Trump’s Approval Rating CRASHES | Americans Losing Confidence Ahead of 2024 Election - video Dailymotion

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🚨 Trump’s Approval Rating CRASHES | Americans Losing Confidence Ahead of 2024 Election 🚨  Former President Donald Trump is facing a major political setback as new data reveals a sharp drop in his approval ratings across the United States. In this video, we dive deep into the latest polling numbers and analysis by CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten, who says, “The American people do not like what they’re seeing.”  As the 2024 Presidential Election draws closer, voter sentiment is rapidly shifting. Americans from key battleground states are expressing growing dissatisfaction over Trump’s rhetoric, legal battles, and policy positions. With the Republican frontrunner under intense media scrutiny and facing multiple indictments, confidence in his leadership is eroding fast.  📉 What’s causing this approval crash? 📊 How do recent polls compare to past election cycles? 🗣 What are voters actually saying about Trump in 2024? ⚖ Are legal troubles contributing to the negative sentiment? 🗳 What does this mean for his chances in the 2024 race?  We’ll examine:  The latest approval and disapproval trends  Reactions from political experts and major news outlets  The impact of Trump’s court cases on public opinion  How Joe Biden and other candidates may benefit from this shift   Whether you support Trump or not, this is a crucial moment in American political history. Stay informed with real data, balanced commentary, and in-depth analysis of what could be a turning point for the Republican Party and the 2024 election.  👍 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more content on U.S. politics, elections, breaking news, and expert analysis.  🔔 Turn on the bell icon so you never miss an update.  #TrumpApprovalRating #DonaldTrump2024 #Election2024 #USPolitics #HarryEnten #CNNNews #RepublicanPrimary #PresidentialElection #AmericanVoters #PoliticalAnalysis #TrumpPollCrash #BreakingNewsUSA #TrumpVsBiden2024

Transcript

00:00Today, we're aiming to cut through some of the noise around public opinion.

00:04It's a really fascinating picture right now.

00:06It really is. Lots of seemingly contradictory signals.

00:09Exactly. So we're diving deep into recent political polling data.

00:13We're mainly looking at analyses from The Wall Street Journal and CNN on YouTube.

00:18Good sources covering slightly different angles.

00:21Right. And our mission today really is to unpack what these polls are telling us

00:26about how voters feel about the big issues, about Donald Trump standing right now,

00:31and, you know, how people see the Democratic and Republican parties.

00:34Trying to pull out those key nuggets, yeah.

00:36You want to get to the core insights, and I think the central tension we're going to explore is this.

00:41How can a president's overall approval rating seem, well, surprisingly steady,

00:46despite a whole lot of turbulence and some really negative views on specific issues?

00:51It's quite the puzzle. Let's jump in.

00:53Okay. So let's start with something that honestly jumped out at me from The Wall Street Journal poll.

00:58Donald Trump's overall job approval rating, it's at 46%.

01:02And here's the really surprising part that's basically unchanged from their last poll back in April.

01:08Yeah, steady as she goes, apparently.

01:10Despite what the WSJ called a period of turbulent events.

01:13And those turbulent events, they really are worth listing because it wasn't a quiet period.

01:18Not at all.

01:18The Journal mentioned, you know, the on-again, off-again tariffs situation.

01:23Right.

01:23The Republican tax bill, which just barely passed.

01:26Then there's the aggressive deportation program.

01:29Mm-hmm.

01:30And, of course, the whole Jeffrey Epstein matter resurfacing in a big way.

01:35It's a lot going on.

01:36A lot.

01:37And seeing an approval rating just holds steady through all that, it's, well, it's pretty remarkable.

01:42It is, isn't it?

01:42That suggests a certain resilience, maybe?

01:45But, okay, here's where CNN brings in a really important nuance.

01:49Ah, yes.

01:50The net approval.

01:51Exactly.

01:52While that 46% overall number looks stable, his net approval, that's approval minus disapproval, has actually dropped a lot.

