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In today’s MS Update, tensions continue to rise as the Russian Armed Forces (RUAF) have reportedly entered the Chernihiv region of Ukraine. As Istanbul becomes a key focal point for diplomatic talks, the bluff by opposing forces is about to be exposed.
What will the next steps be in this high-stakes geopolitical chess game?

#IstanbulTalks #RUAF #Chernihiv #RussiaUkraineWar #Geopolitics #Diplomacy #MilitaryUpdate #UkraineConflict #ChernihivRegion #RussianForces #UkraineWar2025 #DiplomaticBluff #PeaceNegotiations #MilitaryTensions #RussianMilitary #Chernihiv #GlobalConflict #WarNews #Ukraine #Russia

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Transcript
00:00hello my dear friends you're in the military summary channel and today we will discuss the
00:04situation in ukraine on the 11th of may of 2025 today we have a lot of very interesting updates
00:09so let's start and first we're going to talk about the ultimatum that was issued yesterday by the
00:15ukrainians i'll remind you that yesterday the ukrainians issued an ultimatum to the russian
00:20federation trying to force putin and russian federation to accept unconditional 30 days
00:25ceasefire but today we got reported that and today we got lots of updates and confirmations that the
00:31president of the russian federation putin rejected that ultimatum furthermore the russians issued their
00:37own ultimatum according to russian proposal uh the russians wants to begin negotiations without any
00:45preconditions right now so according to the russians they were they proposed to begin these negotiations
00:51on thursday may 15th in instambul the very place where they were interrupted in 2022 but there is
00:58one important thing that i would like to point your attention the russians are not going to start
01:03something new they are not planning to start building something from scratch the russians have a document
01:09of instambul talks of 2022 and the russians the russians main demand is to continue working with
01:17this document so let's discuss in details uh the results of istanbul agreements of 2022 that hadn't
01:25been implemented by the ukrainian side the talks in instambul should take place uh into account should
01:32take into account the results of discussions interrupted in 2022 and the situation on the ground
01:38this was stated by the russian presidential aide yuri ushakov the main points of the istanbul agreement
01:44of 2022 where neutral status for ukraine non-accession to nato limitation of the number of the ukraine
01:52armed forces and separate agreements on the withdrawal of russian troops at the same time the withdrawal of
01:59russian troops now looks unrealistic which is what ushakov says mentioning the realities on the ground
02:05earlier trump special representative kellogg called the draft istanbul agreement a probable starting point
02:13for future negotiations so we understand the russian position it's very clear when talking about the
02:19ukrainians first when they got putin answer first they accepted this answer and we got several comments
02:25including the comment from the president ukraine zelensky ukraine is ready to meet this is a good sign
02:31when talking about ready readiness to meet he was talking about instambul this is a good sign that the
02:38russians have finally thought about ending the war zelensky about putin's statements yesterday we expect
02:44that the russian federation will confirm a ceasefire complete lasting and reliable starting tomorrow may
02:5012th obviously the russians will never accept this ceasefire and later we got additional statement that
02:57was made by the second person in ukraine by andrei yermak first a ceasefire for 30 days then everything else
03:04so when talking about the russians of course they have their own position we have already discussed this
03:10and today we got very important statement made by maria zaharova she stated that putin said clearly first talks
03:17on the root causes we're talking about nate so we're talking about military forces and many many other things
03:23and only then talks on truce and ceasefire so this is very small difference but this is very important and the most
03:31important difference between these two positions now we see that the russians are trying to force
03:37zelensky and ukraine to begin talks and only then to start ceasefire the ukrainians want different picture
03:43first they want ceasefire and only then they want talks but the problem of ukrainian schema is that the
03:50russians can confirm and they can accept this 30-day ceasefire but the problem is that what is going to be
03:57after this 30-day ceasefire whether the ukrainians or the russians are going to begin talks right exactly on the
04:0431st day of this ceasefire or maybe either the russians or the ukrainians will find the solution how not to begin
04:12the talks and to continue the special military operation but the problem is that during the next 30 days
04:17ukrainians have lots of will have a lot of possibilities to rearm itself to build additional trenches to regroup
04:24probably to carry out another mobilization and the most important the western countries will have
04:30enough of time to deploy their troops on the territory ukraine russia will never accept this
04:35so now let's wait and see what is going to be next but obviously the situation in instambul is going
04:40to be very hot on the 15th of may of 2025 we don't know for sure where the ukrainians are going to there
04:46at all but when talking about the russian side there began all preparations for this vladimir putin had a
04:52telephone conversation with the president of the republic of turkey erdogan the initiative of the
04:58russian president to resume direct russian ukrainian negotiations which are proposed to be held in
05:03instambul starting on may 15th was discussed in detail so once the most important thing is that
05:10erdogan and turkey are ready they are ready to meet both the russians and the ukrainians and to resume
05:17this process but the problem is that most likely on the 15th of may we are going to see just the
05:22russian delegation on the territory of istanbul most likely ukrainians will not go there so as for
05:29now we see that the special military operation continues there are very heavy clashes on the
05:33ground so let's start in details and let's start from the beginning and first let's talk about the
05:39herson direction during the previous 24 hours we got this video that was published by the ukrainian side
05:45and in this video we can see how ukrainians were attacking russian positions on the territory of
