Toronto Faces Yankees for AL East Lead: Thursday's Game Analysis

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00:00Toronto is now tied atop the American League East alongside the pinstripes.

00:05Today, New York looking to avoid the sweep.

00:07They turn to Clark Schmidt, minus 124, a favored money line price in favor of New York

00:13to avoid the four-game sweep.

00:15Total eight and a half.

00:16Is that what is going to occur in Toronto?

00:19Will the Yankees at least pick up one win in this four-game set?

00:23They should.

00:23By the way, it does feel like a coin flip, and you see the price point there where the

00:27Yankees are the favorite, maybe rightfully so.

00:28Look at Clark Schmidt here over the past 45 days, a 98 XFIP minus, which is okay.

00:33How about a 220 ERA, which you really like that, a higher XFIP number of 4.04.

00:37But how about Chris Bassett?

00:38He's got a 100 XFIP minus, which is rate average.

00:41Okay, 98 on one side, 100 on the other, bringing all the ballpark factors in that we like to

00:46see.

00:46But how about Chris Bassett's ERA over the past 45 days, Ben?

00:505.65, XFIP number 4.08.

00:53So sometimes getting maybe a little bit unlucky at this point here, and Bassett going up against

00:57the team, Ben Rice should be able to hit, Aaron Judge should be able to hit, you take

01:00a look at Jazz Chisholm as well.

01:02But when I line up Chris Bassett, he's okay.

01:04So a slight nod to the Yankees, but Clark Schmidt on the mound, look at his last 122 batters

01:09that he faced.

01:10115 ISO, 217, went on base percentage against.

01:13I really like that.

01:14But I also told you during this show, boy, those Toronto backs, man, they are really alive

01:19at this point right now.

01:20And sometimes we talked about the Marlins, which I was wrong on.

01:23Hey, ride it out.

01:24They lost 2-1 there trying to win another game in that long win streak.

01:28Toronto's hot.

01:29They're at home.

01:29They just have the Yankees number.

01:31Maybe you lean on that direction.

01:32Slightly better pitching for me on the Yankees side, but how do you just put down a Toronto

01:36team that came all the way back, stormed the fort, and it's like, hey, or excuse me, had

01:40that big lead, but still was able to hold on by a blown save there, a blown hold, I should

01:44say, by Devin Williams.

01:46Maybe just go with the Toronto Blue Jays.

01:48It's a tough handicap, which is why you see that split right down the middle in the odds price.