- 8 hours ago
Storm Benjamin, as named by Meteo France, is set to batter the UK with heavy downpours and winds of more than 70mph this week, forecasters have said.
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00:00Hello and welcome to this week's Deep Dive. And of course the weather this week has started to turn quite interesting.
00:07If you compare it to last week, we did have high pressure, but we were stuck under the anti-cyclonic gloom.
00:13It was dry, settled, but there was plenty of cloud around.
00:17This week, however, is totally different and it's all because of this low pressure.
00:22Often at times this week, it is going to bring in some very wet and windy weather,
00:26particularly later Wednesday through into Thursday.
00:29And if you're keen-eyed or if you've followed us on social media channels, you'll have seen already this morning,
00:35we have issued a couple of wind warnings and also a rain warning.
00:39So let's take a look at the details.
00:41So to start off, let's take a look at our winds.
00:46We follow this along here.
00:50So I'm going to just move this over to midday and Wednesday.
00:54Oh, actually, Wednesday afternoon, sorry.
00:56Where actually we can see winds are mostly light.
00:59We're not expecting any gusts at this point above 50 miles per hour.
01:03And actually Wednesday is probably going to be quite a nice day.
01:05It will be dry, bright, sunny, some showers in places, but actually overall a half-decent day.
01:10And it's really later into the day, as we start to see that area of low pressure,
01:14which I just had on the screen, it will start to skirt its way across the south.
01:21And as it does so, we'll start to see an increase in winds and we'll see an increase in gusts too.
01:25So you can already see the main areas that our model is pointing out.
01:29So western coast of Wales, parts of the southwest, possibly parts of the south and also the southeast.
01:35But note that wind direction. It is a more northerly wind direction.
01:39So actually a lot of the gusts across parts of the south are going to be offshore.
01:43And as this system drifts its way eastwards, a chance we could see wind speeds, particularly around exposed coasts,
01:50around 50 to 60 miles per hour, which is why we do have a couple of wind warnings in force.
01:56I'll get onto those in a moment.
01:57But really with that northerly wind, it's going to be across any northerly exposed windward coasts
02:02that we're going to see a strengthening of those winds, possibly parts of the southwest as well.
02:07And the low pressure system will eventually continue to drift its way eastwards through into Thursday.
02:13And with a change in location of that low, then we start to see the strongest of the winds become more confined to eastern areas.
02:20Now, once again, the strongest of those gusts are likely to be offshore.
02:24But really any exposed coasts, particularly exposed to that northerly wind direction,
02:29could possibly see some quite strong gusts in the range of around 50 to 60 miles per hour.
02:34The low pressure system will continue to push its way eastwards,
02:39but it actually becomes a feature that kind of lingers for a time into the North Sea.
02:44And with that, we continue to see that northerly wind direction.
02:48And you can still see here, even though once again, most of the strongest winds are going to be offshore,
02:52any exposed coasts once again are going to be catching those gusts.
02:56And even inland areas, even though they're not showing the pink modelled colours here,
03:00even inland areas are still going to be quite breezy, quite gusty at times.
03:04On Wednesday and Thursday.
03:06But even as we head closer into the weekend, it's still going to be a breezier feel.
03:10And also notice, once again, that wind direction really coming from the north.
03:14And that's going to have a knock-on effect in terms of our wind chill temperatures.
03:17But we'll come more into that in a moment.
03:20So wind speeds are going to start to increase later Wednesday through into Thursday.
03:24Not only that, but we're going to see a fair amount of rain associated with this feature as well.
03:29So if I go into later tomorrow, this is six-hour rainfall totals.
03:35Our models are really starting to show now where the possible most impacted areas are going to be.
03:41So you can see as we head kind of later through into Thursday that it's really that southeastern half of the country there.
03:49So central parts of England, parts of Lincolnshire, East Anglia, even parts of the south and southwest
03:54are really going to start to see those rainfall totals tot up.
03:58So we can see here widely between sort of 20 to 30 millimetres of rain.
04:03But once again, it's going to be those hilly areas, those more exposed areas,
04:06where we're going to catch possibly some quite persistent heavier downpours.
04:10Most areas are going to see around about an inch of rain.
