Deutsche Bank Puts U.S. Recession Odds Above 40% Amid Mixed Economic Data

According to CNBC, the likelihood of a U.S. recession in the next year is nearing a coin flip, with a Deutsche Bank survey putting the odds at over 40%. Sentiment surveys suggest rising anxiety among consumers and business leaders, while unemployment remains low and some data indicate continued growth. Fed Chair Jerome Powell still views the economy as “strong overall,” but the Fed has trimmed its GDP outlook 2025 and raised its core inflation forecast.