02:01Yeah, significantly.

02:02We're talking nearly 20 points down in aggregate since he started his presidency.

02:06It's now sitting at minus 11 points.

02:09Minus 11.

02:09Mm-hmm.

02:10And that drop really signals the deepening polarization.

02:14That overall number might look okay to some.

02:17Right.

02:17But the net figure shows the intensity of the disapproval.

02:20Yeah.

02:20He hasn't really grown his base.

02:21Yeah.

02:22And he keeps alienating a big chunk of the electorate.

02:25So it's not just disagreement.

02:26It's strong negative feeling.

02:28Precisely.

02:29And historically.

02:30Mm-hmm.

02:30That minus 11 net approval.

02:33It's the second worst for any president six months into their term going back to 1953.

02:38Second worst.

02:39Who is worse?

02:39Well, Trump himself.

02:42In his first presidency back in 2017, he was at minus 16 then.

02:45Wow.

02:46Yeah.

02:46And just for context, the average president at this point in their term, they're usually

02:49sitting at a positive 27 net approval.

02:51Plus 27 versus minus 11.

02:53That's a huge gap.

02:54Massive.

02:55And CNN's overall numbers reflect that disapproval too, right?

02:58Nearly 60%, 58% to be exact.

03:01Disapprove of his job performance, only 42% approve.

03:05So a clear majority disapproving.

03:06Okay.

03:06Now let's pivot slightly.

03:08CNN pointed to something they called the biggest warning sign for Trump.

03:11And that's his support, or lack thereof, among independent voters.

03:14Ah, yes.

03:16Independents.

03:17Always key.

03:18Why are they so critical?

03:19Why that focus?

03:21Well, you know, they're often the swing voters.

03:23They're the ones who tend to decide closed elections.

03:26They aren't locked into one party.

03:27Makes sense.

03:28And the data here is pretty stark.

03:31Gallup showed Trump's net approval with independents just collapsing.

03:35It went from minus two points in January down to minus 35 points.

03:40Minus 35.

03:41And the average of polls showed a similar, really steep drop from minus three points down

03:46to minus 29 points.

03:48That's a huge swing in just a few months.

03:50It really is.

03:51Over 25 points lost with that critical group.

03:54And putting this in historical context, that minus 29 net approval among independents.

04:00It is the worst on record for any president six months into their term.

04:03Worst ever.

04:04Worst ever recorded at this stage.

04:06He actually broke his own record from his first term, which was minus 23 points.

04:10So he set the previous record and now he's broken it.

04:12Exactly.

04:13And, you know, there's that old rule of thumb in politics.

04:15If you're not winning among independents, you're probably not winning the election overall.

04:19Right.

04:19It's sort of foundational.

04:20It really is.

04:21It signals a major problem for broad appeal.

04:23Wow.

04:24Worst on record.

04:25That's a that's a really stark finding.

04:27I mean, if independents are that crucial, how does a president even begin to recover from

04:32that kind of historic low?

04:34Is that even possible or does it suggest something more permanent?

04:38That is the the million dollar question, isn't it?

04:41It's incredibly tough because a drop like that often signals something deeper than just

04:48disagreement on one or two policies.

04:50Like a loss of trust.

04:51Exactly.

04:51A loss of trust or maybe a feeling that values just don't align anymore.

04:55It would take a really significant shift, either in his policies or maybe just in how

05:00people perceive him to bring those voters back.

05:03And that's not easy to manufacture.

05:05Doesn't sound easy at all.

05:06OK, so we've seen the big picture approval numbers, the overall and the net and the independent

05:11vote.

05:11But let's dig into specific issues.

05:13Where are the polls showing Trump is really underwater, as they say?

05:17Yeah.

05:17Underwater, meaning more disapprove than approve because CNN broke this down pretty clearly.

05:21So immigration often seen as maybe his strongest issue.

05:25Usually, yeah.

05:26Even there, he's at minus five net approval.

