've put the most capital into it so far. But there are a lot
04:47
of really interesting spaces where we are seeing a lot of opportunity. To give you a few examples,
04:51
agriculture. So we think about like if you think about crop yields and herd safety and all the
04:56
different dynamics of, you know, there's a lot of things you can do with video and image data in
05:00
agriculture, for example. I actually look at some of the areas we've played in. So Swiss gear,
05:06
like Swiss Army, the luggages, we've done a lot of analytics for them around inventory forecasting.
05:10
So most consumer goods companies, for example, are still pretty basic in the information they bring
05:14
together. And we saw a lot of opportunity there. My favorite one is sports. So I actually think
05:19
everyone loves sports. If you think about the potential to like, look at the spatial movement
05:23
patterns of players and who you might want to draft. We did that for the Charlotte Hornets.
05:27
That's been another big area. Super quickly, how do you differentiate with competitors,
05:31
scale, surge AI? Yeah, I think, look, there's kind of three to four of us or so that have done this
05:36
for the last five years in the AI training space with model builders. I think the difference for us is
05:40
that's really only half or a third of our business. A lot of what we're doing also is on the enterprise side.
05:44
I think we're a tech-centric platform. And I think on the enterprise side where we serve,
05:50
I think, eight different sectors now, I think that's a pretty different part of our business
05:54
than the rest of those players.
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