10 Day Trend 11/12/2024 – Grey skies before turning more unsettled - video Dailymotion

Met Office

This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 11/12/2024. Largely settled to start though often grey with drizzle. Turning wet and windy towards the end of next week. Bringing you this 10 days weather forecast is Honor Criswick.

Transcript

00:00Hello there and welcome to this week's 10-day trend. Well, after a wet and very windy weekend,

00:06we have seen the weather settle down, but it's been awfully grey and cloudy at times

00:11and it has also felt quite chilly. So is the weather set to change over the next 10 days?

00:16Well, to start off, we'll take a look at the bigger picture where we can see high pressure

00:20dominating, but it's not quite the high pressure we all know and love. It's not brought plenty

00:24of sunshine. We've had lots of cloud and moisture trapped under this high, which has meant some

00:28chilly and grey days. And just to the north of Northern Ireland is where we see the centre

00:34of this high. And this eventually will wiggle its way towards eastern areas, but that means

00:38it's going to start to allow some frontal systems moving in from the Atlantic just start

00:42to clip their way into the northwest, so starting to bring in a bit more wet weather here. And

00:48this is all being driven by what's happening in the west. So we've got a large amplification

00:53of the patterns of a large upper trough and that's driving a ridge out into the Atlantic.

00:57And this is all being driven by some quite cold air taking place over eastern parts of

01:02Canada. And it's this is what's what's driving that high pressure to the east. And this is

01:07going to allow some Atlantic mobility to take place. So we'll see more and more fronts start

01:11to clip their way into the northwest. And this is also being driven by quite a strong

01:15jet just to the north of the country. And notice most of the country also to the south

01:20of this jet. So on the warmer side of the jet. So we will start to see some milder air

01:24as we head through Sunday and into Monday. If I just drag our way back to the beginning

01:28of the weekend as well, we can see this milder air gradually moving its way as we head into

01:33the weekend as we start to see high pressure located to the south of the UK. But it still

01:37means we're on that northern flank of the high, so still some frontal systems moving

01:42in and notice the squeeze in the ice bars, too. So some wet and windy weather possible

01:46as we head into the weekend. Before that, though, let's take a look at the details for

01:51Thursday. So still quite a gray day ahead, particularly across parts of England and Wales.

01:56We might just start to see some brightness develop across parts of Scotland, perhaps

02:00at times across northwest Northern Ireland as well. But on the whole, it's going to be

02:05another cloudy day. We will see some rain and drizzle at times, particularly around

02:10eastern areas of England. And this will drag its way through into inland areas as well.

02:14And the heaviest and most persistent drizzle is likely to be around hilly areas. And where

02:19we are going to see a lot of that cloud, those temperatures are really going to struggle.

02:22We'll only see highs of around 8 to 10 Celsius in the far southeast, but those temperatures

02:27struggling across parts of Scotland as we head through into Thursday. And then on Friday,

02:33it's almost a rinse and repeat. Once again, plenty of cloud across the country, rain and

02:37drizzle. Perhaps this rain and drizzle quite a bit more widespread as we head into Friday

02:42as well. We're likely to see some longer spells of rain just to the northwest of Scotland

02:46just start to creep their way through too. It is going to be clearer to the north of

02:50this though, but still plenty of showers starting to move their way through as well. So once

02:55again, another cloudy day. We may see some brighter spells at times. Once again, Northern

02:59Ireland, Scotland, just to the lee of high ground, we might see some brighter weather.

03:03But on the whole, it's still going to be quite a cloudy day and those temperatures still

03:06really, really struggling. Highs of around 7 to 8 Celsius across England and Wales. Once

03:11again, struggling across Scotland. Highs of around 4 to 5 Celsius. So fairly similar

03:16days, but perhaps just seeing a bit more rain and drizzle as we head into the end of the

03:21week. Then as we start off into the weekend, we are going to see those frontal systems

03:27start to move their way into the northwest, at times being dragged across the country,

03:31but generally weakening features. So more just bringing in some clouds, some light outbreaks

03:35of rain and drizzle and a notice to squeeze in the Isobars too, particularly to the far

03:40north of Scotland. And this is where we're likely to see the strongest gusts later Saturday

03:45through into Sunday, as we can see by these pink colours here, just generally dominating

03:50the far north of Scotland. So we could see some gales, if not perhaps some severe gales

03:54at times as we head through into Saturday, later Saturday and through into Sunday. So

03:58we could see gusts of around 60 miles per hour as we head into the weekend. But even

04:04elsewhere, look at the squeeze in the Isobars. It's going to be a very breezy day as we head

04:08into the weekend, but particularly northern parts of Scotland. Now, not only is it going

04:14to be a windy weekend, it's also going to be fairly wet in places, particularly just

04:19to the northwest of Scotland, where we're likely to see the bulk of that rain as those

