Exploring Top Touchdown Prices for NFL Thursday Night Game

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00:00Joe, I just want to start with the touchdown market.

00:02We know it's always popular to play touchdowns, and I know you.

00:05You usually get to the touchdown tab, and then you go like this.

00:07And you get to the bottom of the barrel there.

00:11But Saquon minus 175, and Jalen Hurts are minus 135.

00:14That's how the market begins.

00:17Does anything just stand out to you when you see touchdown prices

00:20for the Thursday night game?

00:21A.J. Brown at plus 160.

00:23That's the one for me.

00:24I really think he's going to have a big season.

00:25I think he could eclipse 1,250 yards.

00:28I know he was a little off point, battled some injuries last year.

00:32But I told you, all offseason, I believe it's going to be the Jalen Hurts show,

00:36not just on the ground but through the air.

00:39I think they limit to a degree.

00:41Saquon Barkley, I think they preserve him for a playoff push

00:44because they do want to win a Super Bowl championship.

00:48And I think A.J. Brown could break out plus 160 in this matchup,

00:51to me, is great value.

00:52Whenever you get a wide receiver one in this type of matchup

00:56going up against a conference opponent,

00:58I think he could eat.

01:00And I think Philly is a significant side in this matchup.

01:03I'm not swaying it in any capacity.

01:06So give me the passing attack with Jalen Hurts,

01:08but I like the plus 160.

01:10Also like Goddard, anytime you have tight ends involved in the red zone.

01:14I mean, plus 290, I believe, in this matchup.

01:16The two things that stood out to me.

01:17First is Saquon having a more expensive price to score a touchdown than Hurts.

01:21This was something that was the case for a lot of games last year

01:24until the books realized they just can't keep doing that.

01:27Hurts is more likely to score than Saquon Barkley

01:30because Jalen Hurts scores more touchdowns than Saquon Barkley.

01:33It really is that simple.

01:34You can even, you can go to the regular season.

01:37You can go to the postseason.

01:38Hurts had 14 rushing touchdowns compared to Saquon's 13.

01:42They both had five in the postseason.

01:45But if you remember, Saquon had a three-touchdown performance against Washington.

01:51There were two games Saquon didn't actually score in that playoff run.

01:54The other thing that jumps out to me is just clearly the book's not sure what to do yet

01:58with the Dallas Cowboys running back room.

02:01Plus 220 is the first number you'll find for Javonta Williams.

02:04Jaden Blue is plus 390, which is the same price as Miles Sanders.

02:08Now, they are a decided dog in the game.

02:11The stars of this Cowboy team, it's the passing attack.

02:15It's Dak with Lamb and newly acquired George Pickens.

02:18But still, runners come first in the touchdown market.

02:23Not the case with Dallas due to all of that uncertainty.

02:27When you look at some of the yardage numbers here, Joe, Saquon is going to be, I think,

02:32one that people just want to look at right away.

02:34And it's 96.5.

02:37Can Saquon Barkley run for 2,000 again?

02:40I don't think anybody really expects that.

02:42But is Saquon Barkley going to finish the season with 1,500, 1,600, 1,700 yards?

02:48Well, 96.5, that is something that would put him on pace for around a 1,200-yard season

02:56if he's averaging around that number.

02:58Well, I would think Dallas after the last regular season game, right?

03:02What did he rush for?

03:03$1.75 in that matchup, the game in the link?

03:05Yeah.

03:06So, you've got to believe in Week 1.

03:08We cannot allow Saquon Barkley to beat us in this matchup.

03:12They're going to stock the box, try to take away the rushing attack.

03:15I understand easier said than done.

03:17But with a divisional game, Week 1, maybe the offensive line a little bit to some capacity

03:23has a little inconsistency.

03:25They're not as cohesive.

03:27I would lean to the under just because I need to see it in Week 1.

03:30And quite honestly, I believe Sirian and the offensive staff are going to attack over the top.

03:36Again, I think Jalen Hurts is going to make a statement.

03:38I think it is the passing attack to open up the rushing attack later in this matchup.

03:43And again, what if they have a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter and Saquon's on the sidelines?

03:48Right?

03:48Again, are you going to roll them out there Week 1, pounding the rock for 30, 35 times

03:54when you already have the game in balance?

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