05:29So slightly more disapproved than approve.

05:32Interesting.

05:32Even on immigration.

05:33Yeah.

05:34Then the economy.

05:35He's at minus 14 net approval.

05:37OK.

05:38Foreign policy, also minus 14 trade and tariffs, minus 15.

05:41So negative across the board there.

05:43And then the issue where he performs worst by far, the Jeffrey Epstein matter.

05:49He's at minus 37 net approval on that.

05:51Minus 37.

05:52Wow.

05:52That's a huge negative.

05:54Huge.

05:54It really stands out.

05:56So, yeah, even on issues you might think are his strengths, the negatives are outweighing

05:59the positives for a lot of voters, according to this data.

06:03That CNN breakdown is pretty clear on where the pressure points are.

06:06But the Wall Street Journal poll, it adds another layer here, doesn't it?

06:09Let's unpack their findings on some of these same issues.

06:11Start with the Republican tax bill.

06:13OK, the tax bill.

06:15The WSJ found, yeah, voters mostly disapprove of it.

06:18And why?

06:19What was the reasoning?

06:20The perception is pretty clear.

06:22Voters tend to believe it helps the wealthy and large corporations much more than them.

06:26And they also think it will raise the deficit and actually hurt the poor.

06:29So that perception really undercuts the Republican economic message, doesn't it?

06:35Even if there's other positive economic news.

06:37Absolutely.

06:38It creates this disconnect.

06:40You talk about GDP growth.

06:42But if your main policy achievement is seen as fundamentally unfair, it just erodes trust.

06:48It makes it really hard for Republicans to convincingly say they're managing the economy for everyone.

06:54People look at who benefits.

06:55OK, what about tariffs?

06:57The WSJ had something interesting there, too.

06:59Yeah, on tariffs, disapproval of Trump's handling of them outweighs approval by 17 points.

07:05So people aren't happy with how he's doing.

07:08But interestingly, when asked which party they trust more on tariffs, generally,

07:14voters actually pick the Republican Party over the Democrats.

07:16Huh. So they don't like his approach, but they trust his party more on the issue itself.

07:21That's complex.

07:22It is. It suggests the issue framing might still favor Republicans, even if the current execution is unpopular.

07:28And immigration. We know his net approval is slightly negative there from CNN.

07:33What did the WSJ find?

07:35Well, the WSJ found strong support, generally, for the idea of deporting people who were here illegally.

07:41OK, so support for the goal.

07:43Right. But crucially, voters disapprove of Trump's method.

07:48That's where the problem lies for him.

07:50How so?

07:51People feel he's crossed a line.

07:52They think he's being too aggressive, maybe deporting people without proper legal protections,

07:56or the specific point about sending people to countries like Sudan or El Salvador,

08:02where they have absolutely no personal ties.

08:04I see. So it's the how, not necessarily the what.

08:07Exactly. The execution is seen as harsh or unfair, even by some who support the general policy.

08:12OK, so methods on immigration are clearly a sticking point.

08:15Let's pivot back to the economy, though, because the picture there seems, well, surprisingly mixed in the polls.

08:20It really does. You have these negative approval ratings we just talked about.

08:23But then you look at the Wall Street Journal poll.

08:25Yeah.

08:25And you see some pretty positive economic sentiment.

08:29Forty-seven percent of voters told them the economy is in excellent or good shape.

08:33Forty-seven percent. That sounds pretty guy.

08:35It is. It's up by double digits just since April.

08:37And it's actually the most positive view of the economy.

08:41The WSJ poll is recorded going all the way back to 2012.

08:44The most positive since 2012.

08:46But wait, how does that square with the minus 14 net approval on the economy you mentioned from CNN?

08:52That's the conflict, right?

08:54People might feel the overall economy is doing OK, maybe looking at job numbers or the stock market.

08:58But they still disapprove of Trump's handling of it, especially, it seems, when you drill down into specifics like inflation.

