Predicting Saquon's Game Performance: Stats & Strategy

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00:00The question becomes is what do we do with Saquon Barkley?

00:03114 and a half is his rushing prop, 22 and a half is his rushing attempt, and his rushing

00:09plus receiving is sitting at 132 and a half.

00:14What do we do with Saquon in this game?

00:16Because I have to assume that this number's only going to increase.

00:25It's not going to stay at 114.

00:26It'll probably make its way up to 116, 118, which may not seem like a big difference,

00:32but moving four yards when it's already that high is a big, big difference.

00:36The market I will always look at for Saquon will be Saquon over Longest Rush.

00:41Do we like the Saquon over Longest Rush, which is now up at 24 and a half?

00:46At least that's where it's listed over on DK.

00:48It's not listed on Fangle yet.

00:50We've consistently seen Saquon break off these big runs, and it's not just, oh, 20-yard

00:55chunk place, 25, 30 yards.

00:58It's 45, 60, 70-some-odd yards.

01:02That's what we're getting from Saquon.

01:03All it takes is one extra broken tackle, one extra juke and euro step kind of thing, and

01:10Saquon's going for 60 or 70 yards.

01:12So instead of betting on 114, 115-some-odd rushing yards, we can see Saquon hit the under

01:20on that, and he still hits the over on 24 and a half.

01:22Now, they are largely correlated.

01:25We don't want to be going for a skill shot here and take the under on one and the over

01:29on another, so I would ultimately lean with just over 24 and a half for his Longest Rushing

01:34Attempt.

01:35It's just what we have seen time and time again for him.

01:38So I like an under on Pacheco in terms of rushing attempts, the over on Saquon for his

01:45Longest Rush, over 24 and a half for Longest Rush, over six and a half—excuse me, under

01:50six and a half rushing attempts for Isaiah Pacheco.