04:23frontal systems move their way into the northwest. So this is a 48 hour rainfall totals from

04:30our Met Office model that we use here at the Met Office. So just to the northwest of Scotland,

04:35we can see this is highlighting the main, the highest kind of rainfall totals that we're

04:38likely to see. But it's also picking up areas of Wales, western parts of England, parts

04:43of Cumbria, for example, that could see rainfall totals start to shoot up by the time we get

04:48into the new working week. And this is significant as we have had quite a lot of rainfall here

04:53over the last week or so. And similarly, across our European model, this picks out once again

04:58the northwest of Scotland, seeing the highest totals and our America model too, also focusing

05:03on the northwest of Scotland. So it's likely this is where we'll see the bulk of the rain,

05:07but we may also see some rainfall totals totting up in the far west of the country as well.

05:13So it is going to be wet at times over the weekend. It's also going to be windy, particularly

05:17to the far northwest. Elsewhere, once again, fairly grey, perhaps seeing a few more brighter

05:22spells for the first part of the weekend, particularly around eastern coasts of England,

05:27though we might just see a few showers creep into coastal areas at times. Still fairly

05:31cloudy in the west. Once again, some rain and drizzle mainly across hills and then those

05:36longer spells of rain just starting to clip into northwest of Scotland, western parts

05:40of Northern Ireland too. And that's where later on we'll start to see those winds pick

05:44up too. And temperatures still once again round about average, still struggling under

05:48mostly cloudy skies, highs of around 7 to 8 Celsius. Now through into Sunday, that's

05:55when we start to see that milder air creep in. But with milder air, we once again get

06:00lots of cloud and lots of moisture, once again, particularly in western areas where

06:03we're likely to see the bulk of that rain and drizzle, mainly across hills. Fairly dry

06:08across parts of the east, southeast, but still you can see a fairly grey and cloudy picture.

06:14And then we've got those longer spells of rain just clipping the far north of Scotland.

06:18And this could turn quite heavy and persistent at times, and obviously with those blustery

06:21winds under those cloudier skies. Now, as I say, it is dragging in some milder air,

06:26so we'll see a slight creep up of those temperatures, highs between 10 to 11 Celsius. So it's not

06:31going to feel quite as chilly as previously in the week or on Saturday, but it's still

06:36quite a grey and cloudy picture to come for the second half of the weekend. So just a

06:41bit more information on the temperatures then, as I say, these are temperature anomalies

06:45for maximum temperatures during the day. So Saturday we can see mostly milder air, generally

06:50confined to the far northwest of Scotland and western parts of Northern Ireland. By

06:55the time we reach Sunday, we can see much of that milder air creeping in around a lot

06:59of the country. So a much milder day as we head into Sunday and once again fairly similar

07:04on Monday with the mildest of the temperatures in far eastern areas at that time. And it's

07:08not just daytime temperatures either, it's also overnight temperatures, particularly

07:12on Saturday night and also Sunday night. So it's going to be fairly mild overnight too,

07:17which is quite a change after the chilly nights that we've had this week. So as we head into

07:21Monday, it's going to be a much milder start in terms of weather. Monday looks fairly similar

07:25to Sunday, quite grey with some rain, a drizzle at times. And then as we head through into

07:30the middle part of the week, it's all eyes over this area of low pressure, which is developing

07:35out into the Atlantic. Now, this area of low pressure actually starts off at quite a southerly

07:39altitude, quite altitude, quite close to the Canary Islands, and eventually moves its way

07:44northwards, gets dragged up by the jet stream. It may also merge with other areas of low

07:48pressure developing out into the Atlantic as well. And this will eventually move its

07:53way north-eastwards towards the UK. So by the time we reach the middle part of the week,

07:57we're likely to see further spells of wet and windy weather. Before that, though, we're

08:02likely to see a slight ridge of high pressure as we head into Tuesday. So largely settled

08:06once again, but there still could be a fair amount of cloud around, still those longer

08:10spells of rain just starting to clip into the far northwest. And then as we head into

08:14Monday, we'll see more of those frontal systems drag their way further eastwards across the

08:18country and still starting to see a good squeeze in those hours of ours too. So starting

08:23to turn quite wet and windy by the time we reach Wednesday. And then for the rest of

08:27the week, it remains fairly similar. Now, it is going to stay mild, if not rather mild

08:32at times, but we're likely to see outbreaks of rain move their way in from the west and

08:36it's likely to remain fairly windy too. So a fairly settled start to the period, but

08:42it's going to be largely grey, a few brighter spells at times, and then we're likely to

08:46see a change to more unsettled conditions as we head into the end of next week. That's

08:52it from me. Don't forget for daily updates on our weather to subscribe to our YouTube

08:55channel. Otherwise, I hope you have a good week. Bye for now.

10 Day Trend 11/12/2024 – Grey skies before turning more unsettled

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