J.K. Dobbins Could Be Set to Smash Over on Rushing Yards

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00:00Okay, J.K. Dobbins, 58 and a half rushing yards against a New York Giants defense.

00:05Does he go over or under and why?

00:07I think this one's a huge over.

00:10Look, we're all waiting for R.J. Harvey, but I'm not going to keep holding my breath here.

00:14But this is one of my favorite bets of the week here.

00:16From a fantasy perspective, J.K. Dobbins is a must start, especially with the bye weeks we've got.

00:21So 65 and a half rushing yards you're getting here in some other markets.

00:25It's gone up since Friday, obviously, and that's why, you know, we are where we are, right?

00:30Because we're trying to get ahead of things.

00:31So on Friday, I was like, okay, we love this number.

00:33And then you've seen it move from 58 to 65.

00:36Still a smash in the over.

00:37I just don't see any way that we don't get there on Sunday.

00:41So I like the over on this one, but because you can get it cheaper in some other markets there,

00:4658 and a half is where we've got it locked in on Friday, which is a good thing.

00:50And, yeah, Ash and Jenty, 75 and a half yards last week.

00:53I just want to lament about it for a second.

00:55And he got 75.

00:56I mean, just brutal.

00:57Come on, man.

00:58Come on.

00:58One more.

00:59Just one more yard is all we needed.

01:01But, look, the Giants have given up a ton against the run here.

01:04And even with J.K. Dobbins and this number growing a little bit,

01:07he has reached this number in every single game but two this year.

01:10Last week, nothing worked for Denver.

01:13I don't expect that to carry over.

01:14And then week one against Tennessee against week one.

01:17So you don't take too much out of that.

01:19But he's gone over even the 65 and a half every single week since, except for last week.

01:25And I think everyone just wants to collectively crumple that game up, throw it away,

01:29and never, ever talk about the 13-11 Jets-Denver game.

01:32That was awful.

01:33I'm sorry, England.

01:35That's not what football is supposed to look like.

01:37I apologize.

01:38Yeah.

01:39Might start another international conflict.

01:42Okay.

01:42The Brownies have the fish.

01:45Make your own jokes on that one.

01:47So Browns and Dolphins, John Judkins, 89 and a half rushing yards over under Y.

01:53Yeah.

01:53Look, this is a high number two, but I'm going to go over.

01:56And the reason is it's the Miami Dolphins who just don't tackle anybody.

02:00Kamani Vidal looked like an absolute rock star.

02:03He was a guy from the practice squad on the Chargers, okay?

02:06And Kamani Vidal is not a bad running back.

02:08I'm not trying to take shots at him.

02:09But there's a reason why guys are on the practice squad

02:11and not necessarily starting running backs in the NFL.

02:15Quinshon Judkins is a starting running back,

02:16not to mention the fact that you've also got some potential weather issues in this game.

02:20Dylan Gabriel, you don't want him throwing the football 35 times.

02:23That's not the recipe to win a game.

02:25I think if they just keep handing the ball to Quinshon Judkins

02:27and play that vintage Cleveland Browns defense that we've seen at home from them this year,

02:32they can sneak out a win against the Dolphins.

02:34And then, oh, goodness, what those press conferences will be later this afternoon,

02:38if that does happen.

02:39But I'm going over on this one, too.

02:41I also like both of these, pairing them with touchdowns.

02:44I would bet them separately.

02:45But if you want to go a little bit more there, pairing them with a touchdown,

02:48I think it would be really surprising if Dobbins

02:50and or Quinshon Judkins didn't get a score.

02:53So think about that as well.

02:54But to me, you look at the teams that are giving up the most rushing yards,

02:57the teams that don't tackle, you see the Giants at the top.

03:00You see the Miami Dolphins at the very top there.

03:03Those two teams have been absolutely brutal.

03:05So let's go with the run game of both those teams.

03:08And you know those teams want to run the football to begin with.

03:10So it just really plays into the positives.

03:12And I get it.

03:13Quinshon's a big number.

03:14But I'm still confident that he'll go over.

03:15I think he gets over 100 today.

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