05:52another island along the uh dunypro river in this attack the ukrainians were trying to destroy russian
05:58position but something went wrong and most likely there were no explosion from the drone so this video
06:04took place exactly in this place in this point and based on this video we have adjusted these two islands
06:10and the complete russian control i'll remind you that during the previous days we got several reports
06:15that russians managed to take every single island in this area and the russians managed to get as close
06:20as possible to the settlement of kizomis as for now we don't see any russian landing operation but
06:26we see that everything is about to be finished and ready by from the russian side now let's move
06:32further let's discuss the situation in the south danias direction where the russians continued their offensive
06:37operation during the previous 24 hours the russians were bombing and attacking different settlements in this
06:42area trying to pin down ukraine reinforcements and reserves and not to allow the ukrainians to
06:47introduce additional forces on the ground in the area of zelena polio novopoli and the vilna polio
06:52nova silovka the russians are advancing the russians managed to get as close as possible to the settlements
06:59of volia polio napole and we expect that during the next 48 hours the russians will begin their first
07:05attempt to take these villages under complete control now let's talk about the bogatee direction that
07:11are very heavy clashes in this area and there are lots of articles and let's see different
07:17statements were made both by the russians and by the ukrainians one thing we know for sure that ukrainians
07:22the armored force the ukrainian soldiers on the territory of bogatee are in desperate uh there are
07:27lots of channels a lot of telegram channels both pro-russian and pro-ukrainians that began publishing
07:34different videos and different articles from soldiers who are currently located on the territory of bogatee
07:40and they're saying that they're in desperate the ukrainians you can commanders for precisely
07:45uh probably decided not to evacuate soldiers from this area uh the ukrainians are there they're
07:52holding their positions the situation is very difficult the russians as you can see they have
07:57changed their tactics and as you can see we stopped receiving videos of russian banzai attacks the russians
08:03are not doing like this anymore the russians are using completely different tactics right now the russians
08:09are using complete fire superiority and when the russians gets to another stronghold of the armored
08:14force of ukraine basically the russians destroyed this stronghold with all types of calibers they have
08:21iranian calibers koreans calibers their own russian calibers production they destroy another stronghold
08:28and this situation forced the ukrainians to move to the second light to the next stronghold the russians
08:34take under control this destroyed stronghold and the russians in a very short period of time are trying
08:40to rebuild this area and to prepare some temporary deployment points so this is the russian tactics
08:46of course this uh leads to the situation that now the russians are moving much slower in comparison
08:52with let's say pokrovsk offensive operation after the fall of avdeevka but these russian tactics reduce
08:59losses from the russian side which is much more important for the russians at this stage of the special
09:04military operation so as for the settlement of bogaty there are very heavy clashes for this village the
09:10russians are attacking the ukrainians are holding their positions in the northwestern and the north
09:15eastern parts and in the western part of the settlement itself now let's talk about the dnepro
09:21direction there are very heavy clashes and the main clashes are taking place right now for the
09:25settlement of gorehova but the thing is that today right before we started making this video several very
09:31reliable pro-russian resources reported that the russians as a result of offensive operation managed
09:36to break ukrainian defense managed to take the initiative completely in their hands and that
09:41the turning point in this battle has come the ukrainians are about to abandon their positions due
09:47to complete absence of any possibilities to take this to hold their positions for another day or two
09:52so we expect that during the next 48 hours the village of goreho would be captured and colored in
09:58russian favor the ukrainians would be forced to fall back in the western direction towards these fields
10:02and as you can see uh to hold their lines along these fields would be marked very difficult for the
10:08ukrainians so we expect that ukrainians would be forced to fall back in the even further in the
10:12northwestern directions toward the settlement of nova pavlovka which means that the russians would advance
10:17as well very fast and they will get the settlement from the east also very soon when talking about the
10:23nova sergievka today as you can see we have adjusted the map today the ukrainian sources published this
10:30video and in this video we can see how ukrainians were attacking russian soldiers in the fields we can
10:36see how ukrainians were attacking russian tanks russian infantry fighting vehicles that were moving
10:42towards the village of nova sergievka from the south east a lot of attacks a lot of episodes and two of
10:48them were geolocated uh ukrainians attacked russian soldiers and russian vehicles in this point and in
10:55this point based on this video we have adjusted the map and we have colored additional territory
11:00and the complete russian control so we see that the russians captured the village of nova
11:06alexandriyevka completely and now the russians are trying to attack and trying to assault the village
11:12of nova sergievka from the south east and from the east at the same time several pro-russian resources
11:18reported that all these fields this entire pocket was taken by the russians by the end of the 11th of
11:25may of 2025 so summarizing everything that was published today by pro-russian resources everything
11:32inside of this pocket including these two contested areas were taken by the russians and now the battle
11:38for the settlement of nova nikolaevka and muravka is about to start now let's move further and let's
11:45discuss the situation in the kliban bixky pocket we have a lot of very interesting updates and as you
11:51can see the most interesting updates are coming from the northwestern part of this pocket we're talking
11:57about this area the thing is that we see a lot of icons from this territory a lot of fpv drone strikes