04:14And as that system continues to drift its way eastwards,
04:16obviously we'll start to see the more persistent outbreaks of rain become a bit more confined to the east as well.
04:22Well, we could still see those totals tot up through into Thursday
04:26and through into the early hours of Friday until that low really starts to clear away.
04:31So it's going to be windy.
04:32It's going to be wet initially through the early hours of Wednesday.
04:36It will be quite wet, particularly across the south.
04:38And then as that system drifts to the east, things will start to ease away.
04:41But we do have some weather warnings in force.
04:46And it's, of course, all our warnings are based on impact.
04:50So there is a chance, particularly across parts of the southeast,
04:53where we could see some windy and wet conditions, obviously a highly populated area.
04:56There's a chance we could see some impacts in association with this feature.
05:01Now, obviously, they're not super clear on this.
05:03So I'm going to try and draw around them just to make them that little bit easier to clear.
05:08But there is a warning mostly across eastern areas,
05:11so parts of Lincolnshire, East Anglia, southeast England, and also the London area.
05:16So this is going to be a wind warning.
05:18I'll just wait for that to catch up.
05:19And we've also got a second wind warning around western coasts.
05:24So western coasts of Wales, also western and northern coasts of Devon and Cornwall.
05:29So this is where we've got the wind warnings there.
05:33So the initial one across Wales, parts of southwest England,
05:36that's going to be valid from 4 a.m. on Wednesday all the way through until 6 p.m. the same day.
05:41And this secondary wind warning across eastern areas,
05:44that's going to be from 9 a.m. all the way through up till midnight.
05:47So wind speeds mainly in the west, around 40 to 45 miles per hour quite widely.
05:52Even inland areas could see these kind of wind speeds.
05:55But around those coasts, they could potentially get up to around 50 to 60 miles per hour.
06:00Now, across eastern areas, obviously, I showed you that low drifting eastwards,
06:04those winds, those northerly winds really starting to pick up as it does so.
06:07So wind speeds could be slightly higher here.
06:10Once again, 45 to 55 miles per hour, possibly 65, just pushing into the mid-60s miles per hour,
06:18just as that system drifts across.
06:19But that, once again, is going to be around those exposed coastal areas.
06:23And we're going to go through in a moment a little bit of model uncertainty.
06:27Some models do have that low slightly deeper.
06:29The deeper the low, the stronger the winds.
06:31And if this takes place, we could potentially be looking at wind speeds of around 65 to 75 miles per hour.
06:36So obviously, a chance that it could create some impacts.
06:40We also have this rain warning issued here.
06:42This is across much of the south and southeastern kind of swathe of the UK.
06:47So once again, this is where we're expecting possible impacts as a result of persistent rain.
06:53So once again, around 20 to 30 millimetres.
06:57But where we do see those heavier, persistent downpours, a chance we could see between 30 to 50 millimetres of rain.
07:03So that's why these warnings have been issued.
07:06And like I say, quite a populated area.
07:08So a chance we could see some localised flooding.
07:11Not only this, but quite strong winds at this time of year.
07:14Obviously, the trees are still quite in full leaf.
07:16And with a more northerly direction, those trees are a little bit more exposed.
07:19Obviously, leaves on railways, that means there are lots of delays or cancellations in terms of trains.
07:27It can create slippery surfaces.
07:29And obviously, we're looking at some localised flooding too.
07:32So do keep an eye on our website for any warning updates in terms of wind and rain over the next couple of days.
07:38So obviously, I've already discussed why we are starting to see this change.
07:44It's all thanks to low pressure.
07:46Even this afternoon, we've still got low pressure situated to the northwest.
07:50That's bringing in plenty of showers across western areas.
07:52But it's this area of low pressure that we're keeping an eye on.
07:56This is the one associated with the warnings.
07:58This is the area of low pressure that will eventually drift its way across the Atlantic.
08:03And at times, it does get picked up by the jet stream.
08:06Now, of course, we have spoken before about areas of low pressure getting picked up by the jet stream.
08:12They undergo rapid deepening when they fall into what we call the left jet exit, the colder side of the jet.
08:19And this can sometimes undergo quite rapid deepening.
08:22We can sometimes get quite rapid cyclogenesis as a result of this.
08:26Now, that's not quite what happens with this area of low pressure.
