Philadelphia Phillies Face SF Giants: Game Analysis

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00:00Your Philadelphia Phillies on a little bit of a slump right now.

00:04The Phils at home today as a minus 162 home favorite against Justin Verlander

00:11and the San Francisco Giants.

00:13Jesus Lozardo gets the start for Philadelphia, over-understands at 8.

00:18The Phils won the weekend series against the Dodgers now two weekends ago.

00:23First team to beat L.A. this year, they took 2 of 3.

00:26They were 7-2.

00:27They have now dropped 5 of their last 7, including yesterday's opener against SF,

00:33who played at 10 in that 10-4 win.

00:37As you look at this game, how important is it for the Phillies to get back on track?

00:42It's very important, but also understand this.

00:44Like yesterday, I'm like, you know what?

00:46I thought the better pitcher on the mound was on the opposite side with the Giants yesterday.

00:49In Taiwan Walker, as we said, had he given up an earned run.

00:52After the first day, I'm like, I'm an idiot, man.

00:54These numbers are too early in the season, only to wait just another three or four batters here.

00:58And tattooed was Taiwan Walker yesterday.

01:01And again, that zero ERA and that XFIP in the mid-fours, that really paid attention to it yesterday

01:05because they clocked him around.

01:07Fast forward to today.

01:08You take a look at Jesus Lozardo, who's been fantastic.

01:10And the pitcher on the card today that you probably could trust the most might be him.

01:14And Lozardo, you take a look at 18 innings pitched this season.

01:17A 150 ERA, which you said, Donnie, well, why are you looking at ERA?

01:21It's just a comparative to what that XFIP number is, which is a 2.46, which is really, really good.

01:26He should hold the ballpark here tonight, which means balls won't be flying out.

01:30High strike rates, he looks good.

01:32Flip it over to Verlander on the opposite side.

01:34Here's where sometimes your mind does play tricks on you as well.

01:36Verlander lining up in this game with an ERA of 6.92 through 13 innings.

01:41Phillies should have an easy one, but hold the horses here.

01:44A 3.74 XFIP number on him against a struggling lineup.

01:48But if I were to put my money on the team tonight, it's probably going to be the Philadelphia Phillies.

01:53Do I want to pay a minus 150 or higher?

01:54Not necessarily.

01:56But they have the better pitching matchup.

01:57And also, at least the numbers early season coming back, the Phillies have done very well

02:01against right-handed pitchers.

02:03And maybe Verlander struggling just a bit.

02:04The Phillies should bounce back, but that doesn't mean bounce back with like seven runs on the board

02:09with an easy victory.

02:10Bounce back might be 4-2 tonight, Philadelphia Phillies.