09:07Ah, inflation. That's the key, then.

09:09It really seems to be a major drag.

09:12Remember that minus 14 net approval on the economy overall.

09:15When you ask specifically about inflation, especially among independents, the numbers are dire for Trump.

09:21How dire.

09:22His net approval on handling inflation among just independents is minus 45 points.

09:28Minus 45.

09:29Yes. And to put that in perspective, that's actually worse than Joe Biden's numbers on inflation were about a year ago.

09:34Biden was at minus 38 with independents then.

09:37And inflation was seen as a huge problem for Biden.

09:40Absolutely. It was maybe the biggest anchor weighing him down.

09:43And now it seems to be doing the same or even worse to Trump, particularly with those crucial independent voters.

09:51Something people feel every day, you know, at the grocery store, at the gas pump.

09:55Yeah, it hits home directly.

09:57And there was that point from one of the panelists, something about the value of the dollar.

10:02Right. They pointed out that since Trump's inauguration, the dollar's value has declined by about 11 percent.

10:0711 percent. Is that a lot?

10:08They described it as the steepest decline in over half a century.

10:12And they framed it as a kind of 300 billion dollar hidden Trump tax on families and businesses.

10:19A hidden tax. How does that work?

10:20How does a weaker dollar feel like a tax to, you know, the average person?

10:24Well, it basically means your money doesn't go as far.

10:26Imported goods cost more.

10:28Everything from electronics to clothes to even some food items.

10:31OK.

10:31For businesses, especially those that import materials or components, their costs go up.

10:37They might absorb that, cutting into profits, or they might pass it on to consumers as higher prices.

10:42Which fuels inflation again.

10:43Exactly. It just reduces everyone's purchasing power.

10:46It's maybe not as obvious as income tax, but it's a real squeeze on budgets.

10:50So even if some indicators look good, these underlying issues like inflation and the weaker dollar could be driving that negative economic approval.

10:59It certainly looks that way. And ultimately, the president tends to own the economy in the eyes of voters, whether it's fair or not.

11:07So the performance of the economy and, crucially, how people feel about it, that's likely going to be decisive for Republicans come to the midterms.

11:15OK, let's shift gears to that issue where Trump's numbers were the absolute lowest.

11:20The Jeffrey Epstein matter.

11:21Minus 37 net approval, according to CNN.

11:24That's that's really striking.

11:26It is. It's clearly an issue that's cutting through and causing significant damage to his standing.

11:30It's not just a partisan issue either.

11:32And the Wall Street Journal poll showed deep public skepticism about the whole thing, right?

11:36Absolutely. It's quite compelling.

11:38Over three quarters, more than 75 percent of voters believe the Department of Justice is hiding important information about the Epstein investigation.

11:45Seventy five percent. That's huge.

11:48It is. And about half the voters said they have no confidence at all in the investigation itself.

11:53That signals a massive trust deficit.

11:57People want answers.

11:58And it seems the Democrats are definitely trying to capitalize on that distrust.

12:02Oh, for sure.

12:03Axios reported on their strategy.

12:05They plan to keep this issue front and center during the August recess for Congress.

12:09How are they doing that?

12:10Things like DNC ad campaigns targeting vulnerable Republican districts.

12:14They mentioned 11 of them specifically.

12:16And also pushing for subpoenas, trying to force the release of files related to the case.

12:21Why do Democrats see this as such a potent strategy?

12:25Well, as one analysis put it, it's a rare unifying issue in American politics.

12:30Unifying how?

12:31Because it's not really left versus right.

12:33An overwhelming majority of voters across the spectrum seem to want more information out there.

12:39They want transparency.

12:40And Republicans.

12:40They're described as being kind of caught flat-footed on this one.

12:44It's harder for them to frame it in purely partisan terms when so many people, including their own potential voters, are demanding answers.

12:53There were also some interesting insights from those focus groups in Nevada, right?

12:57With voters who switched between Biden and Trump.