08:30And I'm going to try and explain why.
08:32So here it is Tuesday afternoon.
08:35If we move through into Wednesday, it starts to get picked up by that jet stream.
08:39And it moves quite quickly closer towards parts of the southwest.
08:43Now, this is the main jet core.
08:45And what you'll notice is that it's actually situated slightly further south than we'd initially expect.
08:51Not only this, but you've got this secondary jet streak, which is really pushing in from the north,
08:55pushing its way downwards and pushing that low across.
08:58I'm going to show you that in a slightly different way.
09:02This is something which I took from our chief this morning.
09:05So there's that main jet core that we were looking at, the low situated around about there.
09:11And here's that secondary streak of the jet stream just pushing its way southwards.
09:15Not only this, but you've also got some areas of stronger winds just to the north of this main core.
09:21You've got one pushing into parts of the southwest.
09:23So it's actually a really complicated picture high up in the atmosphere.
09:27And that's one of the reasons why we have had some model uncertainty.
09:33The model's all slightly modeling the jet stream slightly differently.
09:37And obviously that has a knock-on effect as to the track, the timing of the low,
09:41how deep that area of low pressure is going to be.
09:45So that does explain, I think some people mentioned it yesterday,
09:48you know, why is there still this uncertainty at such a short lead time?
09:51And this is one of the main reasons why the jet stream,
09:54the fast-flowing ribbon of air high up in the atmosphere,
09:56it's not always set that it just moves from west to east.
10:00Sometimes we get quite complicated setups and this in turn does create that uncertainty.
10:06So let's head back to our area of low pressure.
10:09And what you'll notice is, just jump back,
10:12it does start to sit where we would usually undergo some quite rapid deepening.
10:18But this low doesn't really start to deepen until actually later Thursday
10:23when it starts to push away from the jet stream and starts to push into the North Sea.
10:29So I'm going to attempt to explain why.
10:33So here we go, let's just drag this back.
10:36Just have to stand in front of the screen for one moment.
10:40So here it's not far from the left jet exit,
10:43but it would probably need to be slightly shifted further south.
10:46And because it's just slightly shifted further north and that this jet stream here is slightly further south than usual
10:53and it stays in that location and we almost see that low detaching from that jet,
10:58just a little bit, as it starts to push into parts of the southeast.
11:03Then it's not until it moves off until it undergoes a little bit more deepening than what it does so as it moves in.
11:08So I just want to head back and explain why we tend to look at the left jet exit.
11:15Well, I'm going to attempt so because it's a little bit complicated,
11:18but I'm going to try and simplify it a little bit.
11:20I'm just going to move over to this side of the screen.
11:24So let's say this is our jet stream.
11:30Here we go.
11:31And I've drawn it on slightly curved.
11:33We'll make sure I'm still in the picture.
11:34I've drawn it on slightly curved just to kind of show that as that air is moving into the jet stream,
11:40it's a little slower.
11:41And when we get towards the jet core, this is the center of the jet,
11:45those wind speeds really start to pick up.
11:47This is where we tend to see the strongest wind speeds.
11:49And then we start to see slight spreading out of our jet.
11:53The wind speeds start to decelerate.
11:55Decelerate?
11:56They start to slow down as they move out of that jet stream core.
12:00So here is really where we start to see the strongest of the winds.
12:05So if this is our wind speeds moving into that jet stream,
12:10represented by this arrow,
12:12it starts to accelerate as it does so.
12:14But we also have another force at play here.
12:17And this is called aegistrophic motion.
12:20Now, aegistrophic motion is essentially a wind that's kind of out of balance between the Coriolis force and the pressure gradient force.
12:31I'm not going to go into what those are now.
12:33We've talked about it loads of times in different videos.
12:36But essentially, it's the difference in the balance between those two forces.
12:40So if you imagine a car driving around a bend at a constant speed,
12:47it either starts to accelerate or slow down,
12:49and then suddenly you have an unbalance of those forces.
12:52That's a very simplified way of explaining what aegistrophic motion is.
12:57But in terms of this context,
12:59what you really need to know is that aegistrophic motion will always move to the left of acceleration.
13:04So where we see our winds accelerate,
13:06our aegistrophic motion will always drift to the left.
