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  • 2 months ago
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00:00styles make fights and if the style is going to make the fight this week between UCF and Baylor
00:04we could be in for a barn burner here the total is 59 and a half Paul UCF coming off maybe their
00:10best win of the season against West Virginia because when I look at their schedule I mean
00:15I see that win against North Carolina I don't see a lot there but meanwhile Baylor is four and four
00:21I mean these teams are both fighting for postseason eligibility of some kind maybe a bowl game but
00:26Baylor can't cover a spread at all this season they're one and seven so tough game I think to
00:31call for me I can see both sides getting it done yeah prior to the season you know there were a lot
00:37of college football media members including yours truly who thought Baylor had a chance at challenging
00:43for the title and what promised to be another wide open big 12 race it obviously as you mentioned
00:48hasn't come to fruition and primarily due to a leaky defense they thought their defense was
00:53improved to this point we really hadn't seen it giving up 36.3 points per game and it's seven
00:59games against FBS opponents a lot of points 122nd out of 136 FBS teams do the Bears rank in scoring
01:10defense also giving up a robust 432 yards a game to FBS opponents so as you might expect and as you
01:19mentioned Baylor hasn't fared well at the betting window only covering one of their eight games to
01:25this point but I actually believe that there's some value in backing Baylor this weekend against
01:30Central Florida I had Baylor pegged as about a touchdown favorite here it actually opened at minus six
01:37at some books on Sunday they've taken some UCF money now down to three and a half at most books
01:43you look at this UCF team there's really not a whole lot of meat on the bone so to speak
01:48they've defeated three FBS teams to this point in the season one of those being group of five
01:53Jacksonville State the other two power four members North Carolina and West Virginia two power four
02:01members that are combined oh and eight in their conference play you know the current number infers
02:07that these teams are about even on a neutral field I don't see it that way I think Baylor's got a better
02:12team and UCF they haven't faced a particularly difficult slate of passing offenses that changes
02:21on Saturday if nothing else Baylor can throw it all over the yard with Sawyer Robertson I think they
02:26throw for a lot of yards I like the Bears minus three and a half over the Golden Knights Saturday in Waco
02:32you
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