13:00Yes, those were fascinating.

13:01They really highlighted the tension voters feel.

13:04What did they say?

13:05Well, for instance, six out of the 12 switchers believe Trump is covering something up about Epstein to protect himself.

13:11Okay, so suspicion is there.

13:13But in the first group they spoke to, all six participants said that inflation is actually a bigger concern for them than the Epstein scandal.

13:21Ah, so there's that economic pressure again.

13:24Exactly.

13:24People expressed, you know, a real desire for straight answers on Epstein.

13:29They felt Trump was being evasive, trying to downplay it.

13:32Blushing it off.

13:33Yeah.

13:33But then you hear quotes like the one you mentioned earlier.

13:36I think we have more to worry about in our economy than someone that is already out of the picture.

13:42That really captures the dilemma, doesn't it?

13:45People want the truth on Epstein, but the economy feels more immediate, more impactful day to day.

13:51It does.

13:52And what's perhaps unusual here is that Trump seems to be struggling to change the subject, to move the news cycle away from Epstein.

13:59Which he's usually pretty good at.

14:01He often has this almost supernatural ability to shift focus.

14:06But this issue seems to have more sticking power, maybe because of that widespread public demand for answers we talked about.

14:14Okay, so we spent a lot of time on Trump's numbers and the issues impacting him.

14:18But, of course, politics has two sides usually.

14:20Exactly. Let's look at the Democratic Party.

14:22The Wall Street Journal poll had a, frankly, pretty scary number for them, too.

14:26Yes, it did. Very stark.

14:2863% of voters hold a negative view of the Democratic Party. 63%.

14:33Which is 30 points higher than the share holding a positive view. A huge gap.

14:37And you said this was historically significant.

14:39It is.

14:40According to the Wall Street Journal's own polling archive, this is the worst image rating they have ever found for the Democratic Party in surveys going all the way back to 1990.

14:50First since 1990. That's quite something.

14:52It's a profound challenge for the party's brand.

14:55And CNN had similar findings, didn't they?

14:57Yes. Their poll found Democrats at their lowest favorability rating since they started tracking it down at just 28%.

15:04Only 28% favorable. Wow.

15:07So, how is this incredibly low standing for the Democrats affecting things like party identification?

15:14Well, that's another interesting shift the WSJ poll picked up.

15:17Yeah.

15:17If you go back to 2017, Democrats actually had a lead in self-identification among voters by about seven points.

15:24Okay.

15:25Now, that lead is gone. Republicans are actually slightly ahead by maybe one or two points.

15:29So, the overall national landscape in terms of party ID is much more level, a much more flat playing field, as the analysis put it.

15:37So, the Democratic advantage there has eroded. What about looking ahead to congressional elections?

15:42Well, there's maybe a slightly better sign for Democrats there, but still with a caveat.

15:47In the WSJ poll, if the election for Congress were held today, voters preferred Democrats by about three points.

15:52Okay. A three-point lead. That's something.

15:54It is. It's a good sign for them, as the pollsters noted.

15:57However, context matters.

16:00At this same point, back in 2017, during Trump's first term, the Democrats had an eight-point lead in that generic ballot test.

16:08Ah, so their lead now is significantly smaller than it was last time around under similar circumstances.

16:13Exactly. It suggests their position, while maybe slightly favored for Congress right now, has weakened considerably compared to the last cycle.

16:21It really points to some deep issues for the party.

16:24And there was that mention of the Democratic 2024 autopsy in the New York Times.

16:29Right. The after-action review of the last election.

16:31And the criticism was that it seemed to be avoiding the really tough questions.

16:35That was the take, yeah.

16:37Described as avoiding the likeliest cause of death.

16:40Things like fundamental questions about Biden running again or the role of Kamala Harris as VP.

16:46One panelist quoted made the point pretty bluntly.

16:50An autopsy should address the actual cause of death.

16:52Implying the party isn't really grappling with its core failures.

