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Seeing Traffic Build Despite Tariffs, Tanger CEO Says
Bloomberg
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4 hours ago
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00:00
So you're known for these open-air shopping centers. As I mentioned, you have a portfolio
00:05
that includes both Tapestry and Ralph Lauren. As we really get closer and closer to holiday
00:10
season, maybe it's already started in your view, what are you seeing in terms of traffic and trends
00:16
when it comes to this consumer? Well, first of all, holiday shopping has started. Halloween
00:21
decorations. Does it ever end? Well, you know, Halloween decorations, you know, these holidays
00:25
are so important in a shopping center now. You know, we talked about back to school being the
00:29
second biggest shopping holiday of the year. Then you go right into Halloween, which is really
00:35
important, particularly in the open-air shopping centers. This is a safe place for families to
00:39
bring their kids to go trick-or-treating. And then 31st of October, the Halloween decorations go down
00:46
and the Christmas decor comes up. Not only that, our trees are up, the music is on, and the season
00:52
has started. And we start with our first promotion, and that's Black Friday every day of the month of
00:58
November. We're pulling the season forward so that some of those folks who you were talking
01:03
about earlier, that, you know, maybe some of the younger consumers that are a little bit more
01:07
concerned have an opportunity to catch value. I just want to say, that light switch flip that you
01:10
see on that, I mean, there was one of those Halloween stores near our house, October 31st,
01:15
two days later, walked by the same place, and it was decked out in Christmas year. They had cleaned out
01:20
all the Halloween stuff, and it was already Christmas. I got to say, Hoboken, you're still seeing a lot of
01:23
hobswebs there. I don't think people have gotten out their Christmas decorations yet. But to that
01:28
point, promotions, how does this year, how is it shaping up to compare to last year? Because we have
01:34
yet another year where inflation, it's come down somewhat, but still, we're sitting at overall
01:39
higher levels, and the rate of change, too, has still been pretty sticky. You know, in the outlet
01:45
space especially, and that's really our core business, the retailers have a tremendous amount of
01:49
flexibility to flex their pricing. So it all starts with inventory. And when the stores are
01:54
stocked with inventory, you know, you can't sell what you don't have in the store, it gives the
01:58
opportunity for the retailers to check out pace. If they're turning goods, they're going to hold
02:03
their price. But if they feel like they need to stimulate traffic into their stores, they're going
02:08
to break their price. And we'll see it, we'll see that happen a little bit earlier if traffic is,
02:12
if traffic's off. But if October's any indication, and at least the first weekend of November that
02:18
we've seen, the traffic is still continuing to build.
02:21
So you're anticipating, at least with regards to the foot traffic on your properties, that that
02:26
will be higher than what we saw the last holidays?
02:30
Yeah, holidays. Yeah, look, we're really optimistic for a number of reasons. First of all,
02:34
like I said, there's plenty of inventory in the store, so you can't sell it if you don't have it.
02:39
Critically important to the retailers. But more importantly, you know, we talk about inflation,
02:43
and we talk about pricing keeping up with inflation. I think there's a deflationary
02:48
economy in the outlet business in that the retailers have the opportunity to bring that
02:53
price down to a certain level that reaches the customer. And when you see the price break,
02:57
you know it's because they're driving customers into this.
02:59
When you talk about inventory levels, because obviously there was a lot of concern earlier this
03:04
year with regards to the tariff uncertainty and the long lead, relatively long lead times you need
03:10
to get stuff from overseas. So as we head into those stores now, basically everything these
03:14
stores need more or less for the holiday season, you're saying they basically have.
03:18
Yeah, I think a lot of that product had already been landed a quarter ago. And, you know, some of
03:24
the retailers that were, you know, sort of flexing their pricing with tariff might have flexed their
03:28
pricing as early as the second quarter, even though there wasn't any tariff impact. They were testing
03:33
their pricing. Also, there was inflation. So they were building their pricing accordingly.
03:37
But, you know, what we saw when tariffs were first announced at the beginning of April,
03:41
we've seen traffic built. It built through the summer. We had that early summer promotion to bring
03:46
back to school shopping a little bit earlier this year. Great promotion for us. Totally drove traffic
03:51
during the entire summer. We're going to do this other program I just told you about in November.