12:04from the russian side and a lot of artillery strikes and now we have no doubts that this is exactly the
12:10area where the russians are going and are planning to attack first so uh once again this area we have
12:17complete fpv drone control from the russian side now anything that answers this territory would be
12:24discovered by the russians and destroyed which means that most likely in the very near future we're going
12:29to see a full-scale offensive operation from the russian side with the purpose to save control over this
12:35pocket over this cloud as soon as possible this will allow the russians to get as close as possible
12:41to the settlements of yablunovka alexandra kalinova and to establish complete fire control over the main
12:46n20 road which will lead to complete collapse of ukrainian defense in the southern part of this pocket
12:52and most likely this would lead to a cauldron and ukrainians could be caught in cauldron in the very near
12:58future so once again lots of icons lots of videos the russians are over focused in this area with
13:05their supreme manpower with their this complete superiority in fire power the russians are trying
13:11to establish complete control over this territory which obviously will lead to uh collapse of ukrainian
13:18defense and most likely ukrainians would be forced to fall back or at least several uh probably battalions
13:24have several uh groups of ukrainian forces can make this decision without getting order from their
13:30commanders as for the chest of yard direction as you can see nothing happened during the previous 24
13:36hours we have a lot of videos how the russians were attacking ukrainian vehicles on the territory of
13:41konstantinovka but it's just a regular situation uh something nothing special happened during the previous
13:4724 hours now let's move to this live and skramators direction we have small correction on the ground
13:54today the russians published this video where we can see how russians were attacking the edge
13:59positions of the armored force of ukraine in this area and based on this video we have adjusted the map
14:05back in ukrainian favor so this stronghold used to be under complete russian control but probably as a
14:11result of several counter-attacks the ukrainians managed to restore control over this territory also we
14:16have a lot of videos of how the russians were bombing green positions with vap with artillery we see that the
14:22russians are concentrated in this area as well maybe the russians also have some plans to take under
14:28control these territories as well as for now just artillery duels as for the civics direction we have
14:34adjusted the map based on the video that was published by the russian sources in this video we
14:39can see how russian stormtroopers were taking under control another strong quote of the armored force of
14:44ukraine to the south of the settlement of grigorovka based on this video we have adjusted the map at the
14:50same time the russians continue bombing and attacking the most western part of the settlement and we
14:55expect that the village of grigorovka would be taken by the russians also in the very near future
15:00in this video we can see how the russians as a result of reconnaissance operation managed to discover
15:06positions of the armored force of ukraine fpv drone operators and as a result of artillery strike
15:11this position was destroyed as for the liman direction according to several pro-russian resources the
15:18russians established complete control over the western over the eastern part of the settlement
15:23of tarzkoe at least the russians took under control this injection of roads so now the russians are
15:29planning to advance further in the western direction strong to cross the river of jurebec and to begin
15:34clashes for the settlement of zarichna and the russians will continue advancing further in the southern
15:38direction with the purpose to attack the settlement of yample as for the barrova direction during the
15:44previous 24 hours the russians managed to improve their positions around the settlement of grigorovka
15:50most of the mappers adjusted their maps based on this video that was published by the russian sources
15:55in this video we can see how russians were attacking another stronghold of the armored force of ukraine
16:01on the territory of this forest based on this video most of the mappers adjusted their maps so
16:06now we see that the russians have no barriers in front of them to continue offensive operation further
16:12in the direction of grekovka and we expect that in the very near future the battle for this village is
16:17going to start as for the northern directions we haven't received anything from kupinsk area or from
16:23the kaminka area now let's talk about the uh chernigov and the north and directions of ukraine there are
16:32still very heavy clashes the ukrainians continue concentration of their forces along the border during
16:38the previous 24 hours we got a lot of videos how the russians were hunting and attacking ukraine
16:43artillery systems and fpv drone operators a lot of videos how the russians were trying to destroy
16:49ukraine vehicles infantry fighting vehicles and concentration of ukrainian forces so now we see
16:55that ukrainians most likely stopped any attempts to get on the territory of the russian federation and
17:01very likely that in the very near future the russians will continue their offensive operation in the
17:06southern direction with the purpose to create a secure zone along the border and probably very
17:11interesting video we got from the most northern part of the area of chernigov in this video we can
17:17see how russian soldiers have several russian soldiers answered this uh say checkpoint on the
17:23border between the russian federation and ukraine and here we can see how the russians without any
17:28resistance from the ukrainian side answered this facility and established russian flag based on this video
17:35we made small adjustment but this is something like hello from the russian side we believe that
17:40this is something like a signal or the message to the ukrainians that says that if you don't start
17:47peaceful talks in sambul on the 15th of may of 2025 the next time not the sabotage and reconnaissance
17:55group will answer this territory but the regular army of the russian federation and that's it for today
18:01military summary channel reminds me condemn any violence in the world thank you for your watching
18:05subscribe to my channel push your likes join me patreon and have a good day bye
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