16:55Exactly.

16:56It raises questions about whether they're truly learning the lessons needed to regain broader trust and enthusiasm.

17:02If you're not willing to confront the systemic issues, it's hard to present a compelling alternative, even when your opponent, like Trump here, is showing significant vulnerabilities.

17:14It feels like it could just perpetuate that voter skepticism we saw in the low favorability numbers.

17:19Quite possibly.

17:20A failure to self-correct makes it harder to win back trust.

17:23Okay. Let's try and bring all these threats together now and look ahead towards, say, the 2026 midterms.

17:29It's early, I know. But what signals are we seeing?

17:32We were reminded that Democrats picked up around 40 House seats during Trump's first term midterm.

17:37Right. That's the historical parallel people look at.

17:40And when you connect the dots with the current polling, particularly Trump's really weak numbers with independents, that minus 29 net approval,

17:48and is deep negatives on core issues like inflation, that minus 45 with independents, it starts to look potentially troublesome for Republicans.

17:57Trouble in what way?

17:57Well, as one analyst put it quite directly, if these kinds of numbers, the low independent support, the dissatisfaction on the economy, are what we see on Election Day in 2026,

18:08then the Republican majority in the House, you can probably wave goodbye to it.

18:13Adios amigos, as they said.

18:15And Republicans simply can't hold on to power with numbers like these among key voter groups.

18:21So these current weaknesses, if they persist, could absolutely flip control of the House.

18:27That's the clear warning sign in this data for the GOP, yes.

18:30Of course. As we said, it's still early. Things can change dramatically.

18:33Oh, absolutely. A lot can happen between now and then.

18:36But these polls right now, they give us a crucial snapshot.

18:39They show the advantages and the disadvantages each party is carrying into this next phase.

18:44And you can bet this data is shaping their strategies, figuring out where to spend the billions of dollars that go into these campaigns.

18:51No question about it. This is the kind of information that guides targeting, messaging, everything.

18:55So let's try and summarize the core tension here.

18:58We have a President, Trump, whose overall approval rating is, well, surprisingly resilient despite a lot of storms.

19:04Yeah, that 46 percent is holding firm, remarkably.

19:07Yet beneath that surface, he's deeply unpopular on key issues like the economy and inflation.

19:13And critically, he's losing ground dramatically with independent voters.

19:17Worst on record, in fact.

19:18A real paradox there. Strong base, but serious erosion elsewhere.

19:23Meanwhile, the opposition, the Democratic Party, they're facing their own crisis of confidence with the public.

19:28Historically low favorability ratings.

19:30Worse since 1990 in the WSJ poll.

19:32So they're struggling to fully capitalize on Trump's weaknesses because of their own image problems.

19:38It's a really complex, almost paradoxical situation in American politics right now.

19:43It truly is. Both sides have significant vulnerabilities.

19:46Now, given that the economy, and especially inflation, seem to be such persistent top concerns for voters,

19:51here's maybe a final thought for you, the listener, to chew on.

19:54How might the perception of economic performance, whether things feel like they're getting better or worse for people personally,

20:01ultimately influence the next election?

20:03Could it potentially override even really explosive high-profile issues like the Epstein case?

20:10Meaning, do pocketbook issues ultimately trump everything else?

20:13Potentially.

20:14And if so, what does that mean for how both Democrats and Republicans should focus their energy and their messaging going forward?

20:22Where should they place their bets?

20:23That is definitely food for thought.

20:25Does the daily reality of the economy outweigh even major scandals or controversies in the end?

20:30Something to watch.

20:31Indeed.

20:32Well, thank you for joining us on this deep dive into the polls.

20:35We hope untangling some of these numbers helps you make sense of the currents shaping our political landscape.

20:40Thanks for listening.

20:41We encourage you to keep exploring these issues.

20:43Being informed really does make a difference.

Trump’s Approval Rating CRASHES | Americans Losing Confidence Ahead of 2024 Election

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