00:00Because if we line it up tonight in Philadelphia, rubber match between two teams, one in first place, one trying to get back into first place, that's Detroit and Philadelphia.
00:08Morton's going to take on Sanchez.
00:09If we look at this line here, overnight, heavy favorite for the Phillies.
00:13Almost a minus 200.
00:15Not a ton of movement here, Tom.
00:16We're at like that minus 190 price.
00:19Monster favorite for Sanchez and the Phillies.
00:21Total of eight.
00:22From your perspective, what are we seeing here tonight in Philadelphia?
00:25I think we see run like Charlie Morton.
00:28Wow.
00:28He's been through some ups and downs this season.
00:32He started off the year super, super terribly.
00:35Then he kind of settled in.
00:36And he was actually pretty serviceable for a while.
00:38But his last few starts were not good.
00:41And a lot of these hitters on the Phillies, I don't love to buy into BVP, batter versus pitcher.
00:46And that's something that we've talked about since the beginning of the year.
00:48But a lot of these hitters actually have some really good success against Charlie Morton, obviously, when he was with Atlanta.
00:54And they actually saw him X amount of times per year.
00:56So I think we see some runs today.
00:59The eight, I think, is very intriguing.
01:00The fact that we get an eight now, it's not an eight and a half.
01:02We can play the over on that.
01:04And I do think we will see three runs against Sanchez.
01:08That's what I think it comes down to.
01:10So if we get two or three runs against Sanchez, the Phillies add in four, maybe five of their own.
01:15Then we're pushing right to that total.
01:16And I think Schwarber plays a big part tonight.
01:19Yes, very good on Kyle Schwarber.
01:21But also understand this, like to have the series has gone.
01:23Again, it's just a short sample size.
01:25Flaherty was really good to start that game against the Phillies on Friday night.
01:28They got to the bullpen.
01:29Yesterday, Scuba was fantastic to start.
01:31That bullpen started leaking oil again yesterday.
01:33Charlie Morton, if the Phillies can get some runs off of him, they've already shown that they can hit that bullpen as well.
01:38And the one thing Christopher Sanchez does do well typically is he goes deep into ballgames.
01:42Last game against the White Sox, not a good team, four earned runs given up.
01:45But before that, he hadn't given up three earned runs since the month of May.
01:49Maybe it's a bounce back tonight.
01:50Nice weather conditions in the city of brotherly love.
01:52But I'm with you here.
01:53I like your concept of runs because if I told you right now three runs would be on the board for Detroit in this game,
01:59we'd probably think this is going to be an over right off the bat.
02:02So that's the way we'll play that one out.
