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Memo To Trump—This Is The Best Weapon In Your Arsenal To Take On The Intransigent Fed: Steve Forbes
Forbes Breaking News
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6 months ago
Steve Forbes urges President Trump to issue U.S. bonds in gold in order to bypass the Federal Reserve as it refuses to cut rates.
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00:00
Here's one way President Trump can fight the Fed.
00:07
Hello, I'm Steve Forbes, and this is What's Ahead, where you get the insights you need to
00:12
better navigate these turbulent times. There's a weapon that the Trump administration should
00:18
unleash to begin a huge, much-needed overhaul of the Federal Reserve. The Treasury should issue
00:25
government bonds linked to gold. These securities would provide a simple, everyday metric as to
00:32
whether Washington is undermining the dollar's integrity or maintaining its value. Noted economist
00:38
Judy Shelton in her seminal book, Good as Gold, How to Unleash the Power of Sound Money, provides one
00:44
model on how this would work. Washington would sell a zero-coupon bond with a maturity of, say,
00:51
five years. Here is the profoundly positive kicker. At maturity, the investor gets to make a choice.
00:59
Get the principal back in dollars or with gold. For example, you buy a five-year gold bond for a
01:06
million dollars. At maturity, the bond would permit you to get cash or a specific amount of gold.
01:13
In this case, probably around 28,000 ounces. If Washington and the Federal Reserve misbehave,
01:19
as they have in recent past, you might collect gold worth $1.5 million. Washington would set aside a
01:28
certain amount of its 261 million ounces of gold that it currently holds to cover its potential
01:34
liabilities. The beauty part is that people every day could see if Washington is messing around with
01:41
the dollar's value. A weak dollar would mean Uncle Sam would lose gold. Instinctively, most people
01:48
wouldn't like that at all. They would know this portends trouble. The price of these gold bonds
01:54
would be a great barometer of the financial health of Washington. For a variety of reasons,
02:00
gold keeps its intrinsic value better than anything else on Earth and has for thousands of years.
02:06
It is to stable value, as the North Star is to navigation. It's a fixture. When you see the
02:13
dollar price of gold fluctuate, that mainly reflects changes in the value of the dollar,
02:19
not the yellow metal. These days, investors hunger for protection against inflation.
02:25
That's why they have bought some $2.6 trillion of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities,
02:31
so-called TIPS, even though the nominal interest rate is low compared to regular Treasury bonds.
02:37
Gold bonds would also become a weapon against the very destructive philosophy that guides the
02:42
Federal Reserve, the belief that prosperity causes inflation. The Fed fears that a vibrant economy
02:49
will send prices higher. The central bank doesn't distinguish between expenses going up because of
02:55
natural disasters, pandemic lockdowns, or government policies like sales taxes and regulations,
03:02
and the classic inflation that comes when you reduce the value of the dollar. Judy Shelton rightly makes
03:09
the point that we need to rule out central banks manipulating the cost of capital to stimulate or
03:15
restrict economic activity. This socialist-style thinking needs to be attacked. Money measures value
03:22
the way a clock measures time. A ruler measures length, and a scale measures weight. We all know that
03:29
markets work best with fixed weights and measures. The Fed should focus only on maintaining the value of the
03:35
dollar. It shouldn't keep trying to manipulate economic activity. It shouldn't manipulate interest rates.
03:42
It's an absurdity today that a three-month Treasury bill yields around 4.3 percent. A market rate would
03:49
likely be half that. Gold bonds would help highlight how misbegotten the Fed has become with its true
03:56
mission. I'm Steve Forbes. Thanks for listening. Do send in your comments and suggestions,
04:01
and look forward to being with you soon again.
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