13:09So within our jet stream core,
13:12if our forces are being pushed to the left,
13:14the air is being pushed to the left.
13:16So this is where we start to see,
13:18with all the air pushing northwards,
13:20we start to see more air here,
13:21and it starts to sink.
13:23We start to get convergence aloft,
13:25according to Dynes' model.
13:26So convergence aloft is when the wind speeds push together and push down.
13:31So convergence aloft is here.
13:33And because our air is moving northwards,
13:36we've got less air now to the south.
13:38And with less air, air starts to rise.
13:41So this is where we have an area of divergence.
13:43So convergence, the air is moving down,
13:45the pressure is increasing.
13:47Where we have divergence, the air is moving up,
13:49and the pressure is decreasing.
13:52But obviously, we usually talk about the left jet exit.
13:55That's where we tend to pick up areas of low pressure,
13:58where we tend to see rapid deepening.
14:00So as the air accelerates into the jet stream,
14:05we start to see the fastest wind speeds here.
14:08And as it starts to move out of that jet core,
14:11our wind speeds start to slow down.
14:13And this means, in terms of forces,
14:16our acceleration is actually moving this way.
14:19So this is where our wind speeds start to speed up.
14:22We start to slow down.
14:23So the force of acceleration moves this way.
14:26And then our pressure gradient force,
14:27if we remember, moves to the left.
14:30So once again, that air is being pushed to the south.
14:34More air being pushed to the south.
14:35It's moving downwards, convergence aloft.
14:38So we have our area of convergence here.
14:40So where the air is moving away from the north,
14:43that's where we're needing to find more air
14:46to replace that air that's moving away.
14:48So it's starting to find it lower down.
14:50So we start to see that air begin to rise.
14:54And then we get divergence aloft.
14:57And it's here where we have divergence,
15:00where we get a development area.
15:02And this is why we tend to look at the left jet exit
15:04if areas of low pressure are being picked up
15:07by the jet stream.
15:07Not only this, but this towards the north of the jet.
15:10That's our cold side of the jet as well.
15:13So another trigger really acting
15:14to create that divergence aloft,
15:16to really lower that pressure even more
15:19as that small scale low starts to drift its way
15:21across the Atlantic and really acts to fuel it
15:24as it drifts its way across and moves towards us in the UK.
15:28So a very simplified example and diagram.
15:32Please do take a look at some of our other videos
15:34if you want a little bit of information on that.
15:36But this is essentially why we tend to look
15:38at the left jet exit.
15:40So let's take a look at our area of low pressure once again.
15:45Because like I said, initially starts to drift across.
15:50This is the jet stream I just attempted to draw here.
15:53Starts to move into the left jet exit.
15:55But as we get later into Wednesday
15:58through into Thursday, it becomes detached.
16:03Nevertheless, though, it's still a relatively deep area
16:06of low pressure.
16:06You can see plenty of isobars on the chart,
16:08which is why we are starting to see that increase in winds.
16:11Not only this, but it's bringing in plenty of rainfall
16:13as well as usual low pressure systems do.
16:17But it's one of the reasons why at this moment in time
16:20it is not a named feature.
16:23I'm going to come on to that a bit more in a moment later.
16:26That's the reason why we're not naming it.
16:28But there's potentially other countries
16:29that might name this system.
16:31More on that in a moment.
16:32But anyway, it's still bringing in some wet and windy weather,
16:37but it's not going to be quite as intense.
16:39The wind speeds aren't going to be quite as strong.
16:41It's not a named feature because it starts to move away
16:43from that jet stream.
16:44It has less of a trigger in order to deepen.
16:48But it does start to deepen as we drift into Thursday.
16:52We don't really say goodbye to that low,
16:55really even until the weekend.
16:56It sits there swirling around into the North Sea,
17:00as I showed you on the wind gusts earlier with that northerly flow.
17:03It's still bringing in some quite gusty conditions
17:05across eastern areas of the UK.
17:08And it kind of sits there.
17:09It does start to drift its way eastwards a little bit.
17:13It's starting to move its way away from Denmark.
17:15But then we've got high pressure starting to build out to the west,
17:18which I'm sure will eventually push it out the way.
