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  • 7 weeks ago
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00:00an early game in vanderbilt where the commodores are coming off a bye week paul they play lsu one
00:07of the top defensive teams in the country so something's got to give this week i know nuss
00:12meyer hasn't really been the guy that they thought he would be but of course diego pavia has been
00:16he's been great 1500 yards and 14 touchdowns 48 and a half the total in this game between these
00:22two teams who do you like in this one well i'm gonna i'm looking at the total really here craig
00:28but i want to talk about just some interesting tidbits uh just real quickly here i didn't even
00:32know we kept data on sports betting point spreads this far back but i saw somewhere a reputable source
00:39this is going to be the first time if they close as the favorite that vanderbilt's been favored
00:45over lsu since way back in 1948 so it could be the first time they're favored over lsu in over 75 years
00:55and then kind of hard to put your teeth you know your arms around this one because vanderbilt had
01:00a good year last year they've been good this year but they still have been the underdog in 51 straight
01:08sec games so they are out to break that streak as well if they are favored indeed versus lsu if they
01:15close as the favorite on saturday you know we talked about uh or i talked about and i'm sure i did on this
01:20program as well lsu's likelihood to improve on defense this year because they did so much through
01:27the portal uh picked up tons of guys uh defensive end patrick payton from florida state uh jack pyburn
01:33from florida cornerback mansour delane from virginia tech uh aj halsey from houston in the defensive
01:40backfield just a lot of guys that they've added those guys have blended so well um with holdovers like
01:46harold perkins jr uh the weeks brothers the linebackers wit and west weeks so just a tremendous
01:53blend one of the very best defenses there in the nation for lsu the numbers tell the story i'm looking
02:00at the total again uh only one of their opponents to date old miss has scored more than 10 points against
02:07the bayou bingles uh old miss defeated lsu 24 19 a few weeks back there in oxford lsu against five
02:15fps foes this year only averaging allowing 12.2 points per game to rank fourth nationally in scoring
02:23defense predictably in their five games against fps opponents five unders so they're five and oh to the
02:30under against fps teams and not only under craig but under by at least 14 points a game in all five
02:37of those games so they have sailed under the total they've scored 20 points or less their offense
02:43somewhat limited as you mentioned thus meyer struggled not many weapons not much of a running
02:48game lsu has scored 20 points or fewer in each of their four games versus power four opposition
02:55this season vanderbilt they've got a little under streak of their own going
02:59eight of their last nine sec games have gone under the total i don't think either team i think the
03:04winning team i should say i guess not going to get any more than 24 points in my opinion
03:09so i like the under 48 and a half 48 in this game saturday in nashville
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