Red Sox Aim for Playoff Spot Against Spoiler Marlins

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00:00This is in Boston, and the Boston Red Sox looking to make a surge

00:03to try to get into the playoffs.

00:04Miami basically playing spoiler down the stretch to teams like the Red Sox

00:07and also to teams in the NL East.

00:09A 971-972 rotation here, 135 start.

00:13Jansen Junk is on the mound going up against Garrett Crochet, the lefty.

00:16Massive favorite for those Boston Red Sox, Tom.

00:19Minus 250s overnight, minus 260s now in the sports landscape,

00:22depending on which sports books you're checking out.

00:25Eight and a half as the total today, Boston and Miami.

00:28What are we feeling?

00:29Well, we should be looking at the Red Sox cruising to another game,

00:34A, because Garrett Crochet is amazing.

00:36And despite the, I would say, very nice run that the Marlins went on through,

00:40like a four, two, three-week stretch, they are two and eight over their last ten games.

00:45You know, water will find its level.

00:46We look to Crochet, who I am now personally invested in.

00:49I traded for him in one of my Dynasty Fantasy Leagues, so I got him on board.

00:5430.8% strikeout rate, 6.5% walk rate.

00:57When you're looking at Jansen Junk, Johnny, is this a pitcher we need to be worried about?

01:01A, he doesn't strike anyone out.

01:0217% strikeout rate.

01:04I will say on the season, which is a 75-inning sample size, he has a 2.6% walk rate, which is phenomenal.

01:11It really is.

01:12And .60 home runs per nine.

01:14But when we're also looking at some of his stuff, his badminton is over 300, so he doesn't strike anyone out.

01:19He doesn't walk anyone, but he also pitches to a little bit of contact.

01:22And when we're looking at this Red Sox lineup, top five hitters, Anthony Story, Deron Yoshida, and Abreu,

01:29even throwing Romy Gonzalez in there, I'm liking what I'm seeing from the Red Sox offense.

01:33It's 90 degrees there.

01:34Yes, that's what we're getting to, right, Tom?

01:3788 degrees at first pitch, which, you know, it'll get hotter in the afternoon.

01:40A double-digit wind blowing out that usually has good stuff.

01:42Now, I've talked about Jansen Junk earlier in the season, saying, you know what?

01:45This guy's got some weird metrics here, but he's getting the job done.

01:48He's not really getting the job done anymore.

01:49His last 30 days, Tom, ISO against, if we combine lefties and righties, it's 250.

01:53Weighted on base percentage, 382.

01:55His K rate, Tom, over this, 108 batters over the past month, it's 13%.

01:59So, the fact of the matter is, like, oh, his walk rate doesn't put a lot on.

02:02Like, most of us, Tom, are bettors of RBI props, getting base hits, over bases.

02:07Like, you don't want a guy walking.

02:09Oh, man, a guy walked here.

02:10So, if this guy doesn't strike you out and doesn't walk you in these temperatures,

02:13in a hitter's ballpark, it feels like you've got to be taking a look at some of these

02:16Boston Red Sox batters in this game.

02:17And Junk over the past, or excuse me, I should say, what's about maybe 45 days or so,

02:22430 ERA, 454 X fifth number.

02:24But, again, the best of it was earlier in the season.

02:26The worst of it is coming right now.

02:28I'm really expecting that team to hit here.

02:30Opposite side, sometimes you can have fun with the Miami Marlins lineup.

02:33But, you know, the Kyle Sowers of the world, when they're not in it, it's really a mixed bag.

02:36Garrett Crochet does struggle a little bit with left-handed bats.

02:39But you're not going to get any lefties in the lineup today,

02:42which is where you probably would figure that Crochet might be able to do some damage against righties.

02:45We'll find it out.

02:46But for me, I also look at the same way as you do.

02:48Boston Red Sox should win, and we're waiting to see some fireworks in this game.

02:52And we'll see how it turns out here.

02:54137 start here.

02:54Let's keep it here in the AL East, at least one of those teams.

02:57The Toronto Blue Jays.

02:58Jose Barrios should be on the mound, taking on Nathan Eovaldi.

03:01We talked about Texas in the standings.

03:03It's just not going in the right direction.

03:04Toronto holding firm as the leader in the AL East.

03:08961-962.

03:09This line opened up, Tom, overnight.

03:11Eovaldi's slight favorite.

03:12Now we're seeing a pick-em at just about every outlet that you're shopping at.

03:15A total that's listed at A today.

03:18Can Toronto get the job done?

03:19They brought the bats yesterday.

03:20They brought the bats yesterday.

03:23I was on IGL with Scott Wetzel.

03:26We were talking about over 13.5, over 15.5, which both of those did come through, which

03:30was great.

03:31But, you know, the line being so balanced or roughly a pick-em is rather interesting.

03:37I know Eovaldi got blown up in his last start, and that's really abnormal for him.

03:40He's actually had an awesome year on the mound.

03:43But, you know, Barrios is an okay pitcher when it's all said and done for me, but the lineup

03:49discrepancy is so heavily favored in the Blue Jays that it's tough for me to back Eovaldi.

03:56Despite how good he has been, I have so much confidence in the Blue Jays lineup to come

04:02through when it's all said and done.

04:04Once Eovaldi's out of the game, the Rangers' bullpen is terrible.

04:07So, he could actually, you could actually win Rangers' first five with Toronto full game

04:13because Eovaldi bounces back after a rough last start against the Dimebacks.

04:17But, man, that Blue Jays lineup comes through late against the Rangers' bullpen.

04:20That's how we see this playing out.

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