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  • 3 days ago
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00:00I think there's a lot of concerns about the AI trade.
00:03I mean, if you look at our kind of global view on AI,
00:06we think that we're going to pass this storm
00:08and there's more to go in the AI trade,
00:10but this isn't the first time that you've had weakness
00:13and kind of bubble concerns.
00:15And in Europe, if I bring it back to Europe,
00:18what we've seen in recent kind of last couple of months
00:21is a catch-up trade among the pockets of AI exposure,
00:24very strong, I would even call it a melt-up
00:27in some of those pockets of exposure.
00:29And those are the ones that you guys were mentioning,
00:31some of the ones that are weakest today.
00:33Well, talk to us then about,
00:35we've been having a conversation about breadth this morning,
00:37that some of these pockets where you are seeing perhaps a melt-up
00:39or you are seeing that momentum,
00:40it does feel like it is an AI, it's a tech story.
00:43But if there are valuation concerns that are associated
00:46with the NVIDIA, Alphabet, you name your tech company kind of story,
00:51does those valuation concerns then expand to the Novo Nordics,
00:54the LVMHs, the Rheinmetalls,
00:56given that those valuations are also looking frothy
00:58or is this tech-specific?
01:00Yeah, I mean, it really varies across those stocks that you mentioned.
01:05But let me keep it on AI.
01:08And if you look at pockets of AI exposure,
01:11so within semis,
01:13even utilities has gotten an AI bid in Europe recently
01:16because the view is as data centers are built,
01:19power prices are going to go up ultimately in Europe.
01:21If you look at some of those heavyweight stocks in those sectors,
01:26their valuations looking 2027, let's say multiples,
01:31are in line with US peers,
01:33but US peers are growing much faster.
01:35So you have this kind of scarcity valuation premium in Europe.
01:40So I think those pockets are vulnerable
01:42when you get these kinds of sell-offs in Europe as well.
01:44So I'll see you next time.
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