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  • 7/18/2025
Transcript
00:00We go to Citi Field up next.
00:02The New York Mets, a half game behind those Philadelphia Phillies atop the NL East.
00:07Send Sean Minaya out to the bump.
00:09Minaya, who did pitch in the final week, entering the All-Star break in relief,
00:14now back as a starter as he worked his way back from injury.
00:17Minus 154, the price on the Amazons, DRS, against the Cincinnati Reds.
00:23My Reds!
00:24Let's get to 80 wins, boys.
00:26They have 50 here at the All-Star break.
00:30That total is now seven and a half.
00:33What do you like tonight in the city party on a Friday?
00:37Yeah, if we're just looking again at plus money numbers,
00:39I think it's pretty juicy here for the Cincinnati Reds.
00:42We don't really know what we're getting out of Sean Minaya.
00:44The expectations, it can be pretty good.
00:45I'll get back to that in a moment.
00:46But the focus here on Nick Lodolo, his last 60 days pitching, Ben,
00:50a 91 XFIT minus, which is very good, a comparable ERA at 3.33,
00:54and a very good XFIT number of 3.67.
00:56If we look at the last 30 days, which, again, does include a five-day break on the All-Star break,
01:01but still, most of the batters on the Mets, 25-plus at-bats against left-handed pitching over the past month.
01:06The only guy with a plus ISO and weighted on base percentage, that's Brandon Nimmo, who's a left-handed batter.
01:11The rest of the guys, very underwhelming, which brings me up to my next result, where you say,
01:15all right, well, we don't know what we're getting out of Sean Minaya.
01:18But the one thing we know about him, he is a left-handed pitcher.
01:22Look at the lineup here for the Cincinnati Reds over the past month.
01:25Outside of Espinal and Joe, the rest of that lineup,
01:28all really high weighted on base percentages against left-handed pitching.
01:31So if I have Lodolo in pretty good form, Minaya, we should have a little bit of guesses.
01:35Yes, the Mets are at home.
01:36Both teams want to get out of the break with a good start.
01:38But I just look at that plus 138 price point and say to myself,
01:41I think I might have the better hitting lineup against lefties on my side with the Reds,
01:45and I'm getting plus money.
01:46I'll take the flip of the coin and give me that plus money today on the Cincinnati Reds.

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