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  • 4 months ago
Transcript
00:00basically we're going to tell you some some players we'll give you some props and then we'll
00:03talk about if joe thinks it's going to happen or not let's start with baker mayfield i love doing
00:07this because a lot of times you say smash that's my favorite word baker mayfield passing yards over
00:12under 38 25 and a half come on now he smashed this last season minus 114 is your standard number here
00:19joe i mean thoughts let me let me present it this way how does he not hit this number barring injury
00:25well i think i can tell you why it's play go i think i can tell you why it's lower uh he's gone
00:32over 4 000 yards two years in a row in tampa and he's changed offensive coordinators in multiple
00:37years there too right it was canales first right and then it was liam cone last year and now this
00:42year it's gonna be another one so this is why it's set lower i just want everybody to understand the
00:46thought process here it's third different offensive coordinator in three years fair uh tristan worth's
00:51injury fair chris godwin injury to start the year fair rookie wide receiver emek egg buka fair
00:56all that is good reasoning of why you might want to take this down a peg but this is still a smash
01:02for me uh at 38 i mean i'm going over here because i feel like there's just no way this offense isn't
01:09built to go over 4 000 for baker mayfield again it's very heavy towards throwing the football mike evans
01:15is still there emek buka is extraordinary talent so i know there's some injuries and i know there's
01:20some question marks and i think that makes sense as to the why this number is so low but it's still
01:24an over for me and i think it's pretty comfortable do i expect him to get to 4 500 again probably not
01:29but even in the fantasy pros projections uh he's at 41 70 that's comfortably clearing this mark so
01:36to me this is one of the better props on the board right now you can find this number in a lot of spots
01:41but from a fantasy perspective it's interesting too because he is going being drafted behind bo nix
01:46currently in the real-time adp on fantasy pros and that's kind of surprising to me considering
01:52bo nix has done it for one season and baker mayfield's done it for a few seasons now so
01:57we'll see how things unfold but i think this is a smash match
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