00:00The market is very interesting because I mentioned people are expecting a Cal State rebound.
00:04Not too much of a surprise there, but what role are we going to be seeing from A.J. Brown,
00:09Xavier Worthy, Devonta Smith, Marquise Brown?
00:11Let's just call it the top two receivers from each team.
00:16Again, A.J. Brown's line is 4.5, minus 168 on the over, and that number is 5.5 over on TK.
00:24This is when it comes to the receptions, the same thing that we said about Dallas Goddard, as I mentioned.
00:28Devonta Smith, I think, has the most interesting line because, A, we're getting good value on it at minus 120 for over 4.5 receptions.
00:36And we're not asking for a whole lot. Now, depending on where the lines move and where the total moves,
00:41seeing a good amount of points in this game obviously shouldn't be too much of a surprise for people.
00:46Now, I don't expect either team to be, I would hope not, to be up by 14, 17, 20 points where it's some type of blowout.
00:54And one team is just forced into one specific type of game.
00:57But keeping this within 7, maybe 10 points, I think, is where we should be seeing things.
01:02So, see, consistent involvement from the main players on offense, I think that's where we should be looking.
01:09So, seeing Devonta Smith over 4.5 receptions, I think that is a rational way to view this game where, again,
01:17it wouldn't be a surprise to see the Chiefs divert extra defensive effort to someone like A.J.
01:23Brown, who, if we look back to the last Super Bowl that they played, A.J.
01:29Brown, if I remember correctly, I'm going to, before I even look it up, I'm going to say he had that 61-yard reception,
01:38right, with 61 yards down that sideline to the Chiefs, 45 yards, excuse me, as I just check it here on his game log.
01:48You know, he's been known to at least beat them, beat them deep at times.
01:52So, if there's going to be extra defensive effort diverted to A.J.
01:56Brown, obviously, they have to be worried about stacking the box.
01:59With Saquon Barkley, this is a different run game compared to when the Eagles faced them last in the Super Bowl a couple years ago.
02:06This may leave an opening for Devonta Smith and or Dallas Dodder.
02:10Now, we see four catches and four targets for Devonta Smith in all three of the playoff games thus far.
02:18Now, we did see a very solid six targets, six receptions, seven targets against Dallas to close out the regular season, at least his last game.
02:27Six receptions, 11 receptions, four and four.
02:30Very consistent role in the passing game.
02:33So, the fact that we're getting a four-and-a-half number is rather interesting.
02:37Now, again, I said it was four-and-a-half minus 120.
02:39On Faneville, it's four-and-a-half minus 112 over on DK.
02:42So, Devonta Smith over four-and-a-half receptions minus 112 over on DK.
02:48Really do like that.
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