17:21But on Thursday, it still tends to bring
17:24some quite intense winds across the south.
17:27So what's another trigger if it's not going to be the jet stream?
17:31What's another trigger creating this in order to intensify?
17:35Well, that's all thanks to something called positive vorticity advection.
17:41Oh, I've lost you.
17:42They switched off.
17:44It's got very technical today.
17:46I've not got many deep dives left,
17:47so I thought I'd take my advantage of getting all technical with you guys.
17:50But it's positive vorticity advection,
17:53and all because we've got a deep upper trough
17:55starting to build into the North Sea.
17:58So rather than the jet stream being the trigger
18:00for this area of low pressure,
18:01it's actually the deep upper trough
18:03building in eastern areas.
18:06So we can see this positive vorticity.
18:09This is where the area of low pressure sits.
18:11Just out to the west, into the North Sea,
18:13we can see it shown by these red and these blue colours.
18:15So all along here is Thursday.
18:17This is at 6z, 12z, and then 18z.
18:20So all through Thursday, here we are.
18:23And we can even see it, as I say,
18:24it's kind of lingering around out to the west.
18:26We can still see that area of low pressure sticking there
18:29all the way through until kind of Saturday, really.
18:33So why is it the upper trough
18:35that's starting to create that intensification of the low?
18:40We'll start to see that pressure start to drop once again.
18:43Obviously, the lower the pressure,
18:45the deeper the storm, and the stronger the winds,
18:50those eastern coast still picking up those strong, gusty winds.
18:54And it's all because of this upper trough.
18:56And that's because just to the east of troughs,
18:59or to the right of troughs, however you look at it,
19:01we start to get divergence once again.
19:04So we start to get divergence happening aloft.
19:08So therefore, we've got the air parcel starting to rise.
19:13We've got convergence to the west of the trough.
19:17We've got divergence to the east.
19:19So a similar setup to the jet stream,
19:22where we have those convergence areas
19:23and those divergence areas.
19:25But where we see the divergence areas
19:27is to the east of the trough,
19:28and that's where the area of low pressure starts to sit.
19:30So we've got air rising once again,
19:32really intensifying that low
19:34and dropping the pressure at the surface.
19:37So this area of low pressure is an interesting one
19:40because it kind of starts to slack
19:42as it drifts across the south.
19:44Then as it pushes into the North Sea,
19:46that's when it starts to intensify.
19:49And it's also one of the reasons
19:51why we're not naming this storm.
19:53Obviously, we're also in partnership
19:54with MET-ERIN,
19:57and we're also in partnership
19:59with KMNI,
20:03the Danish MET services.
20:05And we're really part of the kind of
20:07northern European group
20:09who tends to name these storms.
20:10So if someone else decides to name it,
20:13for example, France, Meteor France,
20:15because they are going to see
20:16some quite strong winds associated with this feature,
20:18particularly across their northwestern coasts,
20:21then actually it won't be Bram.
20:22It will be Benjamin.
20:23So there could potentially still be a named storm,
20:27but it's unlikely to be named by us.
20:30And really, because this system
20:31is drifting across the south,
20:32it is impacting a few different countries,
20:34not with strong winds,
20:35but it's also bringing in
20:36some quite intense areas of rainfall.
20:38So northern parts of Europe
20:39are very unsettled at the moment.
20:41Intense rain.
20:42We've also got some quite intense thunderstorms.
20:44I think it was yesterday
20:45there was a tornado recorded in France.
20:48We've also seen winds so intense
20:50that they've knocked cranes over.
20:53So they've already had quite a lot of unsettled weather.
20:55And as this area of low pressure starts to build through,
20:58we're going to see further spells of wet and windy weather.
21:02So it could potentially be quite an impactful low.
21:04And obviously, when we have impactful areas of low pressure,
21:08they do tend to get named.
21:09Or where we see kind of warnings build up
21:12from yellows to ambers,
21:14we start to think about naming.
21:15So a chance that a different country could name the system.
21:18But as it stands, Tuesday afternoon,
21:21I'm probably jinxing myself
21:22and it's being named right now.
21:24But the Met Office are very unlikely to name this storm.
