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  • 2 days ago
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00:00Given the higher yield environment, which you say it's not, but it is still higher than what it was before.
00:08Will it go higher?
00:09Will it go higher? And also, will it force the Fed's hand?
00:13Yes. I mean, there's always a notion that somehow the Fed is omnipotent and can do whatever it wants.
00:19And they do set short-term rates, but they also have to follow the facts.
00:23So they raised rates because inflation went up.
00:26You know, and they can't control it. Even today, you know, trillions of dollars, these bonds are sold every day.
00:32That's done by investors around the world. They cannot control all of that.
00:36You know, foreigners own $35 trillion of U.S. financial tradable assets.
00:41And so, you know, they have to react to reality, which they, that's not a criticism.
00:45And they say they're data dependent, but they have to wait and see exactly what happens and then do the appropriate thing.
00:52But the thing is, their reality is different from the reality you have in mind.
00:56If you take a look at what Neil Kashkari said, he said the U.S. economy is on solid footing.
01:02And some other Fed officials have said that in terms of Fed policy, it is in a very sweet spot.
01:08So their reality is quite different.
01:11I think, I don't agree we're in a sweet spot, okay?
01:15And I think you have to separate two things.
01:18The economy has been doing well.
01:21All the facts, you know, we have been, effectively been in a soft landing.
01:25That does not tell you what the future is going to be.
01:28To worry about the future, if you look at all the things that affect the future, kind of work your way back to the current day.
01:33And I've already mentioned, huge deficits.
01:35We haven't finished quantitative tightening yet.
01:38There are huge geopolitical issues.
01:40There are these inflationary factors out there.
01:42And they have to react to all of that.
01:44So I think they're doing the right thing to kind of wait and see before they decide.
01:48One final question, and I promise this is the final question.
01:51Okay.
01:51The dollar, right?
01:53Usually when you have a high-yield environment, the dollar gets a boost.
01:56But it's the other way around.
01:57How are you reading into dollar weakness?
01:59Yeah.
01:59Well, like I said, foreigners own $35 trillion of U.S. securities.
02:03The United States still is the most prosperous, innovative nation on the planet.
02:07That's not going to change.
02:08But I think it might be reasonable, people looking at it.
02:11And also, asset prices are high.
02:12So if you go around the world, you look at stock prices in the U.S. are up here.
02:16You know, P.E. ratios or other parts of the world are much lower.
02:19So people legitimately say, well, maybe a little bit less dollar assets and a little bit more of that.
02:23So you may see some kind of adjustment.
02:24I think at the end of the day, the important thing for America is that we do the right things to grow our own economy.
02:29And that includes affordable housing and for business and innovation and growth and R&D and all those things.
02:34That's the important thing.
02:35You know, I don't worry that much about short-term fluctuations in the dollar.
02:39But I do understand that people might be reducing dollar assets today a little bit.
02:42Coming from a patriot.
02:43Jimmy Diamond, thank you so much for joining us.
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