03:55
But again, I think the customer is looking for value. They want the brands they want.
03:59
They want the products they want. And, you know, in our shopping centers, it's more than just
04:02
shopping stores. You know, we now have food and beverage. We've elevated the food offering.
04:07
We've elevated the entertainment offering. We now have services in our shopping centers, too.
04:11
So a local customer who may come for a spin class can stay for the shopping.
04:16
So it's a whole experience there. And I do want to talk a little bit more about your business. You
04:20
recently reported earnings. This number stuck out that your quarter end occupancy was 97.4%. How much
04:29
of that is lease renewals versus you bringing on new partners and signing new leases?
04:33
Well, it's definitely a mix of the two. You know, in order for a tenant, first of all,
04:39
there's a couple of macro things that are happening in the marketplace right now.
04:41
Really important to understand, particularly as it relates to our portfolio, there's not a lot of
04:46
new retail space being delivered in the market. And what that does is it causes each square foot
04:51
of space in our portfolio to be that much more valuable. Because of that, retailers, they want to
04:57
renew. If their stores are cash flowing positively, if that store is fully amortized,
05:02
the construction of that store is amortized, who wants to close that store? But it gives us the
05:07
opportunity to really push rents. And that's what you're seeing in our growth of our NOI. You're
05:11
seeing that in our transaction volume. And for us, we have to make some tough decisions. Now,
05:15
there's retailers out there that might not be keeping up. You know, perhaps they're not reinvesting
05:20
in their brand. Perhaps they're losing market share to some other better, cooler, newer brands. I think
05:25
it's up to us as sort of the stewards of the shopping center, as the merchandiser of the center,
05:29
to make sure that we're constantly bringing in new brands, the brands that the consumer wants.
05:34
It's a two-way street. You know, you just, it's not all about the guy who can pay the most amount
05:38
of rent. It's really, you want the brand that's in that shopping center that can draw the most amount
05:42
of traffic, but just as importantly, draw the retailers that want to be in your center as well.
05:47
But also getting that foot traffic, it also means offering things beyond just the retail,
05:52
if you will. And you mentioned going for a spin class and services. You have a partnership also with
05:57
basically unrivaled sports. And I am curious as to whether you see that translate. So if people
06:03
come and they bring their kids in to, you know, play, you know, play games that unrivaled, does it,
06:08
did they then go down the, you know, down to the next door and buy, you know, a t-shirt or shoes or
06:14
whatever? Well, that partnership, it's a great partnership for us. Now, remember, you know,
06:18
we've talked about it in my visits in the past, that what's unique about the outlet platform is that
06:22
it's incumbent on us as the landlord to drive traffic into our shopping centers. We don't rely
06:27
on the brands to use their marketing capital to say, hey, come shop us off price. We're basically,
06:32
what we're saying is, we'll do, we'll do that heavy lifting for you. And we're going to go out
06:36
into the market and we're going to make sure we're driving traffic. And one of these great
06:39
partnerships, the unrivaled sports partnership, if you know what they do, they host a lot of these
06:45
travel tournaments for travel teams, kids from five to 18 that have teams in their, in their
06:51
communities that come to these tournaments to up their level of competition. Well, they do get,
06:57
it's lacrosse, it's soccer, it's football, it's basketball, it's tennis. And for us, we're quite
07:03
proximate to a number of these venues and that cross promotional opportunity gives us a chance to,
07:08
you know, host the receiving. When these folks come first come, you know, for that, for that
07:12
tournament, we'll hand out bags. We'll, we'll welcome them, uh, using our shopping center as a
07:17
venue to, uh, to greet these folks. But similarly, when they're there, if they have a game at, you
07:22
know, 10 o'clock in the morning and then another game at two o'clock in the afternoon, there's
07:25
something that they're going to need to do between that, those two times. One of it's going to be
07:29
shop. Maybe it's our, our dining opportunities and maybe it's our better entertainment. We're
07:33
looking forward to really playing this, uh, this partnership out.
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