21:27Now, obviously, if this area of low pressure
21:29does then become more intense
21:31and some slightly different models
21:32start to look like they're more aligning
21:35and this area of low pressure
21:36is going to be slightly deeper,
21:38then we would obviously look at escalating the warnings
21:40and then we would look at naming.
21:41But that's very, very unlikely.
21:43The more likely thing that might happen
21:46is that another country may name this system.
21:49But we'll take a look at that
21:51over the next 24 hours and so and see what happens.
21:54But at the moment, it is not a named feature.
21:58So obviously, this system then starts to drift its way
22:01over to the southeast, or over to the east, sorry.
22:06And then what starts to happen
22:08and switch some of these off.
22:12We do start to see a rebuild of high pressure
22:15once again out to the west.
22:16It's not got a H on it just yet,
22:18not a H for high pressure, not for honour.
22:20But it is high pressure, as we know,
22:22because that will move round in a clockwise direction.
22:25Well, we've got high pressure building in the west
22:29and obviously moving in that clockwise direction.
22:32We've got low pressure out to the east
22:34moving in the anti-clockwise direction.
22:36So then, of course, we start to get
22:38that northerly flow of air.
22:40So over the weekend,
22:41things are going to start to feel that bit chillier.
22:44Let's take a look at those temperatures.
22:47I'll go a little bit further in time.
22:50Let's go from Thursday onwards.
22:51Oh, actually, let's go from Wednesday.
22:53So temperatures at the moment,
22:55I mean, they're not that exciting.
22:57They're either a roundabout average
22:58or in some places they're a touch above,
23:00some places they're a touch below,
23:01particularly in the north.
23:03But sometimes it's not always the value
23:05of what the temperature actually is.
23:07It's how it feels.
23:08Because obviously last week,
23:09it felt kind of nice in the sunshine,
23:11but under all the cloud, it felt quite cool.
23:13But I always think this feels quite differently
23:15as those winds start to intensify
23:16and it's really that wind chill
23:18that starts to bite a little bit.
23:20But the temperatures at the moment,
23:22like I say, around average, around average.
23:25So around 14, 15,
23:26might get to kind of 16 degrees Celsius into tomorrow.
23:29Wednesday actually looks like quite a nice day.
23:31But notice those temperatures starting to drop away
23:35as we head through into the weekend,
23:37actually looking more like the high single figures,
23:41possibly 10, 11 degrees.
23:43But actually, it's those wind chill temperatures
23:46that are really going to start to feel it.
23:48So if we take over to Saturday,
23:50even though temperatures, like I just said,
23:5210, 11 degrees,
23:53when you add on that chilly northerly flow,
23:56particularly across parts of Scotland,
23:58I mean, Aberdeen wind chill temperature
23:59is looking about three degrees.
24:01So it's going to be feeling much colder
24:03as we head towards the weekend.
24:05If you're not a fan of the cold weather,
24:07well, actually, it's going to be
24:09just a very small blip of chilly weather.
24:11And as that high pressure starts to build,
24:13we'll begin to see a bit more of a westerly flow
24:14and more rain, probably,
24:17particularly across the northwest
24:18and brighter interludes and ridges.
24:20It will be one of those changeable weeks
24:21once again as we head into next week.
24:23So it's a brief colder spell
24:25and then things will probably get that bit milder,
24:27but along with the milder weather,
24:28it'll probably be wet.
24:29That's all I'm going to say,
24:30because obviously it's Alex Burke here
24:31on the 10-day trend tomorrow,
24:33so I don't want to step on his toes.
24:35So for a bit more information
24:36on the weather ahead,
24:37do check that out tomorrow afternoon
24:39with Alex B.
24:41But just a heads-up for the weekend,
24:43it is going to start to turn chilly.
24:45So obviously quite unsettled this week.
24:46Some rain warnings in force,
24:48some wind warnings in force.
24:50Things will start to settle down over the weekend.
24:52There could be some showers,
24:53even some wintry showers across Scotland
24:55as things start to turn a bit chillier.
24:57Wintry showers mainly across mountainous areas.
25:00There's not going to be as much snow
25:01as perhaps some media outlets,
25:03which will try and let you believe.
25:05But yes, a change is on its way,
25:07a brief colder blip
25:08before that high pressure starts to build in,
25:11perhaps bringing some slightly nicer conditions next week.
25:13Obviously, it's the start of half-term for many.
25:15I know half-term, I don't have children,
25:17so I have no idea,
25:18but I know half-term has started this week for some,
25:21so it's not been the best start,
25:22but particularly this weekend,
25:24it will be a start half-term
25:25for many of us in the country,
25:27and you might be out, I don't know,
25:28pumpkin picking or something,
25:29getting ready for Halloween.
25:30So there's going to be lots of nice weather,
25:32but definitely wrap-up warm
25:33because it is definitely going to be on the chilly side
25:36and still quite windy as well.
25:38So if you've decided to stick up your Halloween decorations,
25:40make sure you've tied them down.
25:43So I think that's pretty much everything.
25:46No, there was one more thing that I wanted to talk about
25:48because quite a few of us
25:51quite like our space weather, don't we?
25:54Actually, if you take a look at our TikTok,
25:55any moment now by the time this video is issued,
25:59there will be a TikTok from Alex B once again
26:02about the Orionid meteor shower,
26:04which has actually, it's already started.
26:07I wrote down the dates because I knew I'd forget,
26:09but it's between, oh no, it's starting from now,
26:1222nd of October until the 7th of November.
26:15So there'll still be a chance to see it,
26:17but tonight it's really going to be its peak,
26:19and it's quite good weather conditions
26:21if you want to go take a look as well.
26:23I believe the peak is from around midnight.
26:26Oh, I'm on the wrong day.
26:27I was going to say,
26:28that looks a lot cloudier than I thought.
26:29Here we go.
26:30So the peak is going to be from around midnight until 6 a.m.,
26:34and you can see if we take a look at what the clouds being modelled out,
26:39you can see there's quite a lot of clear skies,
26:41and eastern areas in particular are going to see quite a few of those clear skies.
26:44It's still going to be a little bit breezy, I will admit,
26:46particularly across Scotland around those coastal areas,
26:49still quite breezy there.
26:50We can see most of us are going to see clear skies,
26:52and even this cloud in the west is probably patchy low cloud,
26:56so there'll be some breaks at times, possibly some mist and fog,
26:59as winds are fairly light in most places.
27:02So there might be some mist and fog in places,
27:04but particularly between midnight and 6.
27:07Let's drag that round.
27:09There are going to be plenty of clear skies.
27:11So if you're a big fan of meteor showers,
27:15it's definitely worth going to have a look,
27:16because I think we had, it was last week,
27:20we had the supermoon, and quite a few people saw that,
27:23but we also had the aurora, because the supermoon was so bright,
27:26not many people could actually see the northern lights across parts of Scotland.
27:30So if you missed that and were a bit gutted,
27:32well, there might be something else that you can spot tonight.
27:34So, yes, I'm glad I remembered that one.
27:36Of course, if you get any cool pictures,
27:38definitely send them into the Met Office.
27:40Maybe we can feature them on this week's Live,
27:42which, of course, is on Friday at 12.15, like it is every week.
27:46And this week, it's me and Alex Birkhill,
27:49and it's actually the last time I'm going to be on the screen answering questions.
27:52So if you have any questions for me specifically,
27:56make sure to tune in this Friday.
27:59And it's also going to be the last quiz that Alex Birkhill will be able to give me.
28:03So fingers crossed for a five out of five.
28:05But, yes, if you do have any questions or comments,
28:07particularly about anything that I've gone through this afternoon,
28:10make sure to leave them in the comments box,
28:12and I'll take a look at them and try and answer some of them during the live.
28:16And, of course, if you're new here, make sure to subscribe.
28:19If you liked this video, do please give it a thumbs up.
28:23I've not got many of these deep dives left.
28:25We've got a double whammy of deep dives, and I'm afraid I'm also going to be on the one next week.
28:29So if you have any questions, maybe I can take a look at them, too,
28:32if I don't get the chance to answer them on Friday.
28:35But otherwise, I hope you enjoyed.
28:37As I say, if you want a bit more in-depth weather on the next 10 days or so,
28:41you can take a look at Alex Birkhill's video on YouTube later.
28:45Otherwise, that's everything from me.
28:47So I hope you have a lovely week, and I'